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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +55 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 772d | Rainiak3 fills | Favorite to win on Polymarket day after debate? | SellKamala71¢ → 100¢ | $8,509 | −$3,524 −41% | — |
| 772d | JACK12 fills | Favorite to win on Polymarket day after debate? | SellKamala>99¢ | $7,053 | −$7 −0.1% | — |
| 772d |  CookedAlligator | Favorite to win on Polymarket day after debate? | SellKamala>99¢ | $1,261 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 772d | Chad-Wasp | Favorite to win on Polymarket day after debate? | BuyKamala>99¢ | $1,151 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 772d |  Slimedart | Favorite to win on Polymarket day after debate? | SellKamala>99¢ | $1,773 | −$4 −0.2% | — |
| 772d |  50Whence5 fills | Favorite to win on Polymarket day after debate? | BuyKamala95¢ → 100¢ | $254,228 | +$13,713 +5.4% | 4 |
| 772d | Hunter-Biden5 fills | Favorite to win on Polymarket day after debate? | BuyKamala98¢ → 100¢ | $143,959 | +$3,588 +2.5% | 4 |
| 772d |  aenews2 | Favorite to win on Polymarket day after debate? | BuyKamala>99¢ | $10,618 | +$32 +0.3% | 4 |
| 772d |  truthteller | Favorite to win on Polymarket day after debate? | SellKamala>99¢ | $3,454 | −$10 −0.3% | — |
| 772d | notgonnatrickme5 fills | Favorite to win on Polymarket day after debate? | BuyKamala92¢ → 100¢ | $75,998 | +$6,276 +8.3% | 4 |
| 772d | Qtyu3 fills | Favorite to win on Polymarket day after debate? | BuyKamala96¢ → 100¢ | $5,358 | +$211 +3.9% | 4 |
| 772d | CAMELTOE | Favorite to win on Polymarket day after debate? | SellKamala99¢ → 100¢ | $1,213 | −$9 −0.7% | — |
| 772d |  Brokie2 fills | Favorite to win on Polymarket day after debate? | BuyKamala95¢ → 100¢ | $6,953 | +$361 +5.2% | 4 |
| 772d | almost-never3 fills | Favorite to win on Polymarket day after debate? | BuyKamala78¢ → 100¢ | $13,239 | +$3,691 +28% | 11 |
| 772d | luckman777 | Favorite to win on Polymarket day after debate? | SellKamala99¢ → 100¢ | $1,704 | −$15 −0.9% | — |
| 772d |  carp3 fills | Favorite to win on Polymarket day after debate? | BuyKamala98¢ → 100¢ | $23,264 | +$445 +1.9% | 4 |
| 772d |  Pidor🐓 | Favorite to win on Polymarket day after debate? | SellKamala99¢ → 100¢ | $2,475 | −$25 −1.0% | — |
| 772d | aviato | Favorite to win on Polymarket day after debate? | BuyKamala99¢ → 100¢ | $1,984 | +$16 +0.8% | 4 |
| 772d | nopenopen | Favorite to win on Polymarket day after debate? | BuyTrump4¢ → 0¢ | $1,555 | −$1,555 −100% | 7 |
| 772d | rsftwer7 fills | Favorite to win on Polymarket day after debate? | SellKamala95¢ → 100¢ | $45,449 | −$2,399 −5.3% | — |
| 772d |  RedBullZero | Favorite to win on Polymarket day after debate? | SellKamala99¢ → 100¢ | $1,004 | −$10 −1.0% | — |
| 772d | ssxeet | Favorite to win on Polymarket day after debate? | BuyKamala99¢ → 100¢ | $4,221 | +$43 +1.0% | 4 |
| 772d |  RememberAmalek | Favorite to win on Polymarket day after debate? | SellKamala99¢ → 100¢ | $3,557 | −$43 −1.2% | — |
| 772d | nopenopen | Favorite to win on Polymarket day after debate? | SellKamala98¢ → 100¢ | $28,048 | −$543 −1.9% | — |
