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Polymarket wallet 0x8b45a5df5e424b97764cd65e6a9a2737af000c05 · on Polymarket since Feb 23, 2025 · also shown as Vigilant-Draft
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Government coalition formed within 100 days of German election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 7 | 93¢ → 100¢ | $7 | +$0 +7.5% |
| Will CDU/CSU, SPD, and FDP form the next German Government?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 200 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 607d | Government coalition formed within 100 days of German election? | BuyYes93¢ | $6 |
| 607d | Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany? | SellYes96¢ | $5 |
| 607d | Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany? | BuyYes96¢ | $5 |
| 607d | FDP wins 5% or more of vote in German election? | BuyYes3¢ | $3 |
| 607d | Will CDU/CSU, SPD, and FDP form the next German Government? | BuyYes1¢ | $1 |
| 607d | Will the AfD win less than 20% of the vote in the German election? | BuyYes2¢ | $1 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 3 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.