| Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 8,050 | 80¢ → 95¢ | $7,652 | +$1,182 +18% |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 8,278 | 60¢ → 78¢ | $6,416 | +$1,448 +29% |
| Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?Ends in 281d | No | 6,226 | 68¢ → 87¢ | $5,416 | +$1,155 +27% |
| Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 6,403 | 24¢ → 81¢ | $5,186 | +$3,660 +240% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 5d | No | 5,000 | 47¢ → 93¢ | $4,625 | +$2,275 +97% |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 16,275 | 27¢ → 26¢ | $4,150 | −$244 −5.6% |
| AI bubble burst in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 4,230 | 90¢ → 91¢ | $3,853 | +$43 +1.1% |
| Will François Hollande be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 250d | No | 4,266 | 50¢ → 80¢ | $3,412 | +$1,294 +61% |
| Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 3,772 | 90¢ → 90¢ | $3,376 | −$9 −0.3% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 7d | Yes | 4,000 | 78¢ → 77¢ | $3,060 | −$60 −1.9% |
| Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2027?Ends in 434d | No | 3,631 | 79¢ → 78¢ | $2,814 | −$54 −1.9% |
| Will four or more people dissent the December Fed decision?Ends in 46d | No | 2,402 | 81¢ → 96¢ | $2,310 | +$367 +19% |
| Will Tyreek Hill sign with the Kansas City Chiefs in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 2,800 | 58¢ → 67¢ | $1,862 | +$250 +16% |
| Will primmie play for Global Esports in 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 1,564 | 94¢ → 97¢ | $1,519 | +$42 +2.8% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 1,859 | 82¢ → 82¢ | $1,515 | −$9 −0.6% |
| Will there be no Hormuz agreement?Ends in 11d | Yes | 1,500 | 88¢ → 99¢ | $1,484 | +$162 +12% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?Ends in 2d | Yes | 3,528 | 18¢ → 42¢ | $1,464 | +$829 +130% |
| Manchester City punishment announced by December 18?Ends in 56d | No | 1,741 | 58¢ → 79¢ | $1,367 | +$354 +35% |
| Manchester City punishment announced by December 4?Ends in 42d | No | 1,633 | 78¢ → 83¢ | $1,347 | +$73 +5.8% |
| Will four or more people dissent the January Fed decision?Ends in 96d | No | 1,393 | 85¢ → 95¢ | $1,323 | +$133 +11% |
| Will Kraken be first to list tokenized stocks in the US?Ends in 434d | No | 1,385 | 53¢ → 94¢ | $1,304 | +$573 +78% |
| AI bubble burst by June 30, 2027?Ends in 250d | No | 1,600 | 78¢ → 80¢ | $1,272 | +$28 +2.2% |
| Will Snapchat be acquired before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 1,152 | 88¢ → 96¢ | $1,103 | +$88 +8.7% |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?Ends in 434d | Yes | 1,985 | 17¢ → 54¢ | $1,072 | +$744 +227% |
| Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 10%-20%?Ends in 1d | Yes | 1,738 | 11¢ → 57¢ | $999 | +$809 +425% |
| Will no one dissent the January Fed decision?Ends in 96d | Yes | 1,511 | 20¢ → 61¢ | $914 | +$608 +198% |
| Lecornu out as French PM by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 925 | 90¢ → 97¢ | $896 | +$63 +7.6% |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 746d | Yes | 5,949 | 42¢ → 15¢ | $866 | −$1,608 −65% |
| Will Oklahoma enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028?Ends in 800d | No | 1,300 | 61¢ → 67¢ | $865 | +$73 +9.2% |
| Will Juan Branco be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 176d | No | 920 | 89¢ → 94¢ | $860 | +$39 +4.8% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?Ends in 2d | Yes | 3,857 | 11¢ → 22¢ | $829 | +$406 +96% |
| Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 20%-30%?Ends in 1d | Yes | 4,738 | 30¢ → 18¢ | $829 | −$591 −42% |
| Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 807 | 80¢ → 95¢ | $770 | +$122 +19% |
| Will AI solve 1 more Millennium Prize Problem in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 5,449 | 20¢ → 14¢ | $763 | −$306 −29% |
| Will prjx launch a token by December 31, 2027?Ends in 434d | No | 943 | 65¢ → 79¢ | $745 | +$137 +22% |
