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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| The Super Mario Galaxy Movie | 100% | +1 pts | — | 99¢ · >99¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Mother Mary | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Michael | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Wasteland Cop | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| You, Me & Tuscany | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| The Whistler | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Lorne | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Movie A | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Movie B | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Movie C | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Movie D | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Movie E | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Movie F | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Movie G | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Movie H | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Movie I | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Movie J | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Movie K | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Movie L | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Movie M | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Movie N | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Movie O | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Other | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 167d |  stormshadow | Michael | SellNo>99¢ | $1,046 | −$2 −0.2% | — |
| 174d | T.hanks | The Super Mario Galaxy Movie | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,873 | −$27 −1.4% | — |
| 194d | T.hanks | The Super Mario Galaxy Movie | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $2,878 | +$80 +2.8% | 4 |
| 208d |  Big.Chungus2 fills | The Super Mario Galaxy Movie | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,798 | +$27 +1.0% | 4 |
This market will resolve according to the title of the film released in April 2026 with the highest domestic gross between opening and May 31, 2026 according to "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page. In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner. If there is no final data available by June 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for The Super Mario Galaxy Movie means the market gives it about 100%.