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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| <$38m | 100% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| $38-44m | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| >$44m | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 877d | professorx | <$38m | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,798 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 877d |  crystalfalls2 fills | <$38m | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,497 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 |
| 877d |  ImJustKen | <$38m | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,106 | +$2 +0.2% | 4 |
| 878d |  LBZcapital | <$38m | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,110 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 879d | professorx | >$44m | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,700 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 879d | cB4-966 | <$38m | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,000 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 |
| 879d | CBook3 | <$38m | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,231 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 881d | professorx | $38-44m | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,424 | +$5 +0.3% | 4 |
| 881d |  Anjun | >$44m | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,217 | +$4 +0.3% | 4 |
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Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for <$38m means the market gives it about 100%.