| Will Talarico and Paxton debate live by October 31?Ends in 8d | No | 800 | 69¢ → 89¢ | $708 | +$156 +28% |
| Will no live-action Miles Morales actor be chosen by end of 2027?Ends in 434d | Yes | 826 | 36¢ → 85¢ | $698 | +$401 +135% |
| Will NuScale announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?Ends in 434d | No | 747 | 92¢ → 90¢ | $668 | −$19 −2.7% |
| SpaceX becomes a US mobile carrier by June 30, 2027?Ends in 250d | No | 788 | 60¢ → 82¢ | $646 | +$176 +37% |
| Will "Despacito" by Luis Fonsi, Daddy Yankee be on the radio in GTA VI at launch?Ends in 41d | No | 670 | 87¢ → 89¢ | $596 | +$13 +2.3% |
| Will South African inflation be greater than 5.0% in 2026?Ends in 89d | Yes | 753 | 61¢ → 78¢ | $588 | +$126 +27% |
| Will Amazon launch a Muse-like personal agent before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 639 | 81¢ → 92¢ | $584 | +$65 +12% |
| Will no one dissent the December Fed decision?Ends in 47d | Yes | 1,006 | 20¢ → 55¢ | $554 | +$357 +182% |
| Will "End of Beginning – Djo" be the #2 song for 2026?Ends in 100d | Yes | 4,210 | 14¢ → 13¢ | $547 | −$29 −5.1% |
| Will Japan's core CPI increase by less than or equal to 1.9% in 2026?Ends in 90d | Yes | 1,903 | 45¢ → 29¢ | $544 | −$318 −37% |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026?Ends in 1d | No | 555 | 28¢ → 97¢ | $536 | +$383 +251% |
| Will "Babydoll — Dominic Fike" be the top song for 2026?Ends in 100d | Yes | 4,142 | 11¢ → 13¢ | $532 | +$63 +14% |
| Will Texas enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028?Ends in 800d | No | 735 | 53¢ → 70¢ | $511 | +$118 +30% |
| Will Tencent be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?Ends in 250d | No | 581 | 68¢ → 87¢ | $503 | +$107 +27% |
| Will Lionel Messi attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?Ends in 38d | No | 646 | 53¢ → 72¢ | $462 | +$121 +36% |
| Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?Ends in 434d | No | 4,000 | 73¢ → 12¢ | $460 | −$2,460 −84% |
| Will "Godzilla Minus Zero" score at least 98 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Ends in 16d | No | 483 | 88¢ → 94¢ | $452 | +$25 +5.9% |
| Will it snow in Pittsburgh, PA by November 30?Ends in 41d | Yes | 464 | 78¢ → 94¢ | $436 | +$74 +21% |
| Alibaba matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31?Ends in 8d | No | 437 | 90¢ → >99¢ | $435 | +$42 +11% |
| Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?Ends in 434d | No | 5,000 | 64¢ → 9¢ | $425 | −$2,785 −87% |
| Will the Rhine River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026?Ends in 7d | No | 1,313 | 62¢ → 32¢ | $420 | −$394 −48% |
| Will Tanoa Sasraku win the Turner Prize 2026?Ends in 159d | Yes | 1,823 | 21¢ → 23¢ | $410 | +$35 +9.4% |
| Will "As It Was" by Harry Styles be on the radio in GTA VI at launch?Ends in 41d | No | 468 | 85¢ → 88¢ | $409 | +$12 +2.9% |
| Will AI solve the Hadamard matrix conjecture in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 471 | 83¢ → 86¢ | $403 | +$13 +3.3% |
| Mistral matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31?Ends in 8d | No | 401 | 84¢ → 99¢ | $397 | +$60 +18% |
| Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?Ends in 434d | No | 6,999 | 52¢ → 6¢ | $385 | −$3,255 −89% |
| Will "You Can See Everything" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 90d | No | 1,416 | 65¢ → 27¢ | $382 | −$544 −59% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?Ends in 53d | No | 1,859 | 19¢ → 21¢ | $381 | +$28 +7.9% |
| Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Santa Catarina?Ends in 2d | No | 382 | 94¢ → 99¢ | $379 | +$19 +5.2% |
| Amazon matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31?Ends in 8d | No | 390 | 80¢ → 97¢ | $378 | +$68 +22% |
| Will Manchester City be deducted 0 Premier League points?Ends in 250d | Yes | 1,200 | 18¢ → 31¢ | $366 | +$150 +69% |
| Does a card sell for more than Logan’s record $16,492,000 by the end of 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 350 | 84¢ → 95¢ | $334 | +$40 +14% |
