Loading your workspacePreparing the page and its market data.
Loading the chart…
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump by 2.0-3.0% | 100% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 98¢ · 100¢ (3¢) | — | ended |
| Trump by 4.0%+ | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Trump by 3.0-4.0% | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Trump by 1.0-2.0% | 0% | −12 pts | 0 pts | — · 8¢ | — | ended |
| Trump by 0-1% | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Harris by 0-1.0% | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Harris by 1.0-2.0% | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Harris by 2.0-3.0% | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Harris by 3.0-4.0% | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Harris by 4%+ | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 700d |  noreasapa | Trump by 4.0%+ | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,254 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 701d |  beigesun | Trump by 2.0-3.0% | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,797 | +$13 +0.7% | 4 |
| 703d | its7inches | Trump by 2.0-3.0% | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,256 | −$18 −1.4% | — |
| 710d | Melody626 | Trump by 4.0%+ | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,557 | −$60 −1.3% | — |
| 711d | tanguero24 | Trump by 4.0%+ | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,225 | +$7 +0.6% | 4 |
| 712d | tanguero24 | Trump by 2.0-3.0% | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,212 | +$12 +1.0% | 4 |
| 714d | D42d | Trump by 2.0-3.0% | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,212 | +$12 +1.0% | 4 |
| 715d | jcal7 | Trump by 4.0%+ | SellNo79¢ → 100¢ | $2,508 | −$682 −27% | — |
| 716d | its7inches | Trump by 2.0-3.0% | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,246 | +$28 +2.3% | 4 |
| 717d | PrinceHal2 fills | Trump by 4.0%+ | SellYes46¢ → 0¢ | $3,056 | +$3,056 +100% | — |
| 717d | Echelonprt | Trump by 4.0%+ | BuyYes55¢ → 0¢ | $1,500 | −$1,500 −100% | 4 |
| 718d | FeathersTogether2 fills | Trump by 4.0%+ | BuyNo77¢ → 100¢ | $7,000 | +$2,139 +31% | 10 |
| 718d | comical-3278221 | Trump by 4.0%+ | BuyYes38¢ → 0¢ | $1,485 | −$1,485 −100% | 15 |
| 718d | Carlyle | Trump by 4.0%+ | SellNo70¢ → 100¢ | $1,276 | −$547 −43% | — |
| 720d | marketguy123123 | Trump by 4.0%+ | BuyYes30¢ → 0¢ | $1,726 | −$1,726 −100% | 11 |
| 721d | sonnyf | Trump by 4.0%+ | BuyNo68¢ → 100¢ | $7,000 | +$3,266 +47% | 6 |
| 723d |  itsgg3 fills | Trump by 4.0%+ | BuyNo62¢ → 100¢ | $8,271 | +$5,079 +61% | 4 |
| 729d | jcal7 | Trump by 4.0%+ | BuyNo63¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$1,191 +60% | 4 |
| 730d |  AllYourMoniesAreBelongToMe | Trump by 4.0%+ | SellYes40¢ → 0¢ | $1,238 | +$1,238 +100% | — |
| 731d | Mhst | Trump by 4.0%+ | SellYes40¢ → 0¢ | $1,400 | +$1,400 +100% | — |
| 731d | Kjst | Trump by 4.0%+ | BuyNo60¢ → 100¢ | $2,100 | +$1,400 +67% | 4 |
This is a market on the margin of victory for the Arizona election.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Trump by 2.0-3.0% means the market gives it about 100%.
