| Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Pará?Ends in 3d | Yes | 819 | 71¢ → 87¢ | $709 | +$128 +22% |
| Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Ends in 12d | Yes | 1,009 | 64¢ → 70¢ | $701 | +$57 +8.9% |
| Will no one dissent the October Fed decision?Ends in 5d | No | 793 | 73¢ → 79¢ | $622 | +$40 +7.0% |
| Will the US lose between 0 and 25k jobs in October?Ends in 15d | No | 609 | 79¢ → 92¢ | $560 | +$80 +17% |
| Will Khamzat Chimaev be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?Ends in 70d | No | 513 | 85¢ → 98¢ | $505 | +$70 +16% |
| Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?Ends in 12d | Yes | 592 | 41¢ → 80¢ | $471 | +$227 +93% |
| Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?Ends in 367d | Yes | 845 | 50¢ → 49¢ | $410 | −$9 −2.2% |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Ends in 12d | No | 1,600 | 21¢ → 26¢ | $408 | +$72 +21% |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Ends ended | Yes | 526 | 65¢ → 77¢ | $403 | +$61 +18% |
| Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?Ends in 70d | Yes | 1,134 | 29¢ → 34¢ | $380 | +$46 +14% |
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá?Ends in 3d | Yes | 518 | 80¢ → 71¢ | $365 | −$49 −12% |
| Will Oregon be the closest Governor's race in 2026?Ends in 12d | No | 359 | 82¢ → 96¢ | $345 | +$51 +17% |
| Will Axel Kicillof win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?Ends in 367d | No | 503 | 65¢ → 68¢ | $340 | +$12 +3.6% |
| Will Waymo launch in Philadelphia, PA by December 31 2026?Ends in 70d | No | 359 | 76¢ → 95¢ | $339 | +$65 +24% |
| Will Texas be the closest Governor's race in 2026?Ends in 12d | No | 357 | 83¢ → 90¢ | $323 | +$27 +9.0% |
| Will Democrats sweep the Michigan Senate and Governor elections?Ends in 12d | No | 1,009 | 33¢ → 32¢ | $323 | −$9 −2.7% |
| Will Ella Langley win Female Vocalist of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?Ends in 27d | Yes | 402 | 39¢ → 79¢ | $316 | +$159 +101% |
| Will Alejandro G. Iñárritu win Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 251d | No | 321 | 88¢ → 98¢ | $313 | +$31 +11% |
| Will The Odyssey win Best Original Score at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 142d | Yes | 475 | 42¢ → 66¢ | $311 | +$113 +57% |
| Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 6.00% in October?Ends in 9d | No | 319 | 88¢ → 98¢ | $311 | +$30 +11% |
| Will no company have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?Ends in 70d | Yes | 421 | 64¢ → 69¢ | $291 | +$20 +7.3% |
| Will Democrats win exactly 48 House seats in California in the 2026 midterm elections?Ends in 12d | Yes | 352 | 54¢ → 79¢ | $276 | +$87 +46% |
| Will voters pick the Winchester Model 1873 "Gun that Won the West" (.44-40) as the state gun of Idaho?Ends in 12d | Yes | 449 | 38¢ → 60¢ | $267 | +$95 +55% |
| Will Erling Braut Haaland be the #1 searched athlete on Google this year?Ends in 160d | Yes | 740 | 38¢ → 35¢ | $259 | −$20 −7.1% |
| Will Bad Bunny rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 749 | 44¢ → 35¢ | $258 | −$69 −21% |
| Will Ruben Gallego vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?Ends in 71d | No | 237 | 69¢ → 93¢ | $220 | +$57 +35% |
| Will "Avengers: Doomsday" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Ends in 59d | No | 924 | 22¢ → 23¢ | $212 | +$10 +4.7% |
| Will "End of Beginning – Djo" be the top song for 2026?Ends in 101d | Yes | 238 | 60¢ → 84¢ | $200 | +$57 +40% |
| Will “Ain't in It for My Health” by Zach Top win Album of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?Ends in 27d | No | 205 | 86¢ → 96¢ | $198 | +$21 +12% |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 launch by November 30, 2026?Ends in 39d | Yes | 286 | 73¢ → 69¢ | $196 | −$12 −5.7% |
| Will Andrew Scott be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 90d | No | 1,298 | 28¢ → 15¢ | $195 | −$165 −46% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Iowa gubernatorial election by 0%-3%?Ends in 12d | Yes | 842 | 13¢ → 23¢ | $195 | +$83 +74% |
| Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.80% in October?Ends in 9d | No | 200 | 72¢ → 97¢ | $193 | +$49 +34% |
