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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 674d | abeautifulmind | Fed rate hike in 2024? | BuyNo>99¢ | $67,568 | +$135 +0.2% | 10 |
| 676d | semi | Fed rate hike in 2024? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,103 | +$15 +0.7% | 10 |
| 677d | Fed rate hike in 2024? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,187 | −$9 −0.8% | — | |
| 698d | Fed rate hike in 2024? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,970 | +$30 +1.5% | 10 | |
| 707d | luketheduke3 fills | Fed rate hike in 2024? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $8,637 | −$188 −2.2% | — |
| 711d | luketheduke2 fills | Fed rate hike in 2024? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $10,971 | +$103 +0.9% | 10 |
| 731d | Fed rate hike in 2024? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,166 | −$74 −3.4% | — | |
| 736d | Fed rate hike in 2024? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,710 | −$58 −3.4% | — | |
| 749d | 🫠. | Fed rate hike in 2024? | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $6,268 | −$242 −3.9% | — |
| 762d | xcnstrategy2 fills | Fed rate hike in 2024? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $5,003 | +$180 +3.6% | 10 |
| 769d | Fed rate hike in 2024? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $3,300 | +$129 +3.9% | 10 | |
| 774d | 0xfe91…70ff | Fed rate hike in 2024? | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,376 | −$62 −4.5% | — |
| 790d | Fed rate hike in 2024? | SellNo92¢ → 100¢ | $10,753 | −$916 −8.5% | — | |
| 801d | Fed rate hike in 2024? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $4,580 | −$161 −3.5% | — | |
| 810d | commeowder | Fed rate hike in 2024? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $8,100 | +$426 +5.3% | 10 |
| 812d | Fed rate hike in 2024? | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $8,684 | +$513 +5.9% | 10 | |
| 813d | ktemp | Fed rate hike in 2024? | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,410 | +$90 +6.4% | 10 |
| 819d | Fed rate hike in 2024? | SellNo94¢ → 100¢ | $6,056 | −$387 −6.4% | — | |
| 820d | Fed rate hike in 2024? | SellNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,880 | −$120 −6.4% | — | |
| 822d | Fed rate hike in 2024? | SellNo91¢ → 100¢ | $11,775 | −$1,127 −9.6% | — | |
| 822d | Fed rate hike in 2024? | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,477 | −$78 −5.3% | — | |
| 868d | 🫠. | Fed rate hike in 2024? | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $5,778 | +$720 +12% | 10 |
| 879d | Fed rate hike in 2024? | SellNo86¢ → 100¢ | $6,719 | −$1,093 −16% | — | |
| 890d | Fed rate hike in 2024? | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $1,820 | +$180 +9.9% | 10 | |
| 910d | sadfds1214 | Fed rate hike in 2024? | BuyNo86¢ → 100¢ | $2,078 | +$338 +16% | 10 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between April 25 and December 18, 2024's Fed meeting. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate changes information following its December 18 meeting. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.