| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Ends in 74d | No | 95,000 | 94¢ → 96¢ | $90,725 | +$1,275 +1.4% |
| Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 74d | No | 77,397 | 94¢ → 97¢ | $75,152 | +$2,534 +3.5% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Ends in 74d | No | 78,000 | 82¢ → 85¢ | $65,910 | +$2,083 +3.3% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?Ends in 13d | No | 55,792 | 98¢ → 99¢ | $55,095 | +$665 +1.2% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 73,608 | 82¢ → 75¢ | $54,838 | −$5,326 −8.9% |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 56,739 | 86¢ → 95¢ | $53,619 | +$4,786 +9.8% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?Ends in 13d | No | 53,800 | 98¢ → 99¢ | $53,343 | +$377 +0.7% |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 55,327 | 92¢ → 93¢ | $51,454 | +$328 +0.6% |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay?Ends in 74d | No | 53,000 | 94¢ → 94¢ | $49,555 | −$285 −0.6% |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 51,537 | 93¢ → 94¢ | $48,187 | +$442 +0.9% |
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 9d | No | 40,789 | 98¢ → 97¢ | $39,688 | −$107 −0.3% |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 45,819 | 93¢ → 86¢ | $39,175 | −$3,486 −8.2% |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?Ends in 74d | No | 42,808 | 88¢ → 89¢ | $37,885 | +$106 +0.3% |
| Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 41,789 | 90¢ → 91¢ | $37,819 | +$284 +0.8% |
| Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Ends in 16d | Yes | 34,477 | 95¢ → 96¢ | $33,098 | +$436 +1.3% |
| Will Harry Kane finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 74d | Yes | 30,262 | 95¢ → 97¢ | $29,430 | +$659 +2.3% |
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Ends in 77d | No | 31,094 | 93¢ → 94¢ | $29,073 | +$51 +0.2% |
| Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 74d | No | 29,207 | 97¢ → 97¢ | $28,433 | +$23 +0.1% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?Ends in 13d | No | 26,227 | 93¢ → 97¢ | $25,453 | +$1,010 +4.1% |
| Iran leadership change by October 31?Ends in 13d | No | 24,783 | 98¢ → 99¢ | $24,436 | +$153 +0.6% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?Ends in 13d | No | 22,400 | 97¢ → 99¢ | $22,098 | +$288 +1.3% |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 22,000 | 95¢ → 95¢ | $20,889 | −$5 −0.0% |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by October 31?Ends in 13d | No | 21,200 | 94¢ → 97¢ | $20,564 | +$622 +3.1% |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Ends in 73d | Yes | 23,000 | 85¢ → 87¢ | $20,091 | +$491 +2.5% |
| US strike on Mexico by December 31?Ends in 74d | No | 20,134 | 90¢ → 96¢ | $19,308 | +$1,180 +6.5% |
| Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?Ends in 74d | No | 18,200 | 89¢ → 94¢ | $17,108 | +$926 +5.7% |
| Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 17,895 | 86¢ → 96¢ | $17,089 | +$1,751 +11% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 21,800 | 89¢ → 74¢ | $16,023 | −$3,349 −17% |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026?Ends in 73d | Yes | 17,560 | 89¢ → 91¢ | $15,980 | +$351 +2.2% |
| Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?Ends in 16d | No | 15,879 | 95¢ → 96¢ | $15,284 | +$153 +1.0% |
| Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 15,793 | 90¢ → 94¢ | $14,766 | +$588 +4.1% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?Ends in 13d | No | 15,417 | 85¢ → 93¢ | $14,261 | +$1,097 +8.3% |
| Will Lamine Yamal finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 74d | Yes | 14,682 | 98¢ → 91¢ | $13,338 | −$1,038 −7.2% |
| Yoon out of custody before 2027?Ends in 74d | No | 13,442 | 92¢ → 94¢ | $12,642 | +$263 +2.1% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?Ends in 78d | No | 12,800 | 95¢ → 97¢ | $12,378 | +$228 +1.9% |
| Will Saudi airspace be closed by October 31?Ends in 13d | No | 12,493 | 94¢ → 96¢ | $11,931 | +$219 +1.9% |
| Iran leadership change by November 30?Ends in 43d | No | 12,700 | 95¢ → 94¢ | $11,875 | −$235 −1.9% |
| Will the Republican Party win the TX-06 House seat?Ends in 16d | Yes | 10,700 | 94¢ → 99¢ | $10,620 | +$547 +5.4% |
| China x Japan military clash before 2027?Ends in 74d | No | 11,000 | 93¢ → 96¢ | $10,549 | +$269 +2.6% |
| Andrew Tate released from custody by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 10,736 | 80¢ → 92¢ | $9,824 | +$1,192 +14% |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Ends in 74d | No | 10,000 | 96¢ → 96¢ | $9,625 | +$75 +0.8% |
| Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?Ends in 78d | Anthropic | 10,004 | 90¢ → 92¢ | $9,153 | +$118 +1.3% |
| Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026?Ends in 13d | No | 8,966 | 96¢ → 98¢ | $8,777 | +$138 +1.6% |
| Will the Republican Party win the GA-11 House seat?Ends in 16d | Yes | 9,000 | 93¢ → 96¢ | $8,658 | +$287 +3.4% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?Ends in 78d | No | 9,100 | 93¢ → 94¢ | $8,586 | +$110 +1.3% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by October 31, 2026?Ends in 13d | No | 8,619 | 97¢ → 99¢ | $8,515 | +$171 +2.0% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?Ends in 78d | Yes | 9,940 | 93¢ → 84¢ | $8,300 | −$903 −9.8% |
| Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?Ends in 74d | No | 8,673 | 92¢ → 95¢ | $8,266 | +$266 +3.3% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the NY-26 House seat?Ends in 16d | Yes | 8,050 | 96¢ → 97¢ | $7,792 | +$85 +1.1% |
| NBA: Stephen Curry to leave Warriors?Ends in 4d | No | 7,500 | 96¢ → >99¢ | $7,496 | +$304 +4.2% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the AL-05 House seat?Ends in 16d | No | 7,450 | 96¢ → 95¢ | $7,107 | −$30 −0.4% |
| Will Texas enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 6,000 | 95¢ → 99¢ | $5,925 | +$225 +3.9% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 6,000 | 93¢ → 94¢ | $5,610 | +$30 +0.5% |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?Ends in 12d | Yes | 6,323 | 93¢ → 82¢ | $5,182 | −$689 −12% |
| Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 11d | Yes | 5,000 | 91¢ → 96¢ | $4,813 | +$263 +5.8% |
| Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?Ends in 16d | Yes | 5,000 | 96¢ → 96¢ | $4,798 | +$18 +0.4% |
| Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Ends in 74d | No | 5,000 | 94¢ → 96¢ | $4,775 | +$75 +1.6% |
| Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?Ends in 102d | No | 4,698 | 96¢ → >99¢ | $4,680 | +$179 +4.0% |
| GTA 6 launch postponed again?Ends in 32d | No | 4,713 | 95¢ → 97¢ | $4,574 | +$90 +2.0% |
| Modi out by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 4,183 | 95¢ → 97¢ | $4,043 | +$84 +2.1% |
| OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?Ends in 74d | No | 4,246 | 84¢ → 92¢ | $3,885 | +$308 +8.6% |
| SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by October 31, 2026?Ends in 13d | No | 3,897 | 96¢ → 99¢ | $3,850 | +$109 +2.9% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?Ends in 13d | No | 3,774 | 97¢ → >99¢ | $3,763 | +$107 +2.9% |
| Anthropic IPO before 2027?Ends in 74d | Yes | 5,075 | 91¢ → 74¢ | $3,730 | −$873 −19% |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by October 31?Ends in 12d | No | 3,879 | 97¢ → 96¢ | $3,729 | −$47 −1.3% |
| Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 3,679 | 92¢ → 94¢ | $3,475 | +$78 +2.3% |
| Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 3,562 | 91¢ → 95¢ | $3,400 | +$171 +5.3% |
| Will the Republican Party win the MA-02 House seat?Ends in 16d | No | 3,500 | 96¢ → 96¢ | $3,371 | +$11 +0.3% |
| Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?Ends in 13d | No | 3,343 | 98¢ → >99¢ | $3,328 | +$40 +1.2% |
| Will Lamine Yamal finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 74d | Yes | 3,333 | 95¢ → 98¢ | $3,251 | +$77 +2.4% |
| Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 3,203 | 88¢ → 98¢ | $3,127 | +$325 +12% |
| Will the Republican Party win the GA-10 House seat?Ends in 16d | Yes | 3,200 | 93¢ → 96¢ | $3,080 | +$94 +3.1% |
| GTA VI released by November 30?Ends in 43d | Yes | 3,170 | 95¢ → 97¢ | $3,075 | +$70 +2.3% |
| Will the Republican Party win the RI-02 House seat?Ends in 16d | No | 3,200 | 96¢ → 95¢ | $3,042 | −$30 −1.0% |
| Will Moonshot have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 2,800 | 92¢ → 97¢ | $2,722 | +$144 +5.6% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the MA-02 House seat?Ends in 16d | Yes | 2,655 | 96¢ → 95¢ | $2,533 | −$13 −0.5% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the ME-01 House seat?Ends in 16d | Yes | 2,600 | 95¢ → 97¢ | $2,513 | +$43 +1.7% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the TN-04 House seat?Ends in 16d | No | 2,500 | 95¢ → 99¢ | $2,483 | +$108 +4.5% |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 23, 2026?Ends in 4d | No | 3,010 | 90¢ → 78¢ | $2,336 | −$374 −14% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?Ends in 78d | Yes | 3,435 | 84¢ → 68¢ | $2,318 | −$561 −19% |
| Iran invades Kuwait by October 31?Ends in 13d | No | 2,285 | 95¢ → 99¢ | $2,259 | +$79 +3.6% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the RI-01 House seat?Ends in 16d | Yes | 2,200 | 96¢ → 99¢ | $2,184 | +$72 +3.4% |
| Supreme Court vacancy in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 2,410 | 89¢ → 89¢ | $2,133 | −$12 −0.6% |
| Will Frank Scarpitti win the 2026 Markham mayoral election?Ends in 8d | Yes | 2,135 | 93¢ → 97¢ | $2,067 | +$75 +3.7% |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026?Ends in 13d | No | 2,000 | 93¢ → 99¢ | $1,985 | +$125 +6.7% |
| Will the Republican Party win the MS-01 House seat?Ends in 16d | Yes | 2,000 | 95¢ → 96¢ | $1,920 | +$20 +1.1% |
| Will the Republican Party win the NY-06 House seat?Ends in 16d | No | 1,900 | 95¢ → >99¢ | $1,898 | +$93 +5.2% |
| Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by October 31, 2026?Ends in 13d | No | 1,933 | 90¢ → 96¢ | $1,863 | +$118 +6.7% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the GA-10 House seat?Ends in 16d | No | 1,850 | 96¢ → 98¢ | $1,805 | +$31 +1.7% |
| Ekrem İmamoğlu released from custody in 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 1,895 | 90¢ → 95¢ | $1,791 | +$85 +5.0% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the TX-06 House seat?Ends in 16d | No | 1,700 | 94¢ → 99¢ | $1,689 | +$94 +5.9% |
| Will the longest game of the 2026 MLB Postseason last 11+ innings?Ends in 28d | Yes | 5,046 | 95¢ → 33¢ | $1,650 | −$3,144 −66% |
| Will the Republican Party win the TN-04 House seat?Ends in 16d | Yes | 1,500 | 95¢ → 99¢ | $1,481 | +$56 +3.9% |
| Will the Republican Party win the OH-05 House seat?Ends in 16d | Yes | 1,490 | 95¢ → 96¢ | $1,431 | +$15 +1.1% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the RI-02 House seat?Ends in 16d | Yes | 1,454 | 96¢ → 93¢ | $1,351 | −$48 −3.4% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?Ends in 74d | No | 1,500 | 88¢ → 89¢ | $1,335 | +$15 +1.1% |
| Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31?Ends in 74d | No | 1,444 | 87¢ → 87¢ | $1,257 | +$1 +0.1% |
| Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?Ends in 74d | No | 1,257 | 93¢ → 94¢ | $1,181 | +$12 +1.0% |
| Will the Republican Party win the TX-07 House seat?Ends in 16d | No | 1,200 | 95¢ → 98¢ | $1,172 | +$32 +2.8% |
| Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?Ends in 73d | Yes | 7,989 | 92¢ → 14¢ | $1,126 | −$6,223 −85% |