| Will The Art of Loving (Olivia Dean) win Album of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?Ends in 107d | No | 202 | 57¢ → 95¢ | $193 | +$77 +66% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the NE-01 House seat?Ends in 12d | No | 250 | 84¢ → 77¢ | $191 | −$19 −8.9% |
| Will Project Hail Mary win Best Original Score at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 142d | No | 200 | 77¢ → 96¢ | $191 | +$37 +24% |
| Will there be between 125m and 130m votes cast in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections?Ends in 12d | No | 197 | 75¢ → 93¢ | $182 | +$35 +24% |
| Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement?Ends in 5d | No | 216 | 12¢ → 83¢ | $180 | +$154 +608% |
| Will there be at least 130m votes cast in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections?Ends in 12d | No | 197 | 94¢ → 89¢ | $176 | −$10 −5.3% |
| Will Mike Lee vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?Ends in 70d | No | 193 | 67¢ → 91¢ | $175 | +$46 +35% |
| Will the US add between 75k and 100k jobs in October?Ends in 15d | No | 209 | 80¢ → 84¢ | $175 | +$7 +4.3% |
| Blue Origin New Glenn launch in 2026?Ends in 70d | No | 202 | 82¢ → 87¢ | $174 | +$10 +5.9% |
| Will the US add between 50k and 75k jobs in October?Ends in 15d | No | 209 | 86¢ → 83¢ | $172 | −$7 −3.9% |
| Will Drake release a new album by December 31?Ends in 70d | No | 200 | 38¢ → 84¢ | $168 | +$91 +118% |
| Will “Choosin' Texas” by Ella Langley win Music Video of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?Ends in 27d | Yes | 300 | 49¢ → 54¢ | $162 | +$14 +9.5% |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from South Carolina be between 1,800,000 and 2,000,000?Ends in 12d | No | 202 | 53¢ → 79¢ | $158 | +$52 +49% |
| Will Man I Need – Olivia Dean be the #2 song in the US for 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 302 | 91¢ → 52¢ | $158 | −$117 −43% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Iowa gubernatorial election by 3%-6%?Ends in 12d | Yes | 612 | 16¢ → 26¢ | $156 | +$55 +55% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the OH-10 House seat?Ends in 12d | No | 244 | 81¢ → 62¢ | $151 | −$46 −23% |
| Will Grand Theft Auto VI win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards?Ends in 70d | Yes | 186 | 60¢ → 81¢ | $151 | +$39 +34% |
| Will Trump Airport become law this year?Ends in 70d | No | 152 | 88¢ → 98¢ | $149 | +$15 +11% |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 5d | Yes | 954 | 32¢ → 16¢ | $148 | −$159 −52% |
| Will “Horses and Divorces” by Kacey Musgraves featuring Miranda Lambert win Musical Event of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?Ends in 27d | No | 163 | 84¢ → 89¢ | $145 | +$8 +6.0% |
| Will the US add at least 100k jobs in October?Ends in 15d | No | 209 | 70¢ → 69¢ | $143 | −$3 −2.1% |
| Will Taylor Swift be the third most streamed artist for 2026?Ends in 70d | Yes | 181 | 64¢ → 78¢ | $141 | +$25 +22% |
| No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting?Ends in 13d | No | 144 | 22¢ → 98¢ | $141 | +$109 +344% |
| Will Obsession be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?Ends in 69d | Yes | 323 | 20¢ → 43¢ | $139 | +$75 +117% |
| Will Bernie endorse James Talarico for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?Ends in 11d | No | 141 | 13¢ → 97¢ | $136 | +$117 +628% |
| Will "Dune: Part Three" be nominated for Best Original Score at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 143d | Yes | 212 | 63¢ → 63¢ | $133 | +$0 +0.0% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Carolina Senate election by 0%-5%?Ends in 12d | Yes | 321 | 30¢ → 42¢ | $133 | +$37 +38% |
| Will Charles Melton win Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 251d | No | 128 | 92¢ → >99¢ | $128 | +$10 +8.5% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 12d | No | 400 | 48¢ → 32¢ | $126 | −$66 −34% |
| Tom Holland as Spider-Man?Ends in 251d | Yes | 242 | 48¢ → 52¢ | $125 | +$7 +6.3% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Iowa gubernatorial election by 9%-12%?Ends in 12d | No | 135 | 86¢ → 91¢ | $122 | +$6 +4.7% |
