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Polymarket · Tech & ScienceClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 100% | — | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 1 | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 2 | 0% | −7 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 3 | 0% | −5 pts | 0 pts | — · 2¢ | — | ended |
| 5+ | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 661d |  Master-bettor | 4 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,971 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 662d |  ExhaustedBoyBilly | 4 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,209 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 662d | keribit | 5+ | SellNo>99¢ | $2,278 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 662d | Luminatarion | 4 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,000 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 662d |  losingmoneyxd2 fills | 4 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,855 | −$14 −0.5% | — |
| 662d | losingmoneyxd | 5+ | SellNo>99¢ | $1,372 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 664d | losingmoneyxd | 4 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,888 | +$7 +0.4% | 20 |
| 665d | Skip-instructs-send-all-funds-to-this-acc | 4 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,059 | −$11 −1.0% | — |
| 677d | keribit | 4 | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$53 +2.6% | 20 |
| 679d | DN12 | 4 | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,850 | +$58 +3.2% | 20 |
| 680d |  iamhungry | 4 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,566 | +$34 +2.1% | 20 |
| 682d | Skip-instructs-send-all-funds-to-this-acc | 4 | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,473 | +$47 +3.2% | 20 |
| 682d | Jack51e72 | 4 | SellYes95¢ → 100¢ | $3,248 | −$154 −4.7% | — |
| 698d | Orion96 | 5+ | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $4,999 | +$488 +9.8% | 20 |
| 698d | thafalseprofit | 4 | BuyYes89¢ → 100¢ | $1,513 | +$187 +12% | 20 |
| 698d |  Pokeishonn | 4 | BuyYes89¢ → 100¢ | $1,883 | +$233 +12% | 20 |
| 701d | Luminatarion | 5+ | BuyYes16¢ → 0¢ | $1,463 | −$1,463 −100% | 22 |
| 702d | Bobbidy | 4 | SellYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,910 | −$101 −5.3% | — |
| 703d | tryingtruth | 5+ | SellNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,191 | −$71 −5.9% | — |
| 704d | Jack51e72 | 4 | BuyYes91¢ → 100¢ | $1,001 | +$99 +9.9% | 20 |
| 714d |  ImJustKen3 fills | 5+ | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $20,254 | +$2,362 +12% | 20 |
| 716d | skeleton-enthusiast | 5+ | BuyYes34¢ → 0¢ | $1,113 | −$1,113 −100% | 20 |
| 716d | ImJustKen | 3 | BuyNo84¢ → 100¢ | $3,598 | +$697 +19% | 20 |
| 720d | tryingtruth | 5+ | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$200 +13% | 20 |
| 721d | MxT | 5+ | SellNo86¢ → 100¢ | $1,091 | −$181 −17% | — |
| 727d |  RewardsPeasant | 5+ | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $1,372 | +$128 +9.3% | 20 |
| 734d | Adfgdfg-157 | 4 | SellNo37¢ → 0¢ | $1,092 | +$1,092 +100% | — |
| 734d | Adfgdfg-157 | 4 | BuyNo38¢ → 0¢ | $1,121 | −$1,121 −100% | 20 |
| 739d | ExhaustedBoyBilly | 5+ | SellNo90¢ → 100¢ | $1,461 | −$161 −11% | — |
| 741d | RewardsPeasant | 2 | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,566 | +$103 +6.6% | 20 |
| 745d | LoseSavings | 5+ | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,137 | −$13 −1.1% | — |
| 755d |  TimeQuestion | 3 | BuyYes82¢ → 0¢ | $1,016 | −$1,016 −100% | 20 |
| 759d | ImJustKen | 4 | BuyNo90¢ → 0¢ | $3,690 | −$3,690 −100% | 20 |
| 784d | TimeQuestion2 fills | 1 | BuyNo>99¢ | $26,002 | +$103 +0.4% | 20 |
| 807d |  Apsalar | 1 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,981 | +$40 +1.0% | 20 |
This is a market on predicting the number of SpaceX Starship launches that successfully reach space in the year 2024.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 4 means the market gives it about 100%.
