| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Canada" before 2027?Ends in 71d | Yes | 2,399 | 4¢ → 12¢ | $276 | +$190 +220% |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 125 | 16¢ → 100¢ | $125 | +$105 +525% |
| Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Ends in 71d | Yes | 1,924 | 6¢ → 5¢ | $87 | −$38 −30% |
| US x Yemen ceasefire continues through November 30?Ends in 39d | No | 336 | 24¢ → 25¢ | $82 | +$3 +3.3% |
| Will NuScale announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?Ends in 436d | Yes | 677 | 14¢ → 11¢ | $71 | −$24 −25% |
| US strike on Colombia by December 31?Ends in 71d | Yes | 280 | 25¢ → 24¢ | $67 | −$3 −4.0% |
| Will Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027?Ends in 71d | Yes | 184 | 34¢ → 34¢ | $62 | −$0 −0.2% |
| Will Trump pardon Donald Brodie before 2027?Ends in 71d | Yes | 155 | 17¢ → 35¢ | $54 | +$28 +109% |
| Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?Ends in 71d | Yes | 263 | 7¢ → 18¢ | $47 | +$29 +163% |
| Will Ahmad Vