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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.5-3 hours | 100% | +93 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| <1 hour | 0% | −9 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 1-1.5 hours | 0% | −31 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 1.5-2 hours | 0% | −33 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 2-2.5 hours | 0% | −20 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 3+ hours | 0% | −3 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 728d | 0xLeonadis | 2.5-3 hours | SellYes>99¢ | $1,496 | −$4 −0.3% | — |
| 728d |  ANudeEgg | 3+ hours | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,259 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 728d |  BigDaddyMoneyMaker | 2.5-3 hours | SellYes>99¢ | $2,654 | −$8 −0.3% | — |
| 728d | 0xe639e41094bbeae18g3e6d1790c17299183f082a5 fills | 3+ hours | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $8,059 | −$58 −0.7% | — |
| 728d |  Car | 3+ hours | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,961 | +$39 +0.4% | 4 |
| 728d |  Brokie | 3+ hours | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,496 | −$32 −0.9% | — |
| 728d | Car | 3+ hours | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,842 | −$17 −0.9% | — |
| 728d |  Anjun | 2.5-3 hours | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,715 | −$22 −0.6% | — |
| 728d | 0xe639e41094bbeae18g3e6d1790c17299183f082a2 fills | 3+ hours | BuyNo>99¢ | $33,425 | +$106 +0.3% | 4 |
| 728d | 0xe639e41094bbeae18g3e6d1790c17299183f082a | 2.5-3 hours | BuyYes100¢ | $1,138 | +$6 +0.5% | 4 |
| 728d |  Axios | 2.5-3 hours | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,087 | −$13 −0.6% | — |
| 728d | Mountainous-Attachment | 2.5-3 hours | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,491 | −$9 −0.6% | — |
| 728d | 0xe639e41094bbeae18g3e6d1790c17299183f082a | 1-1.5 hours | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,037 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 728d | 0xe639e41094bbeae18g3e6d1790c17299183f082a | 1.5-2 hours | BuyNo>99¢ | $12,449 | +$12 +0.1% | 4 |
| 728d | tsekinming01 | 2.5-3 hours | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $31,273 | +$189 +0.6% | 4 |
| 728d |  DancingonMarshmellos | 2-2.5 hours | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,160 | +$12 +1.0% | 4 |
| 728d | oVyg7f | 1-1.5 hours | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,249 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 728d | oVyg7f | <1 hour | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,249 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 728d | oVyg7f | 2-2.5 hours | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,234 | +$16 +1.3% | 4 |
| 728d | oVyg7f | 1.5-2 hours | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,243 | +$8 +0.6% | 4 |
| 728d | Brokie3 fills | 3+ hours | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $20,000 | +$392 +2.0% | 4 |
| 728d | IdealCorgi | 2.5-3 hours | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,323 | +$16 +1.2% | 4 |
| 728d | Anjun | <1 hour | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,732 | +$7 +0.2% | 4 |
| 728d | Anjun | 1-1.5 hours | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,923 | +$36 +0.9% | 4 |
