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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lando Norris | 100% | +30 pts | +25 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Oscar Piastri | 0% | −17 pts | −25 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Charles Leclerc | 0% | −24 pts | −35 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Max Verstappen | 100% | +46 pts | +71 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| George Russell | 0% | −24 pts | −69 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Lewis Hamilton | 0% | −42 pts | −35 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Kimi Antonelli | 100% | +25 pts | +28 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Pierre Gasly | 0% | 0 pts | −49 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Carlos Sainz Jr. | 0% | −19 pts | −49 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Gabriel Bortoleto | 0% | −2 pts | −49 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Arvid Lindblad | 0% | −3 pts | −49 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Liam Lawson | 0% | −4 pts | −49 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Isack Hadjar | 0% | −1 pts | −49 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fernando Alonso | 0% | 0 pts | −49 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Nico Hulkenberg | 0% | −18 pts | −49 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Valtteri Bottas | 0% | −3 pts | −49 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Lance Stroll | 0% | −1 pts | −49 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Oliver Bearman | 0% | −1 pts | −49 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Franco Colapinto | 0% | 0 pts | −49 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Esteban Ocon | 0% | −3 pts | −49 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Sergio Perez | 0% | −3 pts | −49 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Alexander Albon | 0% | −4 pts | −49 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 40d | hermesss123 | Lando Norris | BuyYes>99¢ | $7,439 | +$7 +0.1% | 4 |
| 40d | hermesss123 | Charles Leclerc | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,318 | +$2 +0.2% | 4 |
| 40d | 0x1fd0…c6a7 | Charles Leclerc | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,182 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 40d | hermesss123 | Oscar Piastri | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,973 | +$14 +0.2% | 4 |
| 40d | shyu5000 | Oscar Piastri | SellNo100¢ | $1,027 | −$5 −0.5% | — |
| 40d | jaytee1583 fills | Lando Norris | BuyYes75¢ → 100¢ | $7,177 | +$2,383 +33% | 4 |
| 41d | shyu50002 fills | Oscar Piastri | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $2,381 | +$179 +7.5% | 4 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed driver finishes within the top three positions in the official "Final Classification" for the F1 Spanish Grand Prix, scheduled for Sep 13, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The "Final Classification" is published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments. It is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends. Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the "Final Classification" will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market. If the Spanish Grand Prix is postponed, this market will remain open until the event has been completed. If the Spanish Grand Prix is permanently canceled, this market will resolve 50-50.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Lando Norris means the market gives it about 100%.