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Polymarket wallet 0x9916c37f0aa85bacaf87275bbe6f2515eaa5a2b2 · on Polymarket since Jan 25, 2021 · also shown as Firsthand-Silence
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 5d | No | 8,000 | >99¢ → >99¢ | $7,996 | +$4 +0.1% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 5d | No | 8,000 | >99¢ → >99¢ | $7,988 | +$20 +0.3% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | Yes | 6,219 | 38¢ → 76¢ | $4,717 | +$2,363 +100% |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 1,086 | 60¢ → 4¢ | $42 | −$605 −94% |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 746d | Yes | 160 | 10¢ → 15¢ | $23 | +$7 +46% |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,944 | 33¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$642 −100% |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 425 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$26 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.