Loading your workspacePreparing the page and its market data.
Loading the chart…
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 2% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 1¢ · 3¢ (1¢) | $94.4 | in 69d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18d | weatherprod | Human moon landing in 2026? | SellNo98¢ | $1,450 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 37d | weatherprod | Human moon landing in 2026? | BuyNo98¢ | $1,489 | +$7 +0.5% | 6 |
| 91d | ALevinson | Human moon landing in 2026? | BuyNo99¢ → 98¢ | $1,400 | −$7 −0.5% | 5 |
| 96d | 0x8931…a90c2 fills | Human moon landing in 2026? | BuyNo97¢ → 98¢ | $2,797 | +$24 +0.9% | 6 |
| 119d | 5943484 | Human moon landing in 2026? | BuyNo97¢ → 98¢ | $1,333 | +$12 +0.9% | 6 |
| 127d |  Slowroasted | Human moon landing in 2026? | BuyNo97¢ → 98¢ | $5,904 | +$67 +1.1% | 6 |
| 133d | 888ERA | Human moon landing in 2026? | BuyNo97¢ → 98¢ | $2,620 | +$32 +1.2% | 6 |
| 139d | NLP | Human moon landing in 2026? | BuyNo97¢ → 98¢ | $1,400 | +$17 +1.2% | 6 |
| 174d | h038596027355 | Human moon landing in 2026? | BuyNo96¢ → 98¢ | $1,354 | +$30 +2.2% | 7 |
Sviestmaize600 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if any human-crewed mission lands on the moon between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A touchdown of the spacecraft with humans aboard will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of technical complications. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 2¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 2%.