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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 115-125m | 100% | +4 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| <115m | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 125-135m | 0% | 0 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 135-145m | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| >145m | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 452d | Lllddddd4 fills | 115-125m | SellYes88¢ → 100¢ | $7,975 | −$1,080 −14% | — |
| 452d |  Big.Chungus2 fills | 115-125m | BuyYes68¢ → 100¢ | $3,216 | +$1,500 +47% | 9 |
| 452d |  arcisdead | 115-125m | BuyYes>99¢ | $7,523 | +$11 +0.1% | 4 |
| 453d |  cookiejar2 fills | 115-125m | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,571 | +$8 +0.3% | 4 |
| 453d | vilupu | <115m | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,211 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 453d | h038596027355 | >145m | SellNo>99¢ | $1,239 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 453d | TroyMclure | <115m | SellNo>99¢ | $9,085 | −$9 −0.1% | — |
| 453d | jinsanity | <115m | BuyNo>99¢ | $16,963 | +$17 +0.1% | 4 |
| 453d | Lllddddd3 fills | 115-125m | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $7,289 | +$446 +6.1% | 5 |
| 453d | 0x9199Ba070C49A78d7b1EB029B5c03 | 115-125m | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,753 | +$66 +3.8% | 5 |
| 453d |  Anjun | 135-145m | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,421 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 453d | haraya | <115m | SellNo77¢ → 100¢ | $1,257 | −$379 −30% | — |
| 453d |  Vespucci4 fills | >145m | SellNo>99¢ | $17,915 | −$84 −0.5% | — |
| 453d |  matachod3 fills | <115m | SellNo93¢ → 100¢ | $5,104 | −$356 −7.0% | — |
| 453d |  DerDon | 115-125m | SellYes90¢ → 100¢ | $1,427 | −$167 −12% | — |
| 454d | aviato | >145m | SellNo>99¢ | $2,594 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 454d | aviato | <115m | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,924 | −$76 −4.0% | — |
| 454d | TroyMclure3 fills | <115m | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $7,408 | +$296 +4.0% | 5 |
| 454d |  Cookedtan | 125-135m | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $3,108 | +$51 +1.7% | 4 |
| 454d | Cookedtan | <115m | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $3,046 | +$114 +3.7% | 5 |
| 454d | cookiejar4 fills | 135-145m | BuyNo>99¢ | $71,016 | +$127 +0.2% | 4 |
| 454d | cookiejar3 fills | >145m | BuyNo>99¢ | $70,759 | +$91 +0.1% | 4 |
| 454d | Occasionalbettor | <115m | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,147 | −$36 −3.1% | — |
| 454d | Occasionalbettor | <115m | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $11,724 | +$276 +2.4% | 4 |
| 454d | Big.Chungus4 fills | >145m | SellNo>99¢ | $9,735 | −$40 −0.4% | — |
| 454d | Vespucci | 115-125m | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $3,675 | +$411 +11% | 6 |
| 454d | aviato | <115m | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,854 | +$46 +2.5% | 4 |
| 455d |  apalebluedot2 fills | 115-125m | SellYes64¢ → 100¢ | $4,455 | −$2,545 −57% | — |
| 455d |  GUHHH | 135-145m | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,257 | −$8 −0.6% | — |
| 455d | aviato2 fills | 135-145m | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $6,120 | +$67 +1.1% | 4 |
| 455d |  WordleAddict | 115-125m | BuyYes55¢ → 100¢ | $3,595 | +$2,941 +82% | 9 |
| 455d |  Naichli2 fills | 115-125m | BuyNo55¢ → 0¢ | $2,313 | −$2,313 −100% | 9 |
| 455d | Big.Chungus4 fills | 135-145m | BuyNo84¢ → 100¢ | $7,803 | +$1,507 +19% | 5 |
| 455d | Big.Chungus | 115-125m | SellYes56¢ → 100¢ | $1,747 | −$1,372 −79% | — |
| 455d | Vespucci | 125-135m | BuyYes38¢ → 0¢ | $1,869 | −$1,869 −100% | 10 |
| 455d | Vespucci | 125-135m | SellYes33¢ → 0¢ | $1,308 | +$1,308 +100% | — |
| 456d | 0x9199Ba070C49A78d7b1EB029B5c03 | 125-135m | BuyNo66¢ → 100¢ | $1,255 | +$637 +51% | 9 |
| 456d |  enderone | <115m | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,451 | −$49 −3.4% | — |
| 456d | 0x9199Ba070C49A78d7b1EB029B5c03 | 135-145m | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $3,341 | +$370 +11% | 6 |
| 456d | WordleAddict | >145m | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,940 | +$62 +2.1% | 4 |
| 456d | Echelonprt | >145m | SellNo92¢ → 100¢ | $2,797 | −$244 −8.7% | — |
| 456d |  Office Lover | <115m | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$15 +1.5% | 4 |
| 456d | Big.Chungus3 fills | >145m | BuyNo86¢ → 100¢ | $5,056 | +$832 +16% | 5 |
| 457d |  betwick | 135-145m | SellYes36¢ → 0¢ | $1,074 | +$1,074 +100% | — |
| 457d | 0x9199Ba070C49A78d7b1EB029B5c032 fills | >145m | BuyNo85¢ → 100¢ | $2,444 | +$448 +18% | 5 |
| 457d | 0x9199Ba070C49A78d7b1EB029B5c03 | 115-125m | SellNo93¢ → 0¢ | $1,994 | +$1,994 +100% | — |
| 457d | GUHHH | <115m | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,072 | +$28 +2.6% | 4 |
| 457d | betwick | 125-135m | BuyNo73¢ → 100¢ | $2,881 | +$1,040 +36% | 6 |
| 457d | Vespucci3 fills | >145m | BuyNo79¢ → 100¢ | $7,337 | +$1,997 +27% | 5 |
| 457d |  TheFantasticFour | >145m | BuyNo67¢ → 100¢ | $1,707 | +$835 +49% | 6 |
| 458d | Big.Chungus | 125-135m | SellNo83¢ → 100¢ | $1,270 | −$263 −21% | — |
| 458d | Vespucci | 115-125m | BuyNo87¢ → 0¢ | $1,836 | −$1,836 −100% | 5 |
TimeTraveler2,328 shares
TheNoobBeaver440 sharesThis market will resolve according to how much “Fantastic Four: The First Steps” (2025) will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The “Box Office” https://www.the-numbers.com/movie/Fantastic-Four-The-First-Steps-(2025)#tab=summary will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (July 25 - July 27) are final (i.e. not studio estimates). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is no final data available by August 4, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 115-125m means the market gives it about 100%.