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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| <26m | 100% | +85 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 26-29m | 0% | −14 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 29-32m | 0% | −23 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 32-35m | 0% | −42 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 35-38m | 0% | −2 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 38-41m | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 41-44m | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 44m or more | 0% | −4 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 640d | lineth | 26-29m | SellNo>99¢ | $2,277 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 640d |  Emptiness. | <26m | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,358 | +$2 +0.2% | 4 |
| 640d |  ExhaustedBoyBilly | <26m | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,723 | +$8 +0.1% | 4 |
| 640d |  Bang...2 fills | <26m | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $3,364 | +$69 +2.1% | 4 |
| 640d | Adrimarket | <26m | BuyYes72¢ → 100¢ | $1,503 | +$590 +39% | 4 |
| 640d | Kelk34 | 26-29m | BuyNo67¢ → 100¢ | $1,957 | +$968 +49% | 4 |
| 640d |  Eridpnc | 26-29m | BuyYes36¢ → 0¢ | $1,828 | −$1,828 −100% | 6 |
| 640d | Eridpnc | <26m | SellYes62¢ → 100¢ | $1,659 | −$1,006 −61% | — |
| 640d | Pastel-Dozen | 26-29m | BuyYes40¢ → 0¢ | $1,252 | −$1,252 −100% | 4 |
| 640d | Hipno97 | 26-29m | BuyYes59¢ → 0¢ | $1,115 | −$1,115 −100% | 4 |
| 640d | Nobody23041 | 44m or more | SellNo>99¢ | $1,270 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 640d |  Negeto | 44m or more | SellNo>99¢ | $1,633 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 640d |  Aurik | <26m | BuyNo50¢ → 0¢ | $3,000 | −$3,000 −100% | 4 |
| 640d | Aurik | <26m | SellYes60¢ → 100¢ | $1,200 | −$800 −67% | — |
| 640d | ExhaustedBoyBilly2 fills | 38-41m | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $3,781 | +$150 +4.0% | 4 |
| 640d | ExhaustedBoyBilly2 fills | 44m or more | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,231 | +$40 +0.9% | 4 |
| 640d | semi | <26m | BuyNo40¢ → 0¢ | $2,339 | −$2,339 −100% | 6 |
| 640d | ImHereForTheRewards | 44m or more | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,433 | +$27 +1.9% | 4 |
| 641d | MayorOfMagaville6969 | 44m or more | BuyYes13¢ → 0¢ | $1,172 | −$1,172 −100% | 5 |
| 641d |  chensoft | <26m | BuyNo95¢ → 0¢ | $2,522 | −$2,522 −100% | 4 |
| 641d | titimiquito | 32-35m | BuyNo58¢ → 100¢ | $1,703 | +$1,233 +72% | 4 |
| 642d |  catasus | 44m or more | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,261 | −$69 −5.5% | — |
| 644d | catasus | 44m or more | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,644 | +$83 +5.0% | 5 |
| 649d |  KimJonEn | 44m or more | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $3,112 | +$98 +3.1% | 4 |
| 649d | KimJonEn | 41-44m | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,226 | +$55 +4.5% | 4 |
| 651d | CarveMeister | 44m or more | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $2,038 | −$98 −4.8% | — |
| 652d | ExhaustedBoyBilly | 35-38m | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $1,888 | +$212 +11% | 4 |
| 652d | ExhaustedBoyBilly | 41-44m | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $2,276 | +$94 +4.1% | 4 |
| 652d | ExhaustedBoyBilly | 32-35m | BuyNo84¢ → 100¢ | $1,991 | +$379 +19% | 4 |
This is a market on the projected viewership numbers for Trump's next inauguration event.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for <26m means the market gives it about 100%.