Loading your workspacePreparing the page and its market data.
Loading the chart…
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 160-179 | 100% | 0 pts | +1 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| <100 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 100-119 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 120-139 | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 140-159 | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 180-199 | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 200 or more | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 296d |  big-short | 160-179 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,771 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 308d | zxc3682 fills | 140-159 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,980 | +$5 +0.1% | 20 |
| 308d |  inrvoice | 140-159 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,900 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 314d |  apalebluedot | 160-179 | SellYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,587 | −$68 −4.3% | — |
| 327d | LBZone | 120-139 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,460 | +$4 +0.1% | 20 |
| 327d | big-short | 120-139 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,024 | +$39 +1.0% | 20 |
| 432d | SweetChariot3 fills | <100 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,868 | +$10 +0.2% | 20 |
| 541d | yarvis | 100-119 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,464 | −$6 −0.4% | — |
| 541d | yarvis | 100-119 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,466 | +$4 +0.3% | 20 |
| 542d | FedorX | 100-119 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,872 | −$8 −0.4% | — |
| 543d | FedorX | 100-119 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,874 | +$6 +0.3% | 20 |
| 549d | big-short | 140-159 | BuyYes18¢ → 0¢ | $1,349 | −$1,349 −100% | 22 |
| 657d | gandalf | 100-119 | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $7,620 | +$277 +3.6% | 20 |
This is a market on predicting the total number of SpaceX launches scheduled for the year 2025.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 160-179 means the market gives it about 100%.