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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| <100k | 100% | +80 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 100-150k | 0% | −39 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 150-200k | 0% | −18 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 200-250k | 0% | −12 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| >250k | 0% | −12 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 721d |  Dr.ChristmasJones | <100k | SellYes>99¢ | $2,716 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 721d |  Cajetan2 fills | >250k | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $4,602 | +$208 +4.5% | 10 |
| 721d |  noreasapa | <100k | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,782 | +$28 +1.0% | 10 |
| 721d |  AgricultureSecretary | <100k | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $3,010 | +$110 +3.6% | 10 |
| 721d | cigarettes | >250k | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $1,019 | +$101 +9.9% | 10 |
| 721d | BobbyB3 fills | >250k | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $6,420 | +$635 +9.9% | 10 |
| 721d | AgricultureSecretary | >250k | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $2,264 | +$224 +9.9% | 10 |
| 721d | wokerjoesleeper | >250k | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $2,213 | +$219 +9.9% | 10 |
| 721d | AgricultureSecretary | 100-150k | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,463 | +$25 +1.0% | 10 |
| 721d |  Gemini456 | >250k | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $18,650 | +$2,077 +11% | 10 |
| 721d |  CavaSoTasty | >250k | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $2,666 | +$334 +13% | 10 |
| 730d | Kjst | 100-150k | SellYes27¢ → 0¢ | $1,053 | +$1,053 +100% | — |
| 730d | Mhst | 100-150k | BuyNo73¢ → 100¢ | $2,847 | +$1,053 +37% | 10 |
| 730d | Mhst | 100-150k | SellYes27¢ → 0¢ | $1,026 | +$1,026 +100% | — |
| 730d | Kjst | 100-150k | BuyNo73¢ → 100¢ | $2,774 | +$1,026 +37% | 10 |
This is a negrisk group over how many jobs the United States will add in October according to the BLS.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for <100k means the market gives it about 100%.