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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 65-70m | 100% | +75 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| <50m | 0% | −5 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 50-55m | 0% | −23 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 55-60m | 0% | −17 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 60-65m | 0% | −17 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 70-75m | 0% | −32 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 75m+ | 0% | −26 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 771d | professorx2 fills | 55-60m | BuyNo>99¢ | $8,821 | +$9 +0.1% | 4 |
| 771d | Hhkcg | 65-70m | BuyYes>99¢ | $7,493 | +$8 +0.1% | 4 |
| 771d |  AgricultureSecretary | 65-70m | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $4,950 | +$50 +1.0% | 4 |
| 771d |  nanunanu | 65-70m | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,535 | +$16 +1.0% | 4 |
| 771d |  realAFC | 60-65m | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $3,551 | +$395 +11% | 4 |
| 771d |  ImJustKen3 fills | 55-60m | BuyNo85¢ → 100¢ | $4,838 | +$856 +18% | 4 |
| 771d |  rizzlersrevenge | 55-60m | BuyYes35¢ → 0¢ | $2,000 | −$2,000 −100% | 6 |
| 771d | Dynx | 65-70m | BuyNo83¢ → 0¢ | $1,051 | −$1,051 −100% | 4 |
| 771d | Breezy-Entrance | 50-55m | BuyNo100¢ | $1,184 | +$6 +0.5% | 4 |
| 771d | Breezy-Entrance | <50m | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,946 | +$8 +0.4% | 4 |
| 771d | Nobody23041 | 75m+ | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,454 | +$47 +3.2% | 4 |
| 771d | Cbarbhwux | 55-60m | BuyYes40¢ → 0¢ | $1,270 | −$1,270 −100% | 4 |
| 771d | Bink_7 | 60-65m | BuyNo52¢ → 100¢ | $2,496 | +$2,341 +94% | 4 |
| 771d | Bink_7 | 55-60m | BuyYes30¢ → 0¢ | $1,345 | −$1,345 −100% | 5 |
| 771d |  Wickier | 65-70m | BuyNo84¢ → 0¢ | $1,675 | −$1,675 −100% | 4 |
| 771d |  pocahontasporker | 65-70m | BuyNo84¢ → 0¢ | $1,176 | −$1,176 −100% | 4 |
| 771d | ImJustKen | 50-55m | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,572 | +$75 +4.7% | 4 |
| 771d | ImJustKen | <50m | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,156 | +$44 +2.0% | 4 |
| 771d |  DonaldinhoTrumpito2 fills | 50-55m | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $2,630 | +$96 +3.6% | 5 |
| 771d |  mango-lassi | <50m | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $3,207 | +$50 +1.6% | 4 |
| 771d | panasmrs | <50m | SellNo86¢ → 100¢ | $1,306 | −$209 −16% | — |
| 772d | EscalateFund | 75m+ | BuyNo81¢ → 100¢ | $1,638 | +$382 +23% | 4 |
| 772d | panasmrs | <50m | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$15 +1.0% | 4 |
| 773d |  CookedAlligator | <50m | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,014 | +$12 +1.2% | 4 |
| 775d |  MistaJenkins | <50m | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$60 +3.0% | 4 |
This is a market on predicting the number of viewers for the ABC Debate.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 65-70m means the market gives it about 100%.