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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 250-300k | 100% | +93 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| <100k | 0% | −7 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 100-150k | 0% | −23 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 150-200k | 0% | −41 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 200-250k | 0% | −25 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| >300k | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 652d | b1d00256-1e29-498c-8984-ac55cb860cdd | 250-300k | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,276 | −$10 −0.8% | — |
| 652d |  turtle911 | <100k | SellNo>99¢ | $1,964 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 655d | Wth-186 | 150-200k | BuyNo56¢ → 100¢ | $1,400 | +$1,100 +79% | 12 |
This is a negrisk market group over how many nonfarm payroll jobs the US will add in December 2024 according to the BLS.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 250-300k means the market gives it about 100%.