| Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?Ends in 76d | No | 12,339 | 63¢ → 76¢ | $9,378 | +$1,594 +20% |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?Ends in 73d | No | 9,844 | 72¢ → 84¢ | $8,220 | +$1,179 +17% |
| Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 73d | No | 6,800 | 96¢ → 97¢ | $6,593 | +$50 +0.8% |
| Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.0T?Ends in 438d | No | 6,633 | 79¢ → 86¢ | $5,671 | +$439 +8.4% |
| Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?Ends ended | No | 15,906 | 32¢ → 30¢ | $4,692 | −$348 −6.9% |
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30, 2027?Ends in 254d | No | 8,030 | 48¢ → 50¢ | $3,975 | +$96 +2.5% |
| Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?Ends in 73d | Yes | 3,000 | 94¢ → 97¢ | $2,900 | +$91 +3.2% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Ends in 73d | Yes | 7,395 | 50¢ → 39¢ | $2,891 | −$814 −22% |
| Will AfD be in the next Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state government?Ends ended | No | 2,442 | 96¢ → 99¢ | $2,414 | +$75 +3.2% |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day?Ends in 438d | No | 2,451 | 97¢ → 94¢ | $2,314 | −$60 −2.5% |
| Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Ends in 73d | No | 2,907 | 31¢ → 76¢ | $2,195 | +$1,285 +141% |
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by February 28, 2027?Ends in 132d | No | 3,345 | 64¢ → 65¢ | $2,174 | +$48 +2.3% |
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31, 2027?Ends in 438d | No | 5,823 | 45¢ → 37¢ | $2,125 | −$506 −19% |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?Ends in 77d | No | 2,428 | 45¢ → 87¢ | $2,100 | +$997 +90% |
| Will Trump's approval rating hit 30% in 2026?Ends in 76d | No | 2,120 | 93¢ → 96¢ | $2,025 | +$55 +2.8% |
| Will AI solve 2 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?Ends in 73d | No | 1,998 | 81¢ → 97¢ | $1,936 | +$321 +20% |
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?Ends in 73d | No | 2,183 | 75¢ → 82¢ | $1,790 | +$160 +9.8% |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?Ends in 438d | No | 2,300 | 59¢ → 75¢ | $1,714 | +$354 +26% |
| Will Vitinha finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 73d | No | 1,659 | 95¢ → 95¢ | $1,583 | +$12 +0.8% |
| Will Jude Bellingham finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 73d | No | 2,540 | 66¢ → 60¢ | $1,511 | −$175 −10% |
| Ballon d'Or 2026: Rodri or Lionel Messi to finish higher?Ends in 73d | Messi | 4,700 | 42¢ → 32¢ | $1,480 | −$482 −25% |
| Will Fabian Ruiz finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 73d | No | 1,650 | 85¢ → 88¢ | $1,452 | +$56 +4.0% |
| Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?Ends in 73d | Yamal | 3,738 | 46¢ → 39¢ | $1,439 | −$285 −17% |
| Will Kylian Mbappé finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 73d | No | 5,925 | 26¢ → 22¢ | $1,274 | −$239 −16% |
| Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Ends in 73d | No | 1,499 | 32¢ → 85¢ | $1,267 | +$793 +167% |
| Will Fabian Ruiz finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 73d | No | 1,300 | 91¢ → 96¢ | $1,245 | +$58 +4.9% |
| Will Erling Haaland be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Ends in 163d | No | 1,500 | 85¢ → 83¢ | $1,238 | −$32 −2.6% |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?Ends in 77d | No | 1,238 | 80¢ → 96¢ | $1,194 | +$199 +20% |
| Will Michael Olise finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 73d | No | 1,195 | 91¢ → 95¢ | $1,140 | +$48 +4.4% |
| Will Pau Cubarsi finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 73d | No | 1,552 | 72¢ → 73¢ | $1,125 | +$10 +0.9% |
| Will Ousmane Dembélé finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 73d | No | 1,121 | 94¢ → 96¢ | $1,071 | +$17 +1.6% |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2028?Ends in 804d | No | 1,653 | 34¢ → 65¢ | $1,066 | +$497 +87% |
| Will Saudi airspace be closed by October 31?Ends in 12d | No | 1,100 | 92¢ → 96¢ | $1,051 | +$39 +3.8% |
| Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate?Ends in 15d | No | 1,079 | 92¢ → 95¢ | $1,025 | +$29 +2.9% |
| Will Trump's approval rating hit 44% by June 30, 2027?Ends in 254d | No | 1,081 | 84¢ → 95¢ | $1,022 | +$109 +12% |
| Will Trump's approval rating be at least 41.0 on October 23, 2026?Ends in 4d | No | 1,000 | 85¢ → 99¢ | $986 | +$141 +17% |
| Will João Neves finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 73d | No | 1,002 | 95¢ → 98¢ | $980 | +$23 +2.4% |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Ends in 73d | No | 1,383 | 80¢ → 71¢ | $975 | −$132 −12% |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?Ends in 73d | No | 1,002 | 84¢ → 97¢ | $972 | +$131 +16% |
| Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 73d | No | 994 | 91¢ → 96¢ | $959 | +$57 +6.3% |
| Will Rodri finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 73d | Yes | 1,202 | 57¢ → 79¢ | $943 | +$257 +37% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027?Ends in 163d | Yes | 1,500 | 71¢ → 62¢ | $922 | −$137 −13% |
| Will Trump's approval rating hit 32% by June 30, 2027?Ends in 254d | No | 1,010 | 82¢ → 89¢ | $894 | +$65 +7.8% |
| Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 1,422 | 43¢ → 63¢ | $889 | +$273 +44% |
| Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Ends in 163d | No | 818 | 91¢ → 96¢ | $782 | +$37 +4.9% |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 73d | No | 1,000 | 72¢ → 76¢ | $762 | +$45 +6.3% |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day?Ends in 438d | Yes | 4,333 | 8¢ → 17¢ | $750 | +$385 +105% |
| Will AI solve 3 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?Ends in 73d | No | 712 | 95¢ → 99¢ | $703 | +$28 +4.1% |
| Iran full airspace closure by December 31?Ends in 73d | Yes | 2,207 | 22¢ → 32¢ | $695 | +$219 +46% |
| Will Nicolás Maduro rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2026?Ends in 72d | No | 1,000 | 68¢ → 66¢ | $660 | −$25 −3.6% |
| Will Lionel Messi finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 73d | No | 783 | 80¢ → 83¢ | $646 | +$23 +3.7% |
| Will AfD be in the next Berlin state government?Ends ended | No | 623 | 96¢ → 98¢ | $611 | +$15 +2.6% |
| Will Erling Haaland rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2026?Ends in 72d | No | 1,058 | 49¢ → 56¢ | $592 | +$73 +14% |
| Will FDP be in the next Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state government?Ends ended | No | 600 | 94¢ → 98¢ | $590 | +$23 +4.1% |
| Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in December 2026 (ET)?Ends in 438d | No | 696 | 81¢ → 84¢ | $583 | +$22 +3.9% |
| Will Fabian Ruiz finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 73d | No | 1,724 | 31¢ → 34¢ | $578 | +$42 +7.9% |
| Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 40 and 60 million views on week 1?Ends in 3d | No | 1,597 | 34¢ → 36¢ | $567 | +$24 +4.4% |
| GTA VI released by October 31?Ends in 12d | No | 500 | 99¢ → >99¢ | $499 | +$3 +0.6% |
| Will Declan Rice finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 73d | No | 600 | 82¢ → 82¢ | $489 | −$3 −0.6% |
| Will Christopher Nolan win Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 254d | No | 1,395 | 32¢ → 35¢ | $481 | +$34 +7.6% |
| Will Achraf Hakimi finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 73d | No | 500 | 94¢ → 96¢ | $481 | +$11 +2.3% |
| Will the median home value in the US be between $419,000 and $423,000 on December 31?Ends in 83d | No | 471 | 84¢ → 96¢ | $452 | +$56 +14% |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?Ends in 438d | Yes | 5,119 | 2¢ → 8¢ | $433 | +$340 +367% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 9d | No | 500 | 70¢ → 86¢ | $428 | +$78 +22% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?Ends in 73d | No | 491 | 42¢ → 86¢ | $420 | +$214 +104% |
