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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No Change | 100% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| 50+ bps decrease | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| 25 bps decrease | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| 25+ bps increase | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 863d |  50Whence3 fills | 50+ bps decrease | BuyNo>99¢ | $8,716 | +$16 +0.2% | 10 |
| 863d | Kapii | 25 bps decrease | SellNo>99¢ | $2,997 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 863d | 0xmaniac | No Change | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,840 | +$2 +0.1% | 10 |
| 863d |  Squee | 25 bps decrease | SellNo>99¢ | $5,620 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 863d | Squee2 fills | No Change | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $18,805 | −$444 −2.4% | — |
| 863d | 50Whence | 25 bps decrease | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,994 | +$6 +0.3% | 10 |
| 863d | Kapii | 25 bps decrease | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,000 | +$51 +1.0% | 10 |
| 863d | Squee7 fills | 25 bps decrease | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $22,538 | +$492 +2.2% | 10 |
| 863d |  Kickstand7 | No Change | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $30,078 | +$366 +1.2% | 10 |
| 863d |  ImJustKen | 25 bps decrease | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $7,367 | +$166 +2.3% | 10 |
| 863d | Squee3 fills | No Change | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $5,993 | +$172 +2.9% | 10 |
| 863d | polyproguy | No Change | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,948 | +$52 +2.7% | 10 |
| 863d | professorx | 50+ bps decrease | BuyNo>99¢ | $100,104 | +$172 +0.2% | 10 |
| 863d | 50Whence2 fills | 25+ bps increase | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,187 | +$13 +0.2% | 10 |
| 863d | DH2024 | No Change | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,001 | +$27 +2.7% | 10 |
| 863d |  gopfan | No Change | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $7,896 | +$212 +2.7% | 11 |
| 863d | professorx | 25+ bps increase | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,258 | +$5 +0.4% | 10 |
| 863d | SitsToPee | No Change | SellYes96¢ → 100¢ | $2,883 | −$117 −4.1% | — |
| 863d |  Yuidesu | No Change | SellYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,773 | −$72 −4.0% | — |
| 863d |  Anjun | No Change | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,465 | −$43 −2.9% | — |
| 863d |  enderone | No Change | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,263 | +$27 +2.1% | 11 |
| 863d | DumbMoney1 | No Change | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,178 | +$27 +2.3% | 11 |
| 864d |  aenews2 | No Change | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $9,668 | +$268 +2.8% | 11 |
| 864d | chph1988 | 25 bps decrease | BuyYes5¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 18 |
| 864d |  456ythgbvcadscvb3 fills | No Change | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $12,295 | +$366 +3.0% | 10 |
| 864d |  WordleAddict | 25+ bps increase | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,238 | +$2 +0.2% | 10 |
| 864d | WordleAddict2 fills | 50+ bps decrease | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,627 | +$13 +0.4% | 10 |
| 864d | WordleAddict2 fills | 25 bps decrease | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $3,541 | +$99 +2.8% | 10 |
| 864d | jusa02 | 50+ bps decrease | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,029 | +$1 +0.1% | 10 |
| 864d |  12xmrbolt | 50+ bps decrease | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,063 | +$6 +0.2% | 10 |
| 865d |  BuckMySalls2 fills | No Change | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $15,600 | +$457 +2.9% | 10 |
| 865d | BuckMySalls | 25 bps decrease | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $19,696 | +$526 +2.7% | 10 |
| 865d | hansang | 25+ bps increase | SellNo>99¢ | $1,346 | −$3 −0.2% | — |
| 865d | hansang | 25+ bps increase | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,347 | +$1 +0.1% | 10 |
| 866d | sadad | No Change | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $9,675 | +$316 +3.3% | 10 |
| 866d | 50Whence | No Change | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,082 | −$33 −3.1% | — |
| 867d |  funnyday | No Change | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,066 | +$34 +3.2% | 10 |
| 869d |  Alicia | 25 bps decrease | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,487 | −$46 −3.1% | — |
| 869d |  fhantombets | 50+ bps decrease | BuyNo100¢ | $1,105 | +$6 +0.5% | 10 |
| 869d | fhantombets | 25+ bps increase | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,107 | +$4 +0.4% | 10 |
| 869d |  BLOXLUCK | 25 bps decrease | BuyYes3¢ → 0¢ | $2,935 | −$2,935 −100% | 20 |
| 873d |  kopi | 25 bps decrease | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $4,600 | −$106 −2.3% | — |
| 873d | kopi | 25 bps decrease | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $4,613 | +$94 +2.0% | 10 |
| 873d | Squee | 50+ bps decrease | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,634 | +$27 +1.0% | 10 |
| 874d |  merfy | 25+ bps increase | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,558 | −$38 −0.8% | — |
| 874d | merfy | 25+ bps increase | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,569 | +$28 +0.6% | 10 |
| 874d | 0x6eE5184eD2F5c956fF61725B53 | 25+ bps increase | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,068 | −$8 −0.7% | — |
| 874d | 0x6eE5184eD2F5c956fF61725B53 | 25+ bps increase | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,069 | +$6 +0.6% | 10 |
| 874d | ASOFE | 50+ bps decrease | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $6,593 | −$67 −1.0% | — |
| 875d |  McDonalds-Employee3 fills | No Change | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $14,954 | +$618 +4.1% | 10 |
| 879d |  truthteller | 25+ bps increase | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,194 | −$8 −0.7% | — |
| 881d | undertaker8 fills | 50+ bps decrease | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $15,588 | +$90 +0.6% | 10 |
| 882d | truthteller | 50+ bps decrease | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,146 | −$9 −0.8% | — |
| 883d |  taut-dogwood9 fills | No Change | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $18,924 | +$705 +3.7% | 10 |
| 883d | 0xmaniac | 50+ bps decrease | BuyNo100¢ | $1,334 | +$7 +0.5% | 10 |
| 883d | professorx | No Change | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,064 | +$36 +3.4% | 10 |
| 884d | Squee | 25+ bps increase | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,028 | +$9 +0.9% | 10 |
| 888d | undertaker8 fills | 25+ bps increase | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $15,865 | +$136 +0.9% | 10 |
| 888d | undertaker8 fills | 25 bps decrease | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $15,456 | +$545 +3.5% | 10 |
| 891d | truthteller | No Change | SellYes93¢ → 100¢ | $7,368 | −$554 −7.5% | — |
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Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for No Change means the market gives it about 100%.