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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 753d | VvVv2 fills | Hezbollah enters Israel in September? | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,494 | +$6 +0.1% | 4 |
| 753d | SlavaUkraini2 fills | Hezbollah enters Israel in September? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,008 | +$56 +1.1% | 4 |
| 753d | OPMSucks | Hezbollah enters Israel in September? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,079 | −$14 −1.3% | — |
| 755d | Ten-566 | Hezbollah enters Israel in September? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,015 | −$14 −1.3% | — |
| 755d |  ImJustKen2 fills | Hezbollah enters Israel in September? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $4,240 | +$139 +3.3% | 4 |
| 765d | Bidensupporter123 | Hezbollah enters Israel in September? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,021 | +$54 +5.3% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hezbollah personnel enter Israeli territory for combat operations between September 16 and September 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Israel territory includes any territory under Israeli control as of the creation of this market including the Golan Heights. The resolution source for this market will be will be official confirmation by Hezbollah and Israel, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.