turtle911

Polymarket wallet 0x4fff3c11a5d9b77822e01792f933cdb28557be78 · on Polymarket since Aug 25, 2024 · also shown as Both-Hub

Open on Polymarket ↗@Niky_Alpha ↗

Positions now worth: $8K
All-time profit: +$31K
Volume traded: $3.87M
All-time rank: #5,527
Markets traded: 1,521
Recent hit rate: 58%29 of last 50 closed

Open positions

44 markets · $8K

Market	Holding		Paid → now
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 5d	Yes	6,069	82¢ → 93¢	$5,614	+$661 +13%
Will OpenAI have the best Image Edit AI at the end of October 2026?Ends in 8d	Yes	300	88¢ → 94¢	$281	+$17 +6.3%
Anthropic IPO before 2027?Ends in 69d	Yes	312	73¢ → 81¢	$252	+$26 +11%
Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?Ends in 8d	No	200	83¢ → 97¢	$194	+$28 +17%
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Ends in 69d	Yes	200	78¢ → 96¢	$193	+$37 +23%
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?Ends in 69d	No	108	87¢ → 92¢	$99	+$5 +5.6%
No change or Hike 25 bps favored on October 27?Ends in 3d	No change	100	84¢ → 98¢	$98	+$14 +17%
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d	No	100	69¢ → 97¢	$97	+$28 +41%
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31?Ends in 73d	No	100	93¢ → 96¢	$96	+$3 +3.5%
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?Ends in 8d	No	100	87¢ → 94¢	$94	+$6 +7.4%
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseEnds in 11d	No	100	92¢ → 93¢	$93	+$1 +0.5%
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 11d	Yes	100	92¢ → 92¢	$92	−$1 −0.5%
Will Reya launch a token by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d	No	101	77¢ → 87¢	$87	+$10 +13%
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Ends in 68d	Yes	100	70¢ → 85¢	$85	+$14 +21%
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%?Ends in 99d	No	87	83¢ → 98¢	$85	+$13 +19%
Trump meets with Putin by December 31?Ends in 69d	Yes	100	85¢ → 84¢	$84	−$1 −1.2%
Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be greater than 3.0%?Ends in 6d	Yes	100	68¢ → 64¢	$64	−$4 −5.9%
Will Donald Trump publicly praise Volodymyr Zelenskyy by October 31, 2026?Ends in 7d	No	101	70¢ → 57¢	$58	−$14 −19%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027?Ends in 159d	Yes	100	66¢ → 57¢	$57	−$8 −13%
Will Russia target Kyiv on October 29, 2026?Ends in 6d	Yes	67	82¢ → 70¢	$47	−$8 −14%
Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by December 31, 2027?Ends in 434d	No	100	32¢ → 37¢	$37	+$5 +14%
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day?Ends in 69d	No	26	95¢ → 99¢	$26	+$1 +4.0%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended	No	100	67¢ → 23¢	$23	−$44 −65%
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Ends in 11d	Yes	20	74¢ → 97¢	$19	+$5 +31%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Ends in 69d	No	20	86¢ → 95¢	$19	+$2 +11%
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d	Yes	20	79¢ → 89¢	$18	+$2 +12%
Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in 2026?Ends in 70d	Yes	15	62¢ → 72¢	$11	+$1 +15%
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?Ends in 69d	No	10	95¢ → 99¢	$10	+$0 +4.2%
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?Ends in 69d	No	10	97¢ → 99¢	$10	+$0 +1.6%
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?Ends in 69d	No	10	92¢ → 98¢	$10	+$1 +7.0%
China x Japan military clash before 2027?Ends in 69d	No	10	87¢ → 96¢	$10	+$1 +10%
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?Ends in 69d	No	100	17¢ → 8¢	$7	−$9 −56%
Will Trump raise tariffs on Canada by October 31?Ends in 8d	No	10	83¢ → 66¢	$7	−$2 −20%
Next White House Press Secretary announced by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d	Yes	10	80¢ → 60¢	$6	−$2 −26%
Trump meets with Mojtaba Khamenei by December 31?Ends in 69d	Yes	190	5¢ → 2¢	$4	−$5 −54%
Will four or more people dissent the December Fed decision?Ends in 46d	No	5	77¢ → 96¢	$4	+$1 +25%
Will Reya launch a token by December 31, 2027?Ends in 434d	No	20	9¢ → 18¢	$4	+$2 +100%
US imports Russian diesel by October 31?Ends in 8d	Yes	110	29¢ → 3¢	$3	−$29 −90%
Kash Patel out by December 31?Ends in 69d	Yes	10	80¢ → 20¢	$2	−$6 −76%
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by October 31?Ends in 7d	Yes	100	4¢ → 1¢	$1	−$2 −64%
Will Based Polymarket revenue hit $1M before 2027?Ends in 69d	Yes	10	9¢ → 11¢	$1	+$0 +22%
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?Ends in 434d	Yes	10	26¢ → 10¢	$1	−$2 −63%
US strike on Cuba by December 31?Ends in 69d	Yes	10	31¢ → 9¢	$1	−$2 −73%
Will Ethena reach $0.52 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d	Yes	5	78¢ → 5¢	$0	−$4 −93%

