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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 998d | doublemags | Houthis strike U.S. military by end of January? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,317 | +$55 +4.2% | 21 |
| 1006d |  LBZcapital | Houthis strike U.S. military by end of January? | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $1,075 | +$147 +14% | 20 |
| 1008d |  ImJustKen | Houthis strike U.S. military by end of January? | BuyNo84¢ → 100¢ | $1,289 | +$245 +19% | 20 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Houthis carry out a military strike against the U.S. military, inclusive of all U.S. military ships, planes, bases and other infrastructure by January 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” Houthi missile and drone strikes which are shot down or miss their targets will not be considered for this market. Strikes on U.S. military unmanned aerial vehicles/projectiles and U.S. commercial/civilian ships will NOT count toward a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source for this market is official statements from the U.S. government, however a consensus of credible may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.