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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hamnet | 100% | +76 pts | +65 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| One Battle After Another | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Sinners | 0% | −49 pts | −27 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Sentimental Value | 0% | −11 pts | −8 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| It Was Just an Accident | 0% | −5 pts | −18 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Avatar Fire and Ash | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| No Other Choice | 0% | −7 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| The Secret Agent | 0% | −7 pts | −19 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Springsteen Deliver Me from Nowhere | 0% | −6 pts | −5 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| A House of Dynamite | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| The Smashing Machine | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Frankenstein | 0% | −3 pts | −8 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Nuremberg | 0% | −7 pts | −6 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Weapons | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| After the Hunt | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Other | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| A | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| B | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| C | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| D | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| E | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| F | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| G | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| H | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| I | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| J | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| K | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| L | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| M | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| N | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| O | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| P | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Q | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| R | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| S | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| T | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| U | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| V | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| W | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| X | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Y | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Z | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 285d | Ordon | Sinners | SellNo>99¢ | $1,855 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 285d | Ordon | Hamnet | SellYes>99¢ | $1,298 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 285d | winner81 | Hamnet | SellYes>99¢ | $1,099 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 285d | Pandaprotect | Hamnet | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,286 | −$13 −1.0% | — |
| 285d | Pandaprotect | Sinners | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,478 | −$25 −1.0% | — |
| 285d |  thegreengem | Sinners | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,484 | +$30 +1.2% | 4 |
| 285d | yougotme | Sinners | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,399 | +$124 +8.9% | 4 |
| 285d |  praktor | Hamnet | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $7,935 | +$534 +6.7% | 4 |
| 285d | C0CO | Hamnet | BuyYes89¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$188 +13% | 4 |
| 285d | Pandaprotect | Sinners | BuyNo40¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$1,503 +150% | 4 |
| 285d | aviato | The Secret Agent | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,687 | +$19 +1.1% | 4 |
| 285d |  NadyaSuleman | Sinners | BuyYes83¢ → 0¢ | $1,263 | −$1,263 −100% | 4 |
| 285d | Solmaxi8888.sol | Sinners | BuyYes76¢ → 0¢ | $1,010 | −$1,010 −100% | 4 |
| 286d | OLOTH | Frankenstein | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,818 | +$49 +1.0% | 4 |
| 317d |  Birdof | After the Hunt | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,292 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 317d | Birdof | A House of Dynamite | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,885 | +$2 +0.1% | 10 |
| 317d | MoneyMoneyMonbey | Avatar Fire and Ash | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,704 | +$6 +0.1% | 20 |
| 317d | MoneyMoneyMonbey | Nuremberg | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,150 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 317d | MoneyMoneyMonbey | Springsteen Deliver Me from Nowhere | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,498 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 317d | Lean-Pelt | Weapons | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,142 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 317d | Lean-Pelt | The Smashing Machine | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,200 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 317d | sleepin | One Battle After Another | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,152 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
rivermarkets3,709 sharesThe Golden Globe Awards are presented annually by the Hollywood Foreign Press Association (HFPA). For the 83rd Annual Golden Globe Awards, nominations are scheduled for December 8, 2025, and the ceremony for January 11, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins Best Motion Picture – Drama at the 83rd Annual Golden Globe Awards. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the listed film whose title comes first in alphabetical order. The resolution source will be the television broadcast of the Golden Globe Awards and the official Golden Globes website (https://www.goldenglobes.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Hamnet means the market gives it about 100%.