| 772d | truthteller2 fills | Favorite to win on Polymarket day after debate? | BuyKamala96¢ → 100¢ | $13,342 | +$539 +4.0% | 4 |
| 772d | RememberAmalek4 fills | Favorite to win on Polymarket day after debate? | BuyKamala67¢ → 100¢ | $9,410 | +$4,695 +50% | 4 |
| 772d | 0xe0f3208b94bBD4D1a3dEe319D4d574747297D823 fills | Favorite to win on Polymarket day after debate? | BuyKamala97¢ → 100¢ | $19,516 | +$602 +3.1% | 4 |
| 772d |  ANudeEgg | Favorite to win on Polymarket day after debate? | BuyTrump10¢ → 0¢ | $1,075 | −$1,075 −100% | 5 |
| 772d |  Gerdano | Favorite to win on Polymarket day after debate? | BuyKamala96¢ → 100¢ | $1,161 | +$48 +4.2% | 4 |
| 772d |  BustedCungly4 fills | Favorite to win on Polymarket day after debate? | SellTrump40¢ → 0¢ | $12,540 | +$12,540 +100% | — |
| 772d | ANudeEgg8 fills | Favorite to win on Polymarket day after debate? | SellKamala62¢ → 100¢ | $26,944 | −$16,502 −61% | — |
| 772d |  SexPistols2 fills | Favorite to win on Polymarket day after debate? | BuyKamala86¢ → 100¢ | $6,053 | +$982 +16% | 9 |
| 772d | Pidor🐓 | Favorite to win on Polymarket day after debate? | BuyKamala98¢ → 100¢ | $1,731 | +$41 +2.4% | 4 |
| 772d | sirConradz | Favorite to win on Polymarket day after debate? | SellKamala95¢ → 100¢ | $3,388 | −$178 −5.3% | — |
| 772d | sirConradz | Favorite to win on Polymarket day after debate? | BuyKamala96¢ → 100¢ | $3,412 | +$154 +4.5% | 4 |
| 772d | dontbullymeillcum | Favorite to win on Polymarket day after debate? | BuyKamala94¢ → 100¢ | $1,284 | +$82 +6.4% | 4 |
| 772d | acctpoly | Favorite to win on Polymarket day after debate? | BuyKamala95¢ → 100¢ | $8,428 | +$470 +5.6% | 4 |
| 772d |  occasionalAwareness2 fills | Favorite to win on Polymarket day after debate? | BuyTrump25¢ → 0¢ | $8,340 | −$8,340 −100% | 16 |
| 772d | BustedCungly5 fills | Favorite to win on Polymarket day after debate? | SellKamala56¢ → 100¢ | $18,300 | −$14,129 −77% | — |
| 772d | JohnFrumAmerica | Favorite to win on Polymarket day after debate? | SellKamala93¢ → 100¢ | $1,395 | −$105 −7.5% | — |
| 772d |  BlackSky123 | Favorite to win on Polymarket day after debate? | BuyKamala89¢ → 100¢ | $5,153 | +$637 +12% | 4 |
| 772d |  rivella | Favorite to win on Polymarket day after debate? | SellKamala88¢ → 100¢ | $1,127 | −$154 −14% | — |
| 772d | jl31287762 fills | Favorite to win on Polymarket day after debate? | SellKamala53¢ → 100¢ | $13,285 | −$11,945 −90% | — |
| 772d | PumpDotFunGuy | Favorite to win on Polymarket day after debate? | SellKamala89¢ → 100¢ | $2,297 | −$283 −12% | — |
| 772d |  09438 fills | Favorite to win on Polymarket day after debate? | BuyKamala60¢ → 100¢ | $22,253 | +$14,910 +67% | 4 |
| 772d |  pocahontasporker | Favorite to win on Polymarket day after debate? | SellKamala89¢ → 100¢ | $1,068 | −$132 −12% | — |
| 772d | JohnFrumAmerica | Favorite to win on Polymarket day after debate? | BuyKamala90¢ → 100¢ | $1,258 | +$140 +11% | 4 |
| 772d | Yeueu8 fills | Favorite to win on Polymarket day after debate? | BuyTrump51¢ → 0¢ | $37,551 | −$37,551 −100% | 9 |