Latest trades

last 60

When	Market	Bet	Size
4h	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	SellYes92¢	$5
4h	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	SellYes92¢	$276
4h	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	SellYes92¢	$230
4h	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	SellYes92¢	$3,644
4h	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	BuyNo69¢	$69
1d	Will the lowest temperature in Istanbul be 4°C or below on October 20?	BuyYes87¢	$82
1d	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on October 31, 2026?	SellYes93¢	$55
2d	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026?	SellYes18¢	$88
2d	OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by October 31?	SellYes62¢	$50
2d	Will Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" during his Midterm Rally in South Carolina?	BuyNo37¢	$148
2d	Next White House Press Secretary announced by December 31, 2026?	SellYes62¢	$180
2d	Will Trump say "Hell" 15+ times during his Midterm Rally in South Carolina?	BuyYes35¢	$8
2d	Trump meets with Putin by December 31?	BuyYes85¢	$85
2d	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026?	BuyNo94¢	$66
2d	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026?	BuyNo94¢	$89
2d	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026?	BuyNo94¢	$128
3d	Will Trump say "Hell" 15+ times during his Midterm Rally in North Carolina?	BuyYes49¢	$196
3d	Will Trump say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in North Carolina?	BuyNo20¢	$40
3d	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in North Carolina?	BuyYes29¢	$5
3d	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in North Carolina?	BuyYes29¢	$53
3d	US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027?	BuyYes66¢	$2
3d	US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027?	BuyYes66¢	$17
3d	US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027?	BuyYes66¢	$14
3d	US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027?	BuyYes66¢	$33
3d	OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by October 31?	SellYes55¢	$93
3d	Will UK annual inflation be between 2.8% and 3% in September?	BuyNo98¢	$77
3d	Will UK annual inflation be between 2.8% and 3% in September?	BuyNo98¢	$21
3d	Will OpenAI have the best Image Edit AI at the end of October 2026?	BuyYes88¢	$265
3d	ChatGPT Outage by November 15, 2026?	BuyYes82¢	$8
3d	Will Trump raise tariffs on Canada by October 31?	BuyNo83¢	$8
3d	OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by October 31?	BuyYes50¢	$129
3d	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026?	SellYes60¢	$65
4d	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by October 31?	BuyYes4¢	$0
4d	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	SellYes85¢	$130
4d	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	SellYes85¢	$2
4d	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	SellYes85¢	$13
4d	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	SellYes85¢	$85
4d	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	SellYes85¢	$3
4d	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	SellYes85¢	$2
4d	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	SellYes85¢	$304
4d	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	SellYes85¢	$36
4d	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	SellYes85¢	$29
4d	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	SellYes85¢	$200
4d	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	SellYes85¢	$16
4d	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	SellYes85¢	$6
4d	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	SellYes85¢	$10
4d	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	SellYes85¢	$7
4d	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	SellYes85¢	$4
4d	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	SellYes85¢	$1
4d	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	SellYes85¢	$4
4d	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	SellYes85¢	$4
4d	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	SellYes85¢	$862
4d	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	SellYes85¢	$680
4d	Paris curfew by October 19?	SellNo<1¢	$1
4d	Paris curfew by October 19?	SellNo3¢	$28
4d	Paris curfew by October 19?	SellNo2¢	$12
4d	Paris curfew by October 19?	SellNo2¢	$3
4d	Paris curfew by October 19?	BuyNo1¢	$22
4d	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	SellYes85¢	$6
4d	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	SellYes85¢	$6

Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.

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