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Polymarket · EconomyClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 333d |  Snow-White | Fed Derivative: "No Change" or "25bp cut" favored on Monday? | Buy25bps cut>99¢ | $19,275 | +$19 +0.1% | 10 |
| 333d | Solmaxi8888.sol | Fed Derivative: "No Change" or "25bp cut" favored on Monday? | Sell25bps cut100¢ | $2,000 | −$10 −0.5% | — |
| 333d | FlyingPlaty | Fed Derivative: "No Change" or "25bp cut" favored on Monday? | Buy25bps cut>99¢ | $1,765 | +$4 +0.2% | 10 |
| 333d | SplendidAmadeus4 fills | Fed Derivative: "No Change" or "25bp cut" favored on Monday? | Buy25bps cut98¢ → 100¢ | $8,087 | +$165 +2.0% | 11 |
| 334d |  0xdc3E831cad2 fills | Fed Derivative: "No Change" or "25bp cut" favored on Monday? | Sell25bps cut96¢ → 100¢ | $4,557 | −$184 −4.0% | — |
| 334d |  Istaroth | Fed Derivative: "No Change" or "25bp cut" favored on Monday? | Sell25bps cut97¢ → 100¢ | $7,626 | −$236 −3.1% | — |
| 334d |  UwO | Fed Derivative: "No Change" or "25bp cut" favored on Monday? | Sell25bps cut98¢ → 100¢ | $2,938 | −$69 −2.3% | — |
| 334d | UwO | Fed Derivative: "No Change" or "25bp cut" favored on Monday? | Buy25bps cut99¢ → 100¢ | $2,843 | +$34 +1.2% | 10 |
| 334d | Skyzy | Fed Derivative: "No Change" or "25bp cut" favored on Monday? | Buy25bps cut98¢ → 100¢ | $3,990 | +$95 +2.4% | 11 |
| 335d | Istaroth | Fed Derivative: "No Change" or "25bp cut" favored on Monday? | Buy25bps cut98¢ → 100¢ | $7,800 | +$200 +2.6% | 11 |
| 335d | Solmaxi8888.sol2 fills | Fed Derivative: "No Change" or "25bp cut" favored on Monday? | Buy25bps cut96¢ → 100¢ | $3,056 | +$119 +3.9% | 11 |
| 335d | pako | Fed Derivative: "No Change" or "25bp cut" favored on Monday? | Buy25bps cut96¢ → 100¢ | $19,729 | +$823 +4.2% | 11 |
| 335d | scoobydoolover3 fills | Fed Derivative: "No Change" or "25bp cut" favored on Monday? | Buy25bps cut93¢ → 100¢ | $19,963 | +$1,505 +7.5% | 11 |
| 335d |  MettaWorldPeace00 | Fed Derivative: "No Change" or "25bp cut" favored on Monday? | Buy25bps cut94¢ → 100¢ | $2,030 | +$130 +6.4% | 11 |
| 336d |  bankstar | Fed Derivative: "No Change" or "25bp cut" favored on Monday? | Buy25bps cut93¢ → 100¢ | $1,348 | +$101 +7.5% | 11 |
This market will resolve to “No Change” if “No Change” is the favorite in the Dec 10, 2025 Fed decision market (https://polymarket.com/event/fed-decision-in-december) during the specified period. This market will resolve to “25 bps Cut” if “25 bps decrease” is the favorite during that period. The favorite will be determined by examining the 4-hour window between 10:00 AM ET and 1:59 PM ET on Monday, November 24, 2025. This market will resolve to whichever of “No Change” or “25 bps Cut / 25 bps decrease” is ahead in more individual minutes during this window. The resolution source will be the underlying minute-level price data for the Dec 10, 2025 “Fed decision in December?” market, which can be viewed using the bar chart on Federivative (https://federivative.polymarket.com/) with the range set to "6H" and the candle set to “1m” or through the “Resolution” tab on Federivative with the time set for November 24, 2025, 2:00 PM ET. This will display the 4-hour scoring window and the underlying minute-level comparisons. Both interfaces display the same underlying data.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.