Polymarket · Tech & ScienceClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 100% | — | +21 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ≤5 | 0% | −3 pts | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 6 | 0% | −1 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 7 | 0% | −7 pts | −79 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 9 | 0% | −5 pts | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 10 | 0% | −8 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 11 | 0% | — | −6 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 12+ | 0% | −1 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 114d | Paltry-Escalator | 8 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,434 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 115d | 9 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,199 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 115d | 8 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,391 | +$9 +0.6% | 4 | |
| 115d | 11 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,789 | +$22 +1.2% | 4 | |
| 313d | ≤5 | SellNo90¢ → 100¢ | $1,740 | −$193 −11% | — | |
| 319d | ≤5 | SellNo90¢ → 100¢ | $2,633 | −$293 −11% | — | |
| 347d | ≤5 | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $2,691 | +$235 +8.7% | 4 | |
| 347d | BurningTime | 12+ | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $1,232 | +$168 +14% | 4 |
| 347d | BurningTime | ≤5 | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $2,275 | +$225 +9.9% | 4 |
| 347d | ≤5 | BuyNo85¢ → 100¢ | $2,141 | +$387 +18% | 4 |
This market will resolve according to the number of distinct cities in which Waymo’s ride-hailing service is publicly available, either through the Waymo One app or a partner platform such as Uber, as of June 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. A city counts if riders can book a Waymo vehicle through either the Waymo One app or the Uber app at that time. Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions.Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify. If Waymo describes a broader region (e.g., “Los Angeles County” or “San Francisco Bay Area”) as a single service area, it will count as one city/region for this market. The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo (see: https://waymo.com/rides/c), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 8 means the market gives it about 100%.