| Will Bad Bunny rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2026?Ends in 72d | No | 620 | 66¢ → 66¢ | $406 | −$5 −1.3% |
| Will Republicans win white voters in the midterms?Ends in 18d | Yes | 500 | 90¢ → 81¢ | $403 | −$48 −11% |
| Will OpenAI not announce that it has resumed training by October 20, 2026?Ends in 1d | Yes | 413 | 80¢ → 95¢ | $390 | +$61 +19% |
| Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Ends in 73d | No | 500 | 22¢ → 78¢ | $388 | +$278 +252% |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be $3.0T or greater at market close on IPO day?Ends in 438d | No | 402 | 92¢ → 96¢ | $386 | +$17 +4.6% |
| Will Trump's approval rating hit 30% by June 30, 2027?Ends in 254d | No | 431 | 82¢ → 89¢ | $384 | +$31 +8.8% |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 500 | 70¢ → 70¢ | $349 | +$0 +0.1% |
| Will Trump's approval rating be at least 37.0 on October 23, 2026?Ends in 4d | Yes | 356 | 77¢ → 96¢ | $343 | +$70 +25% |
| Paris curfew by October 21?Ends in 2d | No | 500 | 71¢ → 65¢ | $323 | −$31 −8.7% |
| Will Lance Oppenheim win Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 145d | No | 320 | 82¢ → 93¢ | $299 | +$35 +13% |
| Will SPD be in the next Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state government?Ends ended | Yes | 300 | 81¢ → 96¢ | $288 | +$46 +19% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?Ends in 12d | No | 300 | 88¢ → 92¢ | $275 | +$11 +4.0% |
| Will Lindsay Clancy be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Ends in 72d | Yes | 947 | 19¢ → 28¢ | $265 | +$88 +49% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Ends in 72d | No | 513 | 32¢ → 52¢ | $264 | +$100 +61% |
| OpenAI IPO before 2027?Ends in 73d | No | 259 | 96¢ → 97¢ | $251 | +$3 +1.0% |
| Will Trump's approval rating be at least 40.0 on October 23, 2026?Ends in 4d | No | 251 | 80¢ → 98¢ | $246 | +$45 +22% |
| Ballon d'Or 2026: Ousmane Dembélé or Khvicha Kvaratskhelia to finish higher?Ends in 73d | Kvaratskhelia | 345 | 54¢ → 66¢ | $226 | +$40 +21% |
| Taylor Swift pregnant before 2027?Ends in 73d | No | 278 | 89¢ → 80¢ | $222 | −$25 −10% |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026?Ends in 12d | No | 222 | 91¢ → 99¢ | $221 | +$18 +9.0% |
| Will Erling Haaland finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 73d | Yes | 302 | 69¢ → 73¢ | $219 | +$11 +5.3% |
| Will Jack Doherty post again on X by October 31?Ends in 12d | Yes | 630 | 59¢ → 35¢ | $218 | −$152 −41% |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?Ends in 73d | No | 220 | 90¢ → 97¢ | $213 | +$16 +8.0% |
| Anthropic IPO closing market cap above $2.25T?Ends in 438d | No | 238 | 58¢ → 85¢ | $201 | +$63 +46% |
| Will Michael Olise finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 73d | Yes | 220 | 86¢ → 88¢ | $193 | +$3 +1.7% |
| Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81Ends in 73d | No | 200 | 50¢ → 96¢ | $191 | +$91 +91% |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Ends in 438d | No | 300 | 39¢ → 61¢ | $182 | +$66 +57% |
| Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026?Ends in 73d | No | 195 | 80¢ → 90¢ | $176 | +$20 +13% |
| U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?Ends in 73d | No | 187 | 82¢ → 94¢ | $175 | +$22 +14% |
| Will Trump's approval rating hit 46% by June 30, 2027?Ends in 254d | No | 183 | 90¢ → 94¢ | $172 | +$8 +4.6% |
| Will Trump's approval rating be at least 38.0 on October 23, 2026?Ends in 4d | Yes | 200 | 50¢ → 86¢ | $172 | +$73 +73% |
| Will Rodri finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 73d | Yes | 176 | 95¢ → 97¢ | $171 | +$3 +2.0% |
| Plague pandemic in 2026?Ends in 73d | No | 170 | 95¢ → 98¢ | $167 | +$5 +3.0% |
| Will BSW be in the next Berlin state government?Ends ended | No | 150 | 95¢ → 99¢ | $149 | +$7 +4.6% |
| Will MrBeast hit 523 million subscribers by October 31?Ends in 11d | Yes | 145 | 59¢ → 98¢ | $142 | +$56 +65% |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day?Ends in 438d | No | 145 | 82¢ → 96¢ | $138 | +$20 +17% |
