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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maxime Vachier-Lagrave | 100% | +3 pts | 0 pts | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Nodirbek Abdusattorov | 0% | 0 pts | −4 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Jan-Krzysztof Duda | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Alireza Firouzja | 0% | −10 pts | −67 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Gukesh Dommaraju | 0% | −1 pts | −6 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| R Praggnanandhaa | 100% | +13 pts | +46 pts | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Wesley So | 0% | −19 pts | −46 pts | <1¢ · 23¢ (23¢) | — | ended |
| Fabiano Caruana | 100% | −14 pts | +35 pts | 99¢ · >99¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Levon Aronian | 100% | +9 pts | +50 pts | 99¢ · >99¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 422d | GondorCallsForAid | Alireza Firouzja | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,647 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 422d | KimsCrunchCut2 fills | Nodirbek Abdusattorov | BuyNo>99¢ | $10,284 | +$15 +0.1% | 4 |
| 422d | KimsCrunchCut | Jan-Krzysztof Duda | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,791 | +$8 +0.1% | 4 |
| 422d | rizn | Nodirbek Abdusattorov | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,495 | +$5 +0.2% | 4 |
| 423d | iamgone | Gukesh Dommaraju | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,081 | +$11 +1.0% | 4 |
| 423d | relatedbeg | Maxime Vachier-Lagrave | SellYes>99¢ | $1,166 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 423d | CiderApple | Maxime Vachier-Lagrave | SellYes>99¢ | $1,488 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 427d | iamgone | Nodirbek Abdusattorov | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,347 | +$14 +1.0% | 4 |
| 428d | GondorCallsForAid | Jan-Krzysztof Duda | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,520 | +$7 +0.2% | 4 |
| 431d | iamgone | Maxime Vachier-Lagrave | BuyNo90¢ → 0¢ | $7,667 | −$7,667 −100% | 4 |
This is a polymarket to predict which four players qualify for the 2025 Grand Chess Tour Finals.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Maxime Vachier-Lagrave means the market gives it about 100%.