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Polymarket · PoliticsClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −1 pts | −73 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20d | thoodr | Flávio Bolsonaro participates in debate before first round? | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,912 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 |
| 21d | Predictandbreathe | Flávio Bolsonaro participates in debate before first round? | SellNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,046 | −$87 −8.3% | — |
| 22d | Addarash2 fills | Flávio Bolsonaro participates in debate before first round? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,055 | +$65 +3.1% | 5 |
| 23d | LulaVaiPerder | Flávio Bolsonaro participates in debate before first round? | BuyYes95¢ → 0¢ | $4,360 | −$4,360 −100% | 4 |
| 23d | Votei14Voude224 fills | Flávio Bolsonaro participates in debate before first round? | BuyYes93¢ → 0¢ | $11,180 | −$11,180 −100% | 4 |
| 23d | MissaoComFlavio2 fills | Flávio Bolsonaro participates in debate before first round? | BuyYes90¢ → 0¢ | $7,981 | −$7,981 −100% | 5 |
| 25d | Predictandbreathe | Flávio Bolsonaro participates in debate before first round? | BuyYes70¢ → 0¢ | $3,101 | −$3,101 −100% | 6 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Flávio Bolsonaro participates in a televised Brazilian presidential debate by October 3, 2026, 11:59 PM Brasilia time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. To qualify, Flávio Bolsonaro must speak at least once in a debate with at least one other registered Brazilian presidential candidate present, televised live. Virtual live participation will qualify. Prerecorded appearances will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be footage of the debate, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.