| Will "Blinding Lights" by The Weeknd be on the radio in GTA VI at launch?Ends in 41d | No | 417 | 80¢ → 78¢ | $325 | −$8 −2.5% |
| Will any contestant beat Luke Littler?Ends in 7d | Yes | 462 | 21¢ → 70¢ | $324 | +$226 +230% |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?Ends in 38d | Yes | 556 | 56¢ → 58¢ | $322 | +$10 +3.1% |
| Manchester City punishment announced by November 6?Ends in 14d | No | 340 | 72¢ → 92¢ | $313 | +$68 +28% |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026?Ends in 7d | No | 351 | 43¢ → 89¢ | $312 | +$162 +108% |
| Will Manchester City's 115 charges verdict be overturned by June 30, 2027?Ends in 250d | No | 358 | 69¢ → 87¢ | $311 | +$63 +26% |
| Google matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31?Ends in 8d | No | 341 | 44¢ → 89¢ | $303 | +$154 +104% |
| Manchester City punishment announced by October 23?Ends in 8h | No | 308 | 75¢ → 98¢ | $301 | +$70 +30% |
| Will the Rhine River fail to return to normal levels before November 1, 2026?Ends in 8d | Yes | 919 | 61¢ → 33¢ | $299 | −$262 −47% |
| Will James Comer be the Republican nominee for Kentucky Governor?Ends in 207d | Yes | 346 | 49¢ → 86¢ | $296 | +$126 +74% |
| Will Confluent (CFLT) beat quarterly earnings?Ends in 2d | No | 309 | 79¢ → 95¢ | $295 | +$50 +20% |
| Will Bad Bunny be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Ends in 159d | Yes | 2,904 | 1¢ → 10¢ | $290 | +$265 +1040% |
| Will Julian Assange win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2027?Ends in 525d | No | 295 | 89¢ → 98¢ | $288 | +$25 +9.4% |
| Will Australia win Group D at the 2027 AFC Asian Cup?Ends in 105d | Yes | 392 | 78¢ → 73¢ | $286 | −$20 −6.4% |
| Will four or more people dissent the October Fed decision?Ends in 4d | No | 282 | 84¢ → 95¢ | $267 | +$30 +13% |
| Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?Ends in 434d | No | 7,000 | 39¢ → 4¢ | $266 | −$2,434 −90% |
| Will Eli Lilly (LLY) beat quarterly earnings?Ends in 5d | No | 581 | 42¢ → 44¢ | $256 | +$10 +4.1% |
| Will StandX launch a token by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 250 | 57¢ → 98¢ | $244 | +$102 +71% |
| Will OpenAI IPO by June 30, 2027?Ends in 250d | No | 373 | 45¢ → 64¢ | $239 | +$71 +42% |
| Will "Godzilla Minus Zero" score at least 96 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Ends in 16d | No | 413 | 61¢ → 57¢ | $237 | −$15 −6.0% |
| Will Carvana (CVNA) beat quarterly earnings?Ends in 4d | No | 260 | 26¢ → 89¢ | $231 | +$165 +248% |
| Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by less than 10%?Ends in 1d | Yes | 1,308 | 11¢ → 18¢ | $231 | +$88 +61% |
| Will OpenAI IPO by March 31 2027?Ends in 159d | No | 284 | 62¢ → 80¢ | $227 | +$52 +30% |
| Will South African inflation be between 4.4% and 4.7% in 2026?Ends in 89d | No | 235 | 90¢ → 95¢ | $223 | +$11 +5.1% |
| Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch?Ends in 434d | No | 1,500 | 77¢ → 14¢ | $218 | −$937 −81% |
| Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 237 | 89¢ → 88¢ | $209 | −$3 −1.6% |
| Will Alysa Liu be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Ends in 159d | Yes | 4,000 | 1¢ → 5¢ | $204 | +$169 +481% |
| Will Manchester City be deducted Premier League points by June 30, 2027?Ends in 250d | No | 791 | 15¢ → 26¢ | $202 | +$85 +73% |
| Will Ricky Pearsall have 674.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Ends in 95d | No | 192 | 98¢ → 99¢ | $189 | +$2 +1.0% |
| No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the December 2026 meeting?Ends in 45d | Yes | 263 | 64¢ → 71¢ | $187 | +$18 +10% |
| SpaceXAI matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31?Ends in 8d | No | 196 | 54¢ → 94¢ | $183 | +$77 +73% |
| No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after December 2026 meeting?Ends in 54d | Yes | 297 | 50¢ → 60¢ | $177 | +$30 +20% |
| Will Simeon Barclay win the Turner Prize 2026?Ends in 159d | Yes | 883 | 6¢ → 19¢ | $168 | +$113 +204% |
