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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 bps increase? | 100% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| 25 bps increase? | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1045d |  ImJustKen | 25 bps increase? | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,980 | +$20 +0.2% | 10 |
| 1046d | StandardAndPoor500 | 0 bps increase? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,988 | +$12 +0.6% | 10 |
| 1054d |  unknowndemonzs2 fills | 0 bps increase? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $5,750 | +$51 +0.9% | 10 |
| 1054d | unknowndemonzs | 25 bps increase? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,396 | +$24 +1.0% | 10 |
| 1067d |  taut-dogwood3 fills | 0 bps increase? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $5,445 | +$55 +1.0% | 10 |
| 1067d | taut-dogwood2 fills | 25 bps increase? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,519 | +$36 +1.0% | 10 |
Market Group on December Fed interest rates.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 0 bps increase? means the market gives it about 100%.