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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 100% | — | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 0 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| 1 | 0% | −62 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 3 or more | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 781d | 3 or more | BuyNo>99¢ | $47,007 | +$48 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 781d | VorpalQuark | 3 or more | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,995 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 |
| 781d | 2 | BuyYes>99¢ | $56,025 | +$107 +0.2% | 4 | |
| 792d | 3 or more | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,607 | −$30 −0.8% | — | |
| 796d | 2 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,019 | +$46 +1.5% | 4 | |
| 801d | 2 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,287 | −$13 −1.0% | — | |
| 801d | 2 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $3,098 | +$57 +1.8% | 4 | |
| 801d | ASOEMFE | 3 or more | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $4,261 | +$198 +4.7% | 4 |
| 809d | 1 | BuyNo77¢ → 100¢ | $1,540 | +$460 +30% | 10 | |
| 846d | ASOEMFE | 2 | BuyNo45¢ → 0¢ | $2,125 | −$2,125 −100% | 5 |
| 849d | 1 | BuyYes35¢ → 0¢ | $1,155 | −$1,155 −100% | 10 | |
| 850d | 0 | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $4,427 | +$510 +12% | 4 | |
| 873d | 2 | SellYes44¢ → 100¢ | $2,420 | −$3,080 −127% | — | |
| 887d | 0 | BuyYes13¢ → 0¢ | $1,427 | −$1,427 −100% | 7 | |
| 891d | 0 | BuyNo80¢ → 100¢ | $2,876 | +$725 +25% | 4 | |
| 903d | 1 | BuyNo61¢ → 100¢ | $1,650 | +$1,055 +64% | 10 | |
| 913d | 3 or more | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $6,438 | +$562 +8.7% | 4 | |
| 920d | 0 | BuyNo75¢ → 100¢ | $1,350 | +$450 +33% | 4 |
This is a market on the number of "Squad" members who will lose their primary elections.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 2 means the market gives it about 100%.