| Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 6d | No | 3,325 | 92¢ → 99¢ | $3,285 | +$226 +7.4% |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 7d | Yes | 3,517 | 3¢ → 90¢ | $3,155 | +$3,045 +2770% |
| Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?Ends in 36d | No | 4,748 | 66¢ → 63¢ | $3,013 | −$107 −3.4% |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 4,061 | 75¢ → 73¢ | $2,944 | −$101 −3.3% |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 6,924 | 4¢ → 39¢ | $2,693 | +$2,446 +989% |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 3d | Yes | 3,262 | 1¢ → 78¢ | $2,530 | +$2,493 +6803% |
| Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Ends in 43d | Yes | 2,494 | 3¢ → 98¢ | $2,440 | +$2,362 +3031% |
| Will the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?Ends in 36d | No | 3,530 | 73¢ → 68¢ | $2,395 | −$198 −7.7% |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?Ends in 76d | Yes | 2,561 | 4¢ → 94¢ | $2,394 | +$2,303 +2518% |
| Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 2,593 | 89¢ → 87¢ | $2,256 | −$50 −2.2% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | Yes | 2,720 | 3¢ → 79¢ | $2,160 | +$2,075 +2441% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?Ends in 46d | Yes | 2,864 | 20¢ → 74¢ | $2,120 | +$1,547 +270% |
| Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?Ends in 99d | Yes | 2,178 | 10¢ → 96¢ | $2,096 | +$1,878 +863% |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 2,124 | 8¢ → 96¢ | $2,045 | +$1,881 +1151% |
| Will the Republicans win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 2,121 | 95¢ → 96¢ | $2,041 | +$22 +1.1% |
| Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Ends in 4d | No | 2,687 | 69¢ → 70¢ | $1,867 | +$9 +0.5% |
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Pará?Ends in 2d | No | 2,021 | 87¢ → 88¢ | $1,768 | +$4 +0.2% |
| Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 1,846 | 87¢ → 92¢ | $1,689 | +$82 +5.1% |
| Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 2,031 | 76¢ → 82¢ | $1,665 | +$119 +7.7% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 3,264 | 4¢ → 50¢ | $1,616 | +$1,490 +1187% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the KY-06 House seat?Ends in 11d | No | 2,907 | 66¢ → 54¢ | $1,555 | −$358 −19% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the NC-09 House seat?Ends in 11d | No | 1,983 | 73¢ → 77¢ | $1,517 | +$68 +4.7% |
| Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 4,584 | 49¢ → 33¢ | $1,490 | −$772 −34% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the VA-05 House seat?Ends in 11d | No | 2,148 | 65¢ → 65¢ | $1,396 | −$3 −0.2% |
| Will Professora Maria do Carmo win the 2026 Amazonas gubernatorial election?Ends ended | No | 1,619 | 84¢ → 83¢ | $1,335 | −$17 −1.2% |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening week in 2026?Ends in 100d | No | 2,171 | 61¢ → 58¢ | $1,259 | −$73 −5.5% |
| Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?Ends in 3d | No | 1,906 | 69¢ → 66¢ | $1,249 | −$67 −5.1% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?Ends in 96d | No | 1,734 | 64¢ → 72¢ | $1,240 | +$123 +11% |
| Will the Republicans win the Illinois governor race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 1,217 | 94¢ → 97¢ | $1,182 | +$38 +3.4% |
| Will Santiago Abascal be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Ends in 524d | No | 1,199 | 96¢ → 98¢ | $1,175 | +$23 +2.0% |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 3d | Yes | 7,554 | 1¢ → 15¢ | $1,099 | +$1,014 +1195% |
| No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 6d | Yes | 1,063 | 20¢ → 97¢ | $1,030 | +$817 +384% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?Ends in 46d | Yes | 4,443 | 20¢ → 23¢ | $1,022 | +$133 +15% |
| Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Ends in 18h | No | 1,374 | 70¢ → 74¢ | $1,010 | +$42 +4.3% |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 4d | Yes | 1,886 | 4¢ → 52¢ | $978 | +$910 +1352% |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 1,524 | 66¢ → 64¢ | $968 | −$34 −3.4% |
| Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 6d | No | 972 | 88¢ → 97¢ | $946 | +$86 +10% |
| Will the Swiss National Bank increase the SNB policy rate by 25 bps at the December meeting?Ends in 47d | No | 1,159 | 81¢ → 81¢ | $943 | −$1 −0.1% |
| Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Ends in 4d | Yes | 1,350 | 3¢ → 70¢ | $938 | +$904 +2611% |
| Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 10%-20%?Ends in 18h | Yes | 1,476 | 10¢ → 62¢ | $915 | +$768 +520% |
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá?Ends in 2d | No | 2,569 | 30¢ → 35¢ | $899 | +$134 +17% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the MT-01 House seat?Ends in 11d | No | 1,565 | 72¢ → 55¢ | $853 | −$266 −24% |
| Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 2,094 | 33¢ → 39¢ | $806 | +$120 +17% |
| Will Waymo operate in 12-15 cities on December 31 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 972 | 14¢ → 81¢ | $790 | +$651 +469% |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 2,220 | 32¢ → 35¢ | $766 | +$52 +7.3% |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 1,278 | 90¢ → 60¢ | $764 | −$388 −34% |
| Will Dune: Messiah have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Ends in 100d | No | 749 | >99¢ → >99¢ | $749 | +$1 +0.2% |
| Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections?Ends ended | Yes | 945 | 2¢ → 77¢ | $731 | +$711 +3688% |
| Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Ends in 525d | Yes | 4,451 | 2¢ → 16¢ | $730 | +$653 +851% |
| Will the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 795 | 66¢ → 91¢ | $724 | +$198 +38% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseEnds in 11d | Yes | 2,879 | 20¢ → 25¢ | $705 | +$130 +22% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?Ends in 2d | Yes | 1,777 | 11¢ → 38¢ | $675 | +$478 +242% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 4d | No | 909 | 67¢ → 73¢ | $659 | +$48 +7.9% |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Ends in 100d | Yes | 1,483 | 4¢ → 44¢ | $652 | +$598 +1088% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the KS-02 House seat?Ends in 11d | No | 805 | 81¢ → 81¢ | $648 | −$4 −0.6% |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?Ends in 69d | Yes | 807 | 7¢ → 80¢ | $641 | +$587 +1093% |
| Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 2,244 | 29¢ → 28¢ | $640 | −$16 −2.5% |
| Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?Ends in 18h | Yes | 882 | 2¢ → 71¢ | $623 | +$606 +3642% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?Ends in 2d | Yes | 3,114 | 11¢ → 20¢ | $607 | +$261 +76% |
| Will Cadu de Lula win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election?Ends ended | No | 810 | 78¢ → 73¢ | $587 | −$44 −6.9% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the NY-21 House seat?Ends in 11d | No | 894 | 76¢ → 65¢ | $581 | −$102 −15% |
| Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 3d | Yes | 8,853 | 1¢ → 7¢ | $580 | +$480 +483% |
| Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?Ends in 100d | Yes | 619 | 0¢ → 93¢ | $573 | +$573 +0.0% |
| Will Sergio Massa win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?Ends in 366d | No | 625 | 91¢ → 89¢ | $554 | −$16 −2.9% |
| Will more than 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?Ends in 250d | No | 777 | 37¢ → 71¢ | $548 | +$263 +93% |
| Will Portugal win the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League?Ends in 233d | No | 615 | 86¢ → 89¢ | $546 | +$17 +3.1% |
| Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 651 | 77¢ → 82¢ | $534 | +$34 +6.7% |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?Ends in 434d | Yes | 963 | 0¢ → 55¢ | $525 | +$525 +0.0% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the PA-01 House seat?Ends in 11d | No | 860 | 59¢ → 60¢ | $516 | +$9 +1.9% |
| Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?Ends in 159d | Yes | 521 | 8¢ → 99¢ | $514 | +$470 +1083% |
| Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?Ends in 218d | Yes | 816 | 4¢ → 63¢ | $510 | +$476 +1400% |
| Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 978 | 0¢ → 49¢ | $479 | +$479 +0.0% |
| Will Susan Stevenson win the 2026 London mayoral election?Ends in 3d | No | 568 | 85¢ → 83¢ | $472 | −$13 −2.6% |
| No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting?Ends in 11d | Yes | 1,481 | 20¢ → 31¢ | $459 | +$163 +55% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the NC-03 House seat?Ends in 11d | No | 647 | 76¢ → 71¢ | $456 | −$35 −7.1% |
| Will Pittsburgh Steelers win the 2026 AFC North?Ends in 86d | No | 545 | 85¢ → 84¢ | $455 | −$6 −1.4% |
| Will the Republican Party win the FL-25 House seat?Ends in 11d | No | 537 | 70¢ → 85¢ | $454 | +$77 +20% |
| Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31?Ends in 8d | Yes | 896 | 3¢ → 50¢ | $448 | +$417 +1350% |
| Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?Ends in 7d | Yes | 607 | 3¢ → 74¢ | $446 | +$427 +2180% |
| Will the Rhine River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026?Ends in 7d | No | 1,255 | 64¢ → 36¢ | $446 | −$356 −44% |
| Will Trump and Putin not meet?Ends in 69d | Yes | 2,711 | 7¢ → 16¢ | $434 | +$253 +140% |
| Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 511 | 17¢ → 81¢ | $411 | +$326 +383% |
| Will the Republicans win the New Mexico governor race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 423 | 92¢ → 96¢ | $405 | +$15 +3.8% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?Ends in 2d | Yes | 6,350 | 11¢ → 6¢ | $397 | −$309 −44% |
| Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement?Ends in 4d | No | 1,963 | 47¢ → 20¢ | $383 | −$544 −59% |
| Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31?Ends in 8d | No | 700 | 81¢ → 54¢ | $378 | −$192 −34% |
| Will the Republican Party win the NY-04 House seat?Ends in 11d | No | 406 | 91¢ → 92¢ | $373 | +$2 +0.6% |
| Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Ends ended | No | 710 | 48¢ → 53¢ | $373 | +$30 +8.6% |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Ends ended | No | 1,581 | 20¢ → 24¢ | $372 | +$59 +19% |
| Will there be no Hormuz agreement by October 23 or oil at least $80, and the Republicans win the Senate?Ends in 11d | No | 533 | 66¢ → 69¢ | $368 | +$13 +3.8% |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?Ends in 38d | No | 805 | 47¢ → 45¢ | $362 | −$17 −4.6% |
| Will Chen Ying win the next Taitung County Magistrate election?Ends in 36d | No | 471 | 84¢ → 75¢ | $355 | −$40 −10% |
| Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 20%-30%?Ends in 18h | Yes | 2,836 | 10¢ → 13¢ | $355 | +$71 +25% |
| Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026?Ends in 100d | No | 384 | 91¢ → 92¢ | $354 | +$7 +1.9% |
| Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?Ends in 218d | Yes | 564 | 4¢ → 62¢ | $347 | +$323 +1376% |
| Gavin Newsom Democratic nomination odds leader on October 31?Ends in 7d | No | 469 | 76¢ → 74¢ | $345 | −$14 −3.9% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the NC-08 House seat?Ends in 11d | No | 357 | 85¢ → 96¢ | $343 | +$40 +13% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the IN-05 House seat?Ends in 11d | No | 412 | 87¢ → 83¢ | $342 | −$17 −4.6% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the FL-04 House seat?Ends in 11d | No | 411 | 87¢ → 83¢ | $341 | −$16 −4.4% |
| Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Ends in 4d | No | 430 | 79¢ → 79¢ | $337 | −$2 −0.7% |