| Will "Clarissa" be nominated for Best Adapted Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 143d | No | 138 | 81¢ → 86¢ | $118 | +$7 +6.2% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Iowa gubernatorial election by 12% or more?Ends in 12d | No | 135 | 78¢ → 87¢ | $116 | +$11 +11% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 6d | Yes | 126 | 64¢ → 92¢ | $115 | +$34 +42% |
| Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from abroad?Ends in 3d | No | 417 | 42¢ → 27¢ | $113 | −$62 −36% |
| Will Nicolás Maduro rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 163 | 70¢ → 68¢ | $110 | −$3 −3.0% |
| Will Democrats win the Michigan Governor election and Republicans win the Michigan Senate election?Ends in 12d | Yes | 430 | 19¢ → 26¢ | $110 | +$28 +34% |
| Will Alex R. Hibbert be the live-action Miles Morales?Ends in 435d | No | 125 | 77¢ → 88¢ | $109 | +$13 +13% |
| Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1650 by December 31?Ends in 70d | No | 112 | 94¢ → 96¢ | $107 | +$2 +1.8% |
| Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?Ends in 37d | Yes | 280 | 37¢ → 38¢ | $105 | +$1 +0.8% |
| Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?Ends in 70d | Yes | 510 | 23¢ → 21¢ | $105 | −$14 −12% |
| Will Heidi Overton be confirmed as FDA Commissioner by November 30?Ends in 39d | No | 109 | 85¢ → 95¢ | $103 | +$11 +11% |
| Will Grok 5 be released by December 31, 2026?Ends in 70d | Yes | 205 | 54¢ → 50¢ | $102 | −$10 −9.1% |
| Will Jaafar Jackson be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 90d | No | 120 | 74¢ → 85¢ | $101 | +$13 +14% |
| Will "Clayface" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Ends in 3d | No | 100 | 86¢ → 98¢ | $97 | +$12 +13% |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026?Ends in 12d | Yes | 842 | 15¢ → 12¢ | $97 | −$26 −21% |
| Will "Avengers: Doomsday" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Ends in 59d | Yes | 320 | 27¢ → 30¢ | $96 | +$10 +11% |
| Will Meta have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?Ends in 70d | Yes | 800 | 14¢ → 12¢ | $92 | −$20 −18% |
| Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?Ends in 37d | No | 243 | 16¢ → 38¢ | $91 | +$52 +134% |
| Will Bernie endorse Antonio Delgado for NY-Gov by Nov 2 2026 ET?Ends in 11d | No | 90 | 71¢ → 98¢ | $87 | +$24 +38% |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from South Carolina be between 2,000,000 and 2,200,000?Ends in 12d | No | 106 | 86¢ → 81¢ | $86 | −$5 −5.9% |
| Will Justin Gaethje be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?Ends in 70d | Yes | 88 | 73¢ → 95¢ | $84 | +$19 +30% |
| Will "The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Ends in 31d | No | 727 | 6¢ → 12¢ | $84 | +$40 +92% |
| Will Robert Pattinson be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 90d | Yes | 169 | 47¢ → 49¢ | $82 | +$2 +2.2% |
| Will Tom Cruise be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 143d | Yes | 134 | 61¢ → 61¢ | $82 | +$0 +0.0% |
| Will Josh O'Connor be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 90d | No | 87 | 90¢ → 94¢ | $81 | +$3 +4.4% |
| Will Waymo launch in Denver, CO by December 31 2026?Ends in 70d | Yes | 87 | 74¢ → 94¢ | $81 | +$17 +27% |
| Will Anthropic be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?Ends in 70d | Yes | 448 | 27¢ → 18¢ | $81 | −$41 −34% |
| Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá?Ends in 3d | Yes | 273 | 19¢ → 30¢ | $81 | +$30 +59% |
| Will Ryan Gosling be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 90d | Yes | 185 | 49¢ → 44¢ | $80 | −$9 −11% |
| France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026?Ends in 70d | Yes | 400 | 18¢ → 20¢ | $78 | +$6 +8.3% |
| Will 5-6 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?Ends in 70d | Yes | 211 | 41¢ → 37¢ | $78 | −$9 −9.9% |
| Will Sam Rockwell be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 143d | No | 289 | 15¢ → 27¢ | $77 | +$33 +77% |
| Will the US lose more than 25k jobs in October?Ends in 15d | No | 80 | 87¢ → 96¢ | $77 | +$7 +10% |
| Will "Avengers: Doomsday" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Ends in 59d | No | 614 | 10¢ → 12¢ | $75 | +$11 +18% |
| Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Ends in 5d | No | 75 | 97¢ → 99¢ | $74 | +$2 +2.3% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 5d | No | 101 | 67¢ → 70¢ | $70 | +$3 +3.7% |