| 772d |  funnyday3 fills | Favorite to win on Polymarket day after debate? | BuyKamala91¢ → 100¢ | $6,861 | +$640 +9.3% | 4 |
| 772d | 09435 fills | Favorite to win on Polymarket day after debate? | BuyTrump27¢ → 0¢ | $9,969 | −$9,969 −100% | 19 |
| 772d | Rainiak7 fills | Favorite to win on Polymarket day after debate? | SellTrump31¢ → 0¢ | $14,975 | +$14,975 +100% | — |
| 772d | polywog2 fills | Favorite to win on Polymarket day after debate? | SellTrump10¢ → 0¢ | $4,632 | +$4,632 +100% | — |
| 772d |  scattering3 fills | Favorite to win on Polymarket day after debate? | SellKamala65¢ → 100¢ | $5,286 | −$2,814 −53% | — |
| 772d |  Qualitative4 fills | Favorite to win on Polymarket day after debate? | BuyKamala76¢ → 100¢ | $9,247 | +$2,863 +31% | 4 |
| 772d |  SonOnTheRun3 fills | Favorite to win on Polymarket day after debate? | BuyTrump25¢ → 0¢ | $3,718 | −$3,718 −100% | 10 |
| 772d | EscalateFund | Favorite to win on Polymarket day after debate? | BuyKamala86¢ → 100¢ | $10,611 | +$1,748 +16% | 4 |
| 772d | Klein-Bottle-Capital-Management2 fills | Favorite to win on Polymarket day after debate? | BuyKamala68¢ → 100¢ | $2,408 | +$1,159 +48% | 4 |
| 772d | notgonnatrickme2 fills | Favorite to win on Polymarket day after debate? | SellTrump16¢ → 0¢ | $2,941 | +$2,941 +100% | — |
| 772d |  Usul4 fills | Favorite to win on Polymarket day after debate? | SellKamala70¢ → 100¢ | $14,302 | −$6,009 −42% | — |
| 772d | Vladimir007 | Favorite to win on Polymarket day after debate? | BuyKamala82¢ → 100¢ | $1,148 | +$250 +22% | 4 |
Kamala Harris and Donald Trump are currently scheduled to debate on September 10, 9 PM ET in an event hosted by ABC News. This market will resolve to “Kamala” if Kamala Harris is the Polymarket favorite to win the election one day after the debate. This market will resolve to “Trump” if Donald Trump is the favorite to win. The favorite to win one day after the debate will be determined by looking at the 4 hour time window 24 hours after the debate is scheduled to begin, between Sep 11, 9 PM ET and 1 AM ET. This market will resolve to whichever candidate is ahead more than the other during this period. The resolution source will be a comparison between the charts for each candidate found at https://polymarket.com/event/presidential-election-winner-2024 when the “6H” option is selected and decimals are turned on (settings icon -> Decimals toggled on). If the debate is postponed or cancelled, the rules will apply to the date one day after the first debate is rescheduled to begin. If no debate occurs before the election, this market will resolve to 50-50. The relevant data points will be those each minute during 9 PM ET to 1 AM ET (i.e. 9:00, 9:01 up to 12:59 AM ET) for each of the candidates. Each of these data points will be compared minute-by-minute, and this market will resolve to whichever candidate is ahead more than the other. For example if they are tied in 160 data points, Trump is ahead in 60 data points, and Harris is ahead in 20 data points, this market would resolve to "Trump."
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.