Polymarket · EconomyClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | −2 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 509d | nonkenny90 | Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce before July? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $3,356 | +$144 +4.3% | 20 |
| 535d | yoyo222 fills | Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce before July? | SellNo90¢ → 100¢ | $2,051 | −$229 −11% | — |
| 536d | yyyyyyy | Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce before July? | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $2,159 | +$162 +7.5% | 20 |
| 542d | Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce before July? | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $2,724 | +$303 +11% | 20 | |
| 551d | mooseytunes0 | Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce before July? | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $2,144 | +$242 +11% | 20 |
| 563d | Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce before July? | BuyNo73¢ → 100¢ | $1,296 | +$480 +37% | 20 | |
| 565d | binhood | Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce before July? | BuyYes65¢ → 0¢ | $1,935 | −$1,935 −100% | 20 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Howard Lutnick ceases to be the Secretary of Commerce for any period of time between March 6 and June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Lutnick's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.