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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 60-79 | 100% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| <60 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| 80-99 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| 100-119 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| 120-139 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| 140-159 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| 160-179 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| 180 or more | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 903d | EscalateFund | 120-139 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,119 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 903d |  Alicia | 80-99 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,575 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 905d | Alicia | 80-99 | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $2,458 | +$157 +6.4% | 20 |
| 905d | Anon5566 | <60 | SellNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,132 | −$90 −8.0% | — |
| 905d | EscalateFund | 80-99 | BuyNo87¢ → 100¢ | $1,873 | +$292 +16% | 24 |
| 906d | Anon5566 | <60 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,940 | +$60 +1.0% | 20 |
| 906d | EscalateFund | 120-139 | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $4,925 | +$205 +4.2% | 21 |
| 907d | neezduts-028 | <60 | BuyNo100¢ | $2,000 | +$10 +0.5% | 20 |
| 908d | Alicia | <60 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,176 | +$24 +2.0% | 20 |
| 910d |  ImJustKen | 120-139 | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $4,677 | +$520 +11% | 21 |
| 910d | ImJustKen | 140-159 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,139 | +$66 +3.1% | 20 |
| 911d |  truthteller | 140-159 | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $2,214 | +$117 +5.3% | 20 |
| 911d |  Apsalar | 80-99 | BuyYes25¢ → 0¢ | $1,286 | −$1,286 −100% | 23 |
| 911d | truthteller | 80-99 | SellNo77¢ → 100¢ | $2,635 | −$787 −30% | — |
| 911d | truthteller | 80-99 | BuyNo77¢ → 100¢ | $2,635 | +$787 +30% | 22 |
| 911d | undertaker | 180 or more | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,132 | +$18 +1.6% | 20 |
| 911d | undertaker | 160-179 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,114 | +$36 +3.2% | 20 |
| 911d | undertaker | <60 | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,058 | +$92 +8.7% | 21 |
| 911d | undertaker | 120-139 | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $1,012 | +$138 +14% | 21 |
asda
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 60-79 means the market gives it about 100%.