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Polymarket · WorldClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | 0 pts | +1 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 537d | upp | Government coalition formed within 100 days of German election? | BuyYes>99¢ | $38,558 | +$39 +0.1% | 10 |
| 537d |  Flipadelphia4 fills | Government coalition formed within 100 days of German election? | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $27,846 | +$601 +2.2% | 10 |
| 539d | 0x4540D662B6EC203903785BaF58E3c644B1c21E6 | Government coalition formed within 100 days of German election? | SellYes100¢ | $1,616 | −$8 −0.5% | — |
| 542d |  IBetTheFarm | Government coalition formed within 100 days of German election? | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,766 | +$11 +0.4% | 10 |
| 542d |  ScamWick8 fills | Government coalition formed within 100 days of German election? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $22,312 | +$268 +1.2% | 10 |
| 549d | z0vulon | Government coalition formed within 100 days of German election? | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,562 | −$29 −1.9% | — |
| 554d | Daubi | Government coalition formed within 100 days of German election? | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $2,027 | −$42 −2.1% | — |
| 560d |  Sapphirus | Government coalition formed within 100 days of German election? | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,464 | −$47 −1.3% | — |
| 562d | diCUMeRT | Government coalition formed within 100 days of German election? | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,111 | −$8 −0.7% | — |
| 562d | Flipadelphia | Government coalition formed within 100 days of German election? | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,414 | −$24 −0.7% | — |
| 563d | wolfmoon2 fills | Government coalition formed within 100 days of German election? | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $5,747 | −$145 −2.5% | — |
| 563d | J-E-R | Government coalition formed within 100 days of German election? | SellYes>99¢ | $1,495 | −$6 −0.4% | — |
| 563d |  Car2 fills | Government coalition formed within 100 days of German election? | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $2,269 | +$53 +2.3% | 10 |
| 570d |  wllstrt | Government coalition formed within 100 days of German election? | SellYes89¢ → 100¢ | $2,657 | −$328 −12% | — |
| 572d | wolfmoon2 fills | Government coalition formed within 100 days of German election? | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $5,021 | +$447 +8.9% | 10 |
| 577d | J-E-R | Government coalition formed within 100 days of German election? | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $1,286 | +$114 +8.9% | 10 |
| 584d | Daubi | Government coalition formed within 100 days of German election? | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,802 | +$57 +3.2% | 10 |
| 589d | Sapphirus | Government coalition formed within 100 days of German election? | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,935 | +$65 +3.3% | 10 |
| 593d | rake21 | Government coalition formed within 100 days of German election? | SellYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,714 | −$79 −4.6% | — |
| 595d | Mhhhhhh2 fills | Government coalition formed within 100 days of German election? | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $4,887 | +$207 +4.2% | 10 |
| 598d | wllstrt7 fills | Government coalition formed within 100 days of German election? | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $16,660 | +$774 +4.6% | 10 |
| 600d | Improbable-Marshland | Government coalition formed within 100 days of German election? | SellYes93¢ → 100¢ | $2,027 | −$155 −7.6% | — |
| 602d | Dude2137 | Government coalition formed within 100 days of German election? | SellYes93¢ → 100¢ | $1,117 | −$83 −7.5% | — |
| 606d | redmayguydebord1968 | Government coalition formed within 100 days of German election? | SellYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,008 | −$42 −4.1% | — |
| 606d |  TomSawyer-030 | Government coalition formed within 100 days of German election? | SellYes93¢ → 100¢ | $12,248 | −$866 −7.1% | — |
| 607d | redmayguydebord1968 | Government coalition formed within 100 days of German election? | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$50 +5.0% | 10 |
| 607d | RiskOn | Government coalition formed within 100 days of German election? | SellYes92¢ → 100¢ | $1,437 | −$118 −8.2% | — |
| 607d | Ultron1232 | Government coalition formed within 100 days of German election? | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $2,359 | +$98 +4.2% | 10 |
| 607d | TomSawyer-0304 fills | Government coalition formed within 100 days of German election? | BuyYes86¢ → 100¢ | $9,529 | +$1,519 +16% | 10 |
| 607d | Dude2137 | Government coalition formed within 100 days of German election? | BuyYes83¢ → 100¢ | $1,656 | +$344 +21% | 10 |
| 609d | iamgone | Government coalition formed within 100 days of German election? | SellYes83¢ → 100¢ | $1,747 | −$353 −20% | — |
| 610d | goingsocial | Government coalition formed within 100 days of German election? | BuyNo16¢ → 0¢ | $1,468 | −$1,468 −100% | 12 |
| 614d | iamgone | Government coalition formed within 100 days of German election? | BuyYes83¢ → 100¢ | $2,685 | +$560 +21% | 10 |
BabyYoda1220,905 shares
TimeTraveler1,000 shares
GayPride450 sharesGerman elections are scheduled for February 23, 2025. This market will resolve to "Yes" if a coalition agreement (Koalitionsvertrag) for the next German government after the election is officially signed by June 2, 2025 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.