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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 830d |  VibesGreaterRules | Fact Check: Was it a real gun? | BuyYes>99¢ | $7,235 | +$7 +0.1% | 4 |
| 831d |  BustedCungly | Fact Check: Was it a real gun? | SellYes>99¢ | $1,934 | −$8 −0.4% | — |
| 831d | Jumpy-NonsenseNew account | Fact Check: Was it a real gun? | SellYes>99¢ | $1,050 | −$3 −0.3% | — |
| 831d | Jumpy-NonsenseNew account | Fact Check: Was it a real gun? | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,053 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 831d |  Alicia | Fact Check: Was it a real gun? | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,039 | +$2 +0.2% | 4 |
| 832d | BustedCungly | Fact Check: Was it a real gun? | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,460 | +$6 +0.4% | 4 |
| 832d |  ImJustKen | Fact Check: Was it a real gun? | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $3,288 | +$67 +2.0% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that a real gun was used at the Trump rally. This market will resolve to "No" if it is confirmed it wasn't a real gun. This market will resolve once it is definitively determined what type of gun was used - if it was a BB or paintball gun this market will resolve to "No."
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.