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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| <12 | 100% | 0 pts | +1 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 12 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 13 | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 14 | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 15+ | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
No trades of $1,000 or more lately.
This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX launches between September 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market will be https://www.spacex.com/launches.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for <12 means the market gives it about 100%.