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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Italy | 100% | +35 pts | +49 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Luxembourg | 0% | −13 pts | −12 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Draw (Luxembourg vs. Italy) | 0% | −22 pts | −17 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 142d | silvio123 | Italy | SellYes>99¢ | $2,386 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 142d | willlyouare | Italy | SellYes>99¢ | $1,618 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 142d | jojo-psg | Italy | SellYes>99¢ | $2,251 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 142d | Khalipa | Italy | SellYes>99¢ | $1,448 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 142d |  Fishy-Acrrrer | Italy | SellYes>99¢ | $2,053 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 142d | Clever-Circulation | Italy | SellYes>99¢ | $2,010 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 142d | mr.r0b0t | Italy | SellYes>99¢ | $1,129 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 142d | Unlucky-Begonia | Italy | SellYes>99¢ | $6,355 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 142d |  alpheclabs | Italy | SellYes>99¢ | $2,246 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 142d | anon.1980.123 | Italy | SellYes>99¢ | $31,335 | −$31 −0.1% | — |
| 142d | chrxsontherun | Italy | SellYes>99¢ | $3,367 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 142d | hlopack | Italy | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,035 | −$10 −1.0% | — |
| 142d | suntori | Italy | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,603 | −$16 −1.0% | — |
| 142d | OriginalGeezer | Italy | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,970 | −$30 −1.0% | — |
| 142d |  Rick-Ross2 fills | Italy | SellYes75¢ → 100¢ | $4,032 | −$1,328 −33% | — |
| 142d | Lilybaeum | Draw (Luxembourg vs. Italy) | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,008 | +$10 +1.0% | 4 |
| 142d |  penguinx | Italy | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $10,222 | +$103 +1.0% | 4 |
| 142d |  MiLive | Italy | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $5,490 | +$65 +1.2% | 4 |
| 142d | anon.1980.1233 fills | Italy | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $30,133 | +$1,233 +4.1% | 4 |
| 142d | -JB- | Luxembourg | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,067 | +$9 +0.1% | 4 |
| 142d | Unlucky-Begonia | Italy | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $6,000 | +$361 +6.0% | 4 |
| 142d | swisstony3 fills | Italy | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $6,621 | +$734 +11% | 4 |
| 142d | bvvallseMarket | Italy | SellYes92¢ → 100¢ | $1,557 | −$135 −8.7% | — |
| 142d | DBB1 | Italy | SellYes89¢ → 100¢ | $3,042 | −$376 −12% | — |
| 142d | mr.r0b0t | Italy | BuyYes89¢ → 100¢ | $1,006 | +$124 +12% | 4 |
| 142d | bambaaaa | Italy | SellYes88¢ → 100¢ | $5,813 | −$799 −14% | — |
| 142d | chrxsontherun | Italy | BuyYes89¢ → 100¢ | $3,000 | +$371 +12% | 4 |
| 142d | Smooth-Credenza | Italy | SellYes87¢ → 100¢ | $1,325 | −$194 −15% | — |
| 142d | swy01 | Italy | SellYes87¢ → 100¢ | $1,268 | −$189 −15% | — |
| 142d | anon.1980.123 | Luxembourg | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $9,947 | +$100 +1.0% | 4 |
| 142d | willlyouare | Italy | BuyYes87¢ → 100¢ | $1,146 | +$171 +15% | 4 |
| 142d | bvvallseMarket | Italy | BuyYes87¢ → 100¢ | $1,478 | +$214 +15% | 4 |
| 142d | drop1234 | Draw (Luxembourg vs. Italy) | SellNo87¢ → 100¢ | $1,438 | −$215 −15% | — |
| 142d | Rick-Ross2 fills | Italy | BuyYes75¢ → 100¢ | $4,000 | +$1,360 +34% | 11 |
| 142d | MartyMcFox | Draw (Luxembourg vs. Italy) | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $1,048 | +$122 +12% | 4 |
| 142d | drop1234 | Draw (Luxembourg vs. Italy) | BuyNo73¢ → 100¢ | $1,389 | +$511 +37% | 4 |
| 142d |  RN1 | Luxembourg | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,782 | +$137 +7.7% | 4 |
| 142d | drop1234 | Italy | BuyYes62¢ → 100¢ | $1,398 | +$840 +60% | 4 |
| 142d | mo.gh7 | Italy | SellYes55¢ → 100¢ | $1,393 | −$1,140 −82% | — |
| 142d | mo.gh7 | Italy | BuyYes56¢ → 100¢ | $1,423 | +$1,118 +79% | 4 |
| 142d | swisstony | Luxembourg | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $2,328 | +$317 +14% | 4 |
| 142d | Nutty-Account | Italy | BuyNo38¢ → 0¢ | $3,500 | −$3,500 −100% | 4 |
| 142d |  us391 | Italy | BuyNo36¢ → 0¢ | $1,192 | −$1,192 −100% | 4 |
| 142d | richerZ | Luxembourg | BuyNo86¢ → 100¢ | $1,408 | +$229 +16% | 4 |
| 142d | zzaqq2 | Luxembourg | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $6,068 | +$750 +12% | 8 |
| 142d | BaltazarGombka | Italy | BuyYes70¢ → 100¢ | $2,950 | +$1,264 +43% | 14 |
| 142d | suntori | Italy | BuyYes69¢ → 100¢ | $1,117 | +$502 +45% | 14 |
| 142d | hedgevaultmainnet1 | Italy | BuyNo32¢ → 0¢ | $1,650 | −$1,650 −100% | 14 |
| 142d | 0x5d1d…afd22 fills | Draw (Luxembourg vs. Italy) | BuyNo81¢ → 100¢ | $2,287 | +$520 +23% | 9 |
| 142d | Cannae3 fills | Luxembourg | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $4,067 | +$574 +14% | 8 |
| 142d | Cannae2 fills | Draw (Luxembourg vs. Italy) | BuyNo80¢ → 100¢ | $2,287 | +$573 +25% | 9 |
| 142d | Tys0n86862 fills | Italy | SellNo32¢ → 0¢ | $3,387 | +$3,387 +100% | — |
| 142d | martnh23 | Italy | SellNo32¢ → 0¢ | $1,499 | +$1,499 +100% | — |
| 142d | martnh23 | Italy | BuyNo32¢ → 0¢ | $2,668 | −$2,668 −100% | 14 |
| 142d | silvio123 | Italy | BuyYes69¢ → 100¢ | $1,648 | +$741 +45% | 14 |
| 142d | donthackme3 fills | Draw (Luxembourg vs. Italy) | BuyNo81¢ → 100¢ | $4,860 | +$1,140 +23% | 9 |
| 142d | donthackme3 fills | Luxembourg | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $5,280 | +$720 +14% | 7 |
| 142d | OriginalGeezer3 fills | Italy | BuyYes70¢ → 100¢ | $24,175 | +$10,404 +43% | 12 |
| 142d | bambaaaa | Italy | BuyYes69¢ → 100¢ | $4,551 | +$2,062 +45% | 12 |
| 142d | 0x5d1d…afd2 | Italy | BuyYes67¢ → 100¢ | $1,606 | +$791 +49% | 12 |
This event is for the upcoming FIFA International Friendlies game, scheduled for Wednesday, June 3, 2026 between Luxembourg and Italy.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Italy means the market gives it about 100%.