| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | No | 2,000 | 81¢ → 80¢ | $1,590 | −$30 −1.9% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: OtherEnds in 13d | No | 899 | >99¢ → >99¢ | $898 | −$0 −0.1% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R HouseEnds in 13d | No | 899 | 99¢ → 99¢ | $891 | +$0 +0.1% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseEnds in 13d | No | 899 | 92¢ → 92¢ | $823 | −$4 −0.5% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseEnds in 13d | No | 899 | 72¢ → 73¢ | $652 | +$4 +0.7% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | No | 2,000 | 17¢ → 21¢ | $411 | +$77 +23% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 9d | No | 427 | 62¢ → 84¢ | $359 | +$93 +35% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseEnds in 13d | No | 875 | 37¢ → 37¢ | $319 | −$4 −1.4% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 7d | No | 175 | >99¢ → >99¢ | $175 | −$0 −0.0% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 7d | No | 166 | 65¢ → 89¢ | $147 | +$40 +37% |
| Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 8d | No | 104 | 91¢ → 97¢ | $101 | +$6 +6.2% |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 9d | No | 393 | 36¢ → 18¢ | $73 | −$68 −48% |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026?Ends in 13d | No | 80 | 89¢ → 89¢ | $71 | −$0 −0.6% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?Ends in 4d | No | 40 | >99¢ → >99¢ | $40 | +$0 +0.2% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?Ends in 4d | No | 40 | 99¢ → 99¢ | $40 | +$0 +0.2% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 12%?Ends in 4d | No | 40 | 98¢ → 99¢ | $40 | +$1 +1.4% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?Ends in 4d | No | 40 | 93¢ → 95¢ | $38 | +$1 +2.1% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?Ends in 4d | No | 40 | 82¢ → 82¢ | $33 | −$0 −0.6% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?Ends in 4d | No | 40 | 67¢ → 65¢ | $26 | −$1 −3.7% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?Ends in 4d | No | 40 | 60¢ → 61¢ | $24 | +$0 +0.8% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 7d | No | 155 | 39¢ → 13¢ | $19 | −$41 −68% |
| Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026?Ends in 13d | No | 69 | 13¢ → 12¢ | $8 | −$1 −12% |
| Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 8d | No | 81 | 9¢ → 5¢ | $4 | −$4 −49% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 12%?Ends in 4d | Yes | 198 | 8¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$15 −98% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 7d | Yes | 521 | 9¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$46 −99% |
| Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Ends in 71d | Yes | 242 | 7¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$18 −99% |
| Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Ends in 71d | Yes | 242 | 7¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$18 −99% |
| Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Ends in 71d | Yes | 242 | 7¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$18 −99% |
| Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Ends in 71d | Yes | 242 | 7¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$18 −99% |
| Will Antonio Villaraigosa win the California Governor Election in 2026?Ends in 13d | Yes | 220 | 2¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$4 −98% |
| Will Daniel Mercuri win the California Governor Election in 2026?Ends in 13d | Yes | 220 | 2¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$4 −98% |
| Will Butch Ware win the California Governor Election in 2026?Ends in 13d | Yes | 220 | 2¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$4 −98% |
| Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?Ends in 13d | Yes | 200 | 2¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$4 −98% |
| Will Michael Younger win the California Governor Election in 2026?Ends in 13d | Yes | 200 | 2¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$4 −98% |
| Will Alex Padilla win the California Governor Election in 2026?Ends in 13d | Yes | 200 | 2¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$4 −98% |
| Will Leo Zacky win the California Governor Election in 2026?Ends in 13d | Yes | 200 | 2¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$4 −98% |
| Will Kyle Langford win the California Governor Election in 2026?Ends in 13d | Yes | 200 | 2¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$4 −98% |
| Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026?Ends in 13d | Yes | 200 | 2¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$4 −98% |
| Will Stephen Cloobeck win the California Governor Election in 2026?Ends in 13d | Yes | 200 | 2¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$4 −98% |
| Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026?Ends in 13d | Yes | 200 | 2¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$4 −98% |
| Will Betty Yee win the California Governor Election in 2026?Ends in 13d | Yes | 200 | 2¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$4 −98% |
| Will Kamala Harris win the California Governor Election in 2026?Ends in 13d | Yes | 200 | 2¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$4 −98% |
| Will Eleni Kounalakis win the California Governor Election in 2026?Ends in 13d | Yes | 200 | 2¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$4 −98% |
| Will Elaine Culotti win the California Governor Election in 2026?Ends in 13d | Yes | 200 | 2¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$4 −98% |
| Will Nicole Shanahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?Ends in 13d | Yes | 200 | 2¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$4 −98% |
| Will Rick Caruso win the California Governor Election in 2026?Ends in 13d | Yes | 200 | 2¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$4 −98% |
| Will Tony Thurmond win the California Governor Election in 2026?Ends in 13d | Yes | 200 | 2¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$4 −98% |
| Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 71d | Yes | 196 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$2 −95% |
| Will Luis Diaz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 9d | Yes | 196 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$2 −95% |
| Will Vitinha win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 71d | Yes | 196 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$2 −95% |
| Will Vinícius Júnior win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 9d | Yes | 196 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$2 −95% |
| Will Achraf Hakimi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 9d | Yes | 196 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$2 −95% |
| Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 9d | Yes | 115 | 3¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$4 −98% |
| Will Thinky have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 9d | Yes | 115 | 3¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$4 −98% |
| Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 9d | Yes | 115 | 3¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$4 −98% |
| Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 9d | Yes | 115 | 3¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$4 −98% |
| Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 9d | Yes | 115 | 3¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$4 −98% |
| Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 9d | Yes | 115 | 3¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$4 −98% |
| Will MiniMax have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 9d | Yes | 115 | 3¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$4 −98% |
| Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 9d | Yes | 115 | 3¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$4 −98% |
| Will StepFun have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 9d | Yes | 115 | 3¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$4 −98% |
| Will Tencent have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 9d | Yes | 115 | 3¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$4 −98% |
| Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 9d | Yes | 115 | 3¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$4 −98% |
| Will Nvidia have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 9d | Yes | 115 | 3¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$4 −98% |
| Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 9d | Yes | 115 | 3¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$4 −98% |
| Will Xiaomi have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 9d | Yes | 115 | 3¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$4 −98% |
| Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 9d | Yes | 115 | 3¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$4 −98% |
| Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 9d | Yes | 115 | 3¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$4 −98% |
| Will Sylvain Durif win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 179d | Yes | 89 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$1 −94% |
| Will Anasse Kazib win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 179d | Yes | 89 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$1 −94% |
| Will Lucie Castets win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 179d | Yes | 89 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$1 −94% |
| Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?Ends in 1d | Yes | 60 | 5¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$3 −99% |
| Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?Ends in 1d | Yes | 40 | 5¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$2 −99% |
| Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?Ends in 1d | Yes | 40 | 5¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$2 −99% |
| Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?Ends in 1d | Yes | 20 | 5¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$1 −99% |
| Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?Ends ended | Yes | 5 | 7¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$0 −99% |
| Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?Ends ended | Yes | 5 | 7¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$0 −99% |
| Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?Ends ended | Yes | 5 | 7¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$0 −99% |
| Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?Ends ended | Yes | 5 | 7¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$0 −99% |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?Ends ended | Yes | 5 | 7¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$0 −99% |
| Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?Ends ended | Yes | 5 | 7¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$0 −99% |
| Will Denmark win the 2026 IIHF World Championship?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 20 | 0¢ → 0¢ | $0 | $0 0.0% |
| Will another outcome occur in the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary Election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 18 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 26, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 150 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C or higher on July 23?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 43 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Will Desmond Bane win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 731 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 20 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 38°C or higher on August 5?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 20 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 157 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C or below on July 29?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 20 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Exact Score: Curaçao 3 - 1 Côte d'Ivoire?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 532 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$33 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 11°C on July 7?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 20 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on July 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 20 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Juan Musso Win the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final Player of the Match Award?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 186 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Exact Score: Tunisia 3 - 2 Japan?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 483 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C or below on July 25?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 20 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 62-63°F on June 3?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 73 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Exact Score: United States 2 - 3 Paraguay?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,036 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$82 −100% |
| Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-08-22?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 124 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be 73°F or below on May 27?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 42 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
