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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | — | +7 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 408d |  noreasapa3 fills | Fact Check: Is the suspect transgender? | SellYes>99¢ | $32,967 | −$33 −0.1% | — |
| 408d |  Flipadelphia4 fills | Fact Check: Is the suspect transgender? | BuyYes>99¢ | $38,534 | +$40 +0.1% | 4 |
| 408d |  mrmrmrmr2 fills | Fact Check: Is the suspect transgender? | SellYes>99¢ | $4,995 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 408d | 033033033 | Fact Check: Is the suspect transgender? | SellYes>99¢ | $18,981 | −$19 −0.1% | — |
| 408d |  ChironCrossing | Fact Check: Is the suspect transgender? | SellYes>99¢ | $3,221 | −$6 −0.2% | — |
| 408d |  Debosnys2 fills | Fact Check: Is the suspect transgender? | BuyYes>99¢ | $30,504 | +$41 +0.1% | 4 |
| 409d | Dapper-Grandfather | Fact Check: Is the suspect transgender? | SellYes>99¢ | $1,476 | −$3 −0.2% | — |
| 409d |  SQP3G | Fact Check: Is the suspect transgender? | SellYes>99¢ | $1,481 | −$3 −0.2% | — |
| 409d | 854A7843 | Fact Check: Is the suspect transgender? | SellYes>99¢ | $11,292 | −$23 −0.2% | — |
| 409d |  reizo | Fact Check: Is the suspect transgender? | SellYes>99¢ | $2,031 | −$4 −0.2% | — |
| 409d |  Car | Fact Check: Is the suspect transgender? | SellYes>99¢ | $9,971 | −$20 −0.2% | — |
| 410d |  Burnmoneyuser | Fact Check: Is the suspect transgender? | SellYes>99¢ | $2,234 | −$4 −0.2% | — |
| 410d | 033033033 | Fact Check: Is the suspect transgender? | BuyYes>99¢ | $10,449 | +$21 +0.2% | 4 |
| 410d |  tunatyler | Fact Check: Is the suspect transgender? | SellYes>99¢ | $1,196 | −$4 −0.3% | — |
| 410d |  ciro2 | Fact Check: Is the suspect transgender? | SellYes>99¢ | $2,584 | −$8 −0.3% | — |
| 410d |  ScottyNooo8 fills | Fact Check: Is the suspect transgender? | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $49,970 | +$1,140 +2.3% | 4 |
| 410d |  RelaySucks | Fact Check: Is the suspect transgender? | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,461 | +$28 +1.9% | 4 |
| 410d |  Starsee | Fact Check: Is the suspect transgender? | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,553 | −$40 −2.5% | — |
| 410d |  tourists | Fact Check: Is the suspect transgender? | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,164 | +$24 +2.0% | 4 |
| 410d |  aenews24 fills | Fact Check: Is the suspect transgender? | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $14,264 | +$359 +2.5% | 4 |
| 410d | reizo | Fact Check: Is the suspect transgender? | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$35 +1.8% | 4 |
| 412d | Car4 fills | Fact Check: Is the suspect transgender? | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $5,546 | +$318 +5.7% | 4 |
| 412d |  cookiejar3 fills | Fact Check: Is the suspect transgender? | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $8,703 | +$569 +6.5% | 5 |
| 412d | Burnmoneyuser | Fact Check: Is the suspect transgender? | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $1,571 | +$133 +8.5% | 6 |
| 413d |  CoffeeDespiser | Fact Check: Is the suspect transgender? | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $1,010 | +$89 +8.8% | 5 |
| 415d |  WhiteLivesMatter | Fact Check: Is the suspect transgender? | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $3,957 | +$363 +9.2% | 5 |
| 416d |  truthteller | Fact Check: Is the suspect transgender? | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $3,800 | +$200 +5.3% | 4 |
| 417d |  GayPride | Fact Check: Is the suspect transgender? | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,272 | +$69 +5.4% | 4 |
| 418d | POWERSLAP-EXPERT2 fills | Fact Check: Is the suspect transgender? | SellYes92¢ → 100¢ | $2,731 | −$249 −9.1% | — |
| 420d | POWERSLAP-EXPERT2 fills | Fact Check: Is the suspect transgender? | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $2,504 | +$184 +7.3% | 4 |
| 421d |  lmtfalone | Fact Check: Is the suspect transgender? | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $1,022 | +$86 +8.5% | 4 |
On August 27, there was a mass shooting in a Minneapolis Catholic school (see: https://apnews.com/live/minneapolis-annunciation-school-shooting) This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is widely and credibly confirmed that the August 27 shooter identified as transgender. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve once there have been statements from relevant law enforcement confirming whether the shooter was transgender. If no definitive statement has been made by September 7, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on what law enforcement believe was most likely (e.g., if they have not indicated the suspect was a transgender actor, the market would resolve to "No"). The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting, with priority given to official statements relevant law enforcement agencies.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.