| 728d | Anjun | 1.5-2 hours | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,089 | +$37 +0.9% | 4 |
| 728d |  Kickstand7 | 2.5-3 hours | BuyYes63¢ → 100¢ | $1,201 | +$719 +60% | 4 |
| 728d |  EdgyUsername | 3+ hours | BuyYes62¢ → 0¢ | $1,124 | −$1,124 −100% | 4 |
| 728d | gilbert | 1.5-2 hours | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,824 | +$11 +0.6% | 4 |
| 728d | Axios | 3+ hours | SellYes50¢ → 0¢ | $1,242 | +$1,242 +100% | — |
| 728d |  EmpirePending | 3+ hours | SellYes72¢ → 0¢ | $2,045 | +$2,045 +100% | — |
| 728d | 0xLeonadis | 3+ hours | BuyYes78¢ → 0¢ | $1,500 | −$1,500 −100% | 4 |
| 728d | tsekinming01 | 3+ hours | BuyYes73¢ → 0¢ | $1,058 | −$1,058 −100% | 4 |
| 728d |  ImJustKen | 2-2.5 hours | BuyNo78¢ → 100¢ | $1,111 | +$314 +28% | 4 |
| 728d |  carp | 1.5-2 hours | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,150 | +$100 +8.7% | 4 |
| 728d | carp2 fills | 1-1.5 hours | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $3,458 | +$298 +8.6% | 4 |
| 728d | Axios | 3+ hours | BuyYes32¢ → 0¢ | $2,530 | −$2,530 −100% | 7 |
| 728d | DancingonMarshmellos | 1.5-2 hours | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $1,288 | +$162 +13% | 4 |
| 728d | ImJustKen | <1 hour | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,198 | +$58 +4.9% | 4 |
| 728d | Wiz_00662 fills | 3+ hours | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $2,879 | +$120 +4.2% | 4 |
| 728d | dontshowmyname | 3+ hours | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,142 | +$16 +1.4% | 4 |
| 728d |  one8tyfive | 2-2.5 hours | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,398 | +$122 +8.7% | 4 |
| 728d | ImJustKen | 1.5-2 hours | BuyNo75¢ → 100¢ | $1,147 | +$389 +34% | 4 |
| 728d | one8tyfive2 fills | 2.5-3 hours | BuyNo97¢ → 0¢ | $5,454 | −$5,454 −100% | 4 |
| 728d |  XiJinPing-478 | 2-2.5 hours | BuyNo84¢ → 100¢ | $1,509 | +$287 +19% | 4 |
| 728d | Wiz_0066 | <1 hour | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,067 | +$68 +6.4% | 4 |
| 728d | carp | 3+ hours | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $2,004 | +$77 +3.8% | 4 |
| 728d | Wiz_0066 | 2.5-3 hours | BuyNo95¢ → 0¢ | $1,731 | −$1,731 −100% | 4 |
| 729d | dgrdgd | 1-1.5 hours | SellYes31¢ → 0¢ | $1,076 | +$1,076 +100% | — |
| 729d | TDFESA | 1-1.5 hours | BuyNo69¢ → 100¢ | $2,394 | +$1,076 +45% | 4 |
| 729d | TDFESA | 1-1.5 hours | SellYes31¢ → 0¢ | $1,074 | +$1,074 +100% | — |
| 729d | dgrdgd | 1-1.5 hours | BuyNo69¢ → 100¢ | $2,391 | +$1,074 +45% | 4 |
| 729d | vghsdgds | 1-1.5 hours | SellYes31¢ → 0¢ | $1,085 | +$1,085 +100% | — |
| 729d | 4ttesdf | 1-1.5 hours | BuyNo69¢ → 100¢ | $2,415 | +$1,085 +45% | 4 |
| 729d | 4ttesdf | 1-1.5 hours | SellYes31¢ → 0¢ | $1,085 | +$1,085 +100% | — |
| 729d | vghsdgds | 1-1.5 hours | BuyNo69¢ → 100¢ | $2,415 | +$1,085 +45% | 4 |
| 729d | cvsfesf | 1-1.5 hours | SellYes34¢ → 0¢ | $1,190 | +$1,190 +100% | — |
| 729d | fhrewtew | 1-1.5 hours | BuyNo66¢ → 100¢ | $2,310 | +$1,190 +52% | 4 |
| 729d | fhrewtew | 1-1.5 hours | SellYes34¢ → 0¢ | $1,190 | +$1,190 +100% | — |
| 729d | cvsfesf | 1-1.5 hours | BuyNo66¢ → 100¢ | $2,310 | +$1,190 +52% | 4 |
| 729d | fesfe | 1-1.5 hours | SellYes32¢ → 0¢ | $1,120 | +$1,120 +100% | — |
This is a market on predicting the duration of the Trump x Rogan podcast episode.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 2.5-3 hours means the market gives it about 100%.