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Polymarket wallet 0x4a9a9c28e929d354d5350a7f928893950a9681d5 · on Polymarket since Jul 15, 2021 · also shown as Advanced-Tractor
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US recession by end of 2026?Ends in 99d | No | 3,983 | 66¢ → 93¢ | $3,685 | +$1,051 +40% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after May 2025 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 9,088 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$360 −100% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,201 | 24¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$284 −100% |
| Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,360 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$80 −100% |
| Will federal spending decrease by less than $250b between Q4 2024 and Q2 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 692 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$345 −100% |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,889 | 61¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1,156 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the 2026 State of the Union address?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 565 | 35¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$200 −100% |
| Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 881 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$100 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 46 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.