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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14+ | 100% | +10 pts | +34 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| <11 | 0% | −2 pts | −5 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 11 | 0% | −2 pts | −7 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| 12 | 0% | −3 pts | −6 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 13 | 0% | −16 pts | −33 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 117d | calami | 13 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,082 | +$11 +1.0% | 20 |
| 117d | 0xE17D2 fills | 12 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,471 | +$29 +0.7% | 20 |
| 121d | calami | 11 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 122d | ychwuw | <11 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,196 | +$4 +0.1% | 20 |
| 122d | thcdmz | <11 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,074 | +$7 +0.6% | 20 |
| 132d | Orion96 | <11 | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $1,015 | +$113 +11% | 20 |
This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX launches between June 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market will be https://www.spacex.com/launches.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 14+ means the market gives it about 100%.