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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | −11 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 389d | MariaLo | Fact Check: Flotilla hit by Israeli drone? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $7,482 | +$38 +0.5% | 4 |
| 391d |  Allinnothing | Fact Check: Flotilla hit by Israeli drone? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $3,203 | +$63 +2.0% | 4 |
| 397d | ganatalak | Fact Check: Flotilla hit by Israeli drone? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,551 | +$49 +3.1% | 4 |
| 404d | aff3 | Fact Check: Flotilla hit by Israeli drone? | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $2,317 | +$158 +6.8% | 4 |
| 407d |  ondra123 | Fact Check: Flotilla hit by Israeli drone? | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $1,463 | +$162 +11% | 4 |
| 409d | 72929292 | Fact Check: Flotilla hit by Israeli drone? | SellNo91¢ → 100¢ | $1,748 | −$163 −9.3% | — |
Tonymontana961,397 sharesOn September 9, there was a fire on one of the ships included in the Global Sumud Flotilla delivering aid to Gaza. For more information, please visit: https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cly67g7pdlko. This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is widely and credibly confirmed that the September 9 fire was caused by a drone operated under the authority of the Israeli government/military. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Statements from the Israeli government claiming responsibility for the incident will qualify for a "Yes" resolution. If no broad consensus has been reached by September 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting, with priority given to official statements from relevant investigative agencies.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.