| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 450 | 73¢ → 89¢ | $398 | +$70 +21% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OR-02 House election by 25%-30%?Ends in 11d | No | 180 | 84¢ → 77¢ | $139 | −$12 −7.8% |
| Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 7d | No | 297 | 44¢ → 29¢ | $87 | −$44 −34% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 49 | 96¢ → 98¢ | $48 | +$1 +1.8% |
| Gavin Newsom Democratic nomination odds leader on October 31?Ends in 7d | Yes | 150 | 37¢ → 27¢ | $40 | −$16 −29% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-01 House election by 45%-50%?Ends in 11d | No | 40 | 86¢ → 85¢ | $34 | −$1 −1.8% |
| Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 27 | 12¢ → 64¢ | $17 | +$14 +456% |
| Will Man I Need – Olivia Dean be the #2 song in the US for 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 34 | 47¢ → 48¢ | $16 | +$0 +1.9% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | Yes | 25 | 71¢ → 56¢ | $14 | −$4 −21% |
| Will "The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 65m?Ends in 29d | No | 16 | 76¢ → 74¢ | $12 | −$0 −3.1% |
| Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $900B and $1.00T on October 31?Ends in 8d | No | 22 | 54¢ → 45¢ | $10 | −$2 −16% |
| Will GitHub's longest critical incident in October 2026 be between 3 and 6 hours?Ends in 8d | No | 50 | 25¢ → 15¢ | $8 | −$5 −40% |
| Will Israel Katz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 4d | Yes | 1,870 | 3¢ → <1¢ | $5 | −$60 −93% |
| Will Jack Doherty post again on X by October 31?Ends in 8d | Yes | 100 | 19¢ → 5¢ | $5 | −$15 −77% |
| Will Richard Grayson win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 4 | >99¢ → >99¢ | $4 | +$0 +0.1% |
| Will Ann Diener win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 4 | 97¢ → >99¢ | $4 | +$0 +2.6% |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?Ends in 7d | No | 5 | 78¢ → 77¢ | $4 | −$0 −1.7% |
| Will Donald Trump be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 3 | >99¢ → >99¢ | $3 | +$0 +0.3% |
| Will Trump sell 1k-2.5k Gold Cards in 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 27 | 11¢ → 12¢ | $3 | +$0 +14% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 4 | 42¢ → 83¢ | $3 | +$2 +97% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 5 | 65¢ → 66¢ | $3 | +$0 +2.0% |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 3d | Yes | 4 | 1¢ → 78¢ | $3 | +$3 +9477% |
| Will Pete Hegseth be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 3 | >99¢ → >99¢ | $3 | −$0 −0.0% |
| Will Frank Donovan be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 3 | >99¢ → >99¢ | $3 | −$0 −0.0% |
| Will Taylor Swift be the top artist for 2026?Ends in 100d | No | 3 | 91¢ → 94¢ | $3 | +$0 +3.5% |
| Will Vladimir Padrino López be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 3 | >99¢ → >99¢ | $3 | +$0 +0.3% |
| Will Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?Ends in 93d | Yes | 25 | 0¢ → 12¢ | $3 | +$3 +0.0% |
| Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 4d | Yes | 1,870 | 3¢ → <1¢ | $3 | −$61 −96% |
| Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 564 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $3 | −$5 −67% |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 3 | 3¢ → 93¢ | $2 | +$2 +2601% |
| Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 2 | 16¢ → 96¢ | $2 | +$2 +514% |
| Will Dune: Messiah be the top grossing movie of 2026?Ends in 76d | No | 2 | 99¢ → >99¢ | $2 | +$0 +0.9% |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 29, 2026?Ends in 6d | No | 3 | 63¢ → 78¢ | $2 | +$0 +24% |
| Will McLaren be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?Ends in 159d | No | 2 | 95¢ → >99¢ | $2 | +$0 +5.2% |
| Will Red Bull Racing be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?Ends in 159d | No | 2 | 97¢ → >99¢ | $2 | +$0 +3.5% |
| Will no company have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 3 | 3¢ → 68¢ | $2 | +$2 +2029% |
| Will Jumanji 3 be the top grossing movie of 2026?Ends in 76d | No | 2 | >99¢ → >99¢ | $2 | +$0 +0.4% |
| Will Scream 7 be the top grossing movie of 2026?Ends in 76d | No | 2 | >99¢ → >99¢ | $2 | +$0 +0.2% |
| Will Wuthering Heights be the top grossing movie of 2026?Ends in 76d | No | 2 | >99¢ → >99¢ | $2 | +$0 +0.3% |
| Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2026?Ends in 76d | No | 2 | >99¢ → >99¢ | $2 | +$0 +0.2% |
| Will Project Hail Mary be the top grossing movie of 2026?Ends in 76d | No | 2 | 99¢ → >99¢ | $2 | +$0 +0.8% |
| Will Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 4d | Yes | 1,870 | 3¢ → <1¢ | $2 | −$62 −97% |
| Will Gilad Erdan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 4d | Yes | 1,870 | 3¢ → <1¢ | $2 | −$62 −97% |
| Will Ofer Winter be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 4d | Yes | 1,870 | 3¢ → <1¢ | $2 | −$62 −97% |
| Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026?Ends in 76d | No | 2 | 96¢ → >99¢ | $2 | +$0 +4.0% |
| Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?Ends in 76d | No | 2 | 97¢ → >99¢ | $2 | +$0 +2.8% |
| Will Michael be the top grossing movie of 2026?Ends in 76d | No | 2 | 99¢ → >99¢ | $2 | +$0 +1.1% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 5 | 34¢ → 34¢ | $2 | −$0 −1.3% |
| Will The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping be the top grossing movie of 2026?Ends in 76d | No | 2 | 99¢ → >99¢ | $2 | +$0 +0.5% |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?Ends in 76d | No | 2 | 85¢ → 94¢ | $2 | +$0 +11% |
| Will Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu be the top grossing movie of 2026?Ends in 76d | No | 2 | 98¢ → >99¢ | $2 | +$0 +1.9% |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?Ends in 69d | No | 1 | 94¢ → >99¢ | $1 | +$0 +6.2% |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 2 | 97¢ → 83¢ | $1 | −$0 −15% |
| Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 1 | 99¢ → >99¢ | $1 | +$0 +1.1% |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day?Ends in 69d | No | 1 | 92¢ → 99¢ | $1 | +$0 +7.9% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: OtherEnds in 11d | No | 1 | >99¢ → >99¢ | $1 | +$0 +0.3% |
| Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 1 | 99¢ → >99¢ | $1 | +$0 +0.6% |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.25% at the end of 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 1 | 99¢ → >99¢ | $1 | +$0 +0.3% |
| Will there be exactly 2 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 1 | 93¢ → 90¢ | $1 | −$0 −3.8% |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day?Ends in 69d | No | 1 | 93¢ → 99¢ | $1 | +$0 +6.3% |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≤1.0% at the end of 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 1 | 98¢ → 99¢ | $1 | +$0 +1.3% |
| Will Trump sell 101-1k Gold Cards in 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 27 | 11¢ → 4¢ | $1 | −$2 −59% |
| Will The Super Mario Galaxy Movie be the top grossing movie of 2026?Ends in 76d | No | 1 | 67¢ → >99¢ | $1 | +$0 +49% |
| Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 1 | 99¢ → 99¢ | $1 | +$0 +0.1% |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.0% at the end of 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 1 | 93¢ → >99¢ | $1 | +$0 +7.4% |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.25% at the end of 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 1 | >99¢ → >99¢ | $1 | +$0 +0.2% |
| Will New England Patriots win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?Ends in 159d | No | 1 | 92¢ → 92¢ | $1 | −$0 −0.2% |
| Will Dune: Messiah have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Ends in 100d | No | 1 | 99¢ → >99¢ | $1 | +$0 +1.0% |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day?Ends in 69d | No | 1 | 90¢ → >99¢ | $1 | +$0 +11% |
| Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 1 | >99¢ → >99¢ | $1 | +$0 +0.4% |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.5% at the end of 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 1 | >99¢ → >99¢ | $1 | +$0 +0.3% |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.75% at the end of 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 1 | 95¢ → >99¢ | $1 | +$0 +5.0% |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.0% at the end of 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 1 | 99¢ → >99¢ | $1 | +$0 +0.7% |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.5% at the end of 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 1 | 97¢ → >99¢ | $1 | +$0 +2.8% |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.75% at the end of 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 1 | >99¢ → >99¢ | $1 | +$0 +0.0% |
| Will New Orleans Saints win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?Ends in 93d | No | 1 | 99¢ → 99¢ | $1 | +$0 +0.3% |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.5% at the end of 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 1 | 74¢ → 99¢ | $1 | +$0 +33% |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 4 | 49¢ → 26¢ | $1 | −$1 −48% |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 20 and 40 years in prison?Ends in 433d | No | 1 | 90¢ → 97¢ | $1 | +$0 +7.3% |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 40 and 60 years in prison?Ends in 433d | No | 1 | 84¢ → 95¢ | $1 | +$0 +13% |
| Will Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?Ends in 159d | No | 1 | 92¢ → 82¢ | $1 | −$0 −12% |
| Will Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?Ends in 93d | No | 1 | 94¢ → 88¢ | $1 | −$0 −6.9% |
| Will 2026 rank as the sixth-hottest year on record or lower?Ends in 68d | Yes | 576 | 17¢ → <1¢ | $1 | −$95 −99% |
| Will Evan Pettus be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 1,605 | 2¢ → <1¢ | $1 | −$27 −97% |
| Will Richard Grenell be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 1,605 | 2¢ → <1¢ | $1 | −$28 −97% |
| Will Dan Caine be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 1,605 | 2¢ → <1¢ | $1 | −$28 −97% |
| Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 2 | 14¢ → 44¢ | $1 | +$1 +211% |
| Will the Republican Party win the TX-32 House seat?Ends in 11d | No | 6 | 15¢ → 13¢ | $1 | −$0 −17% |
| Will San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?Ends in 93d | No | 1 | 92¢ → 73¢ | $1 | −$0 −22% |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 29, 2026?Ends in 6d | Yes | 3 | 37¢ → 22¢ | $1 | −$0 −41% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 2 | 35¢ → 42¢ | $1 | +$0 +19% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 4 | 54¢ → 18¢ | $1 | −$1 −67% |
| Will Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?Ends in 93d | Yes | 25 | 0¢ → 3¢ | $1 | +$1 +0.0% |
| Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 1 | 57¢ → 51¢ | $1 | −$0 −10.0% |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 3d | Yes | 4 | 1¢ → 14¢ | $1 | +$1 +1672% |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 2 | 56¢ → 23¢ | $1 | −$1 −59% |
| Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 3d | Yes | 29 | 1¢ → 2¢ | $1 | +$0 +122% |
| Will Claude go down fewer than 5 times in October?Ends in 8d | Yes | 1 | 73¢ → 35¢ | $1 | −$1 −52% |
| Will Google be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 3 | 3¢ → 16¢ | $0 | +$0 +388% |
| Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 933 | 8¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$72 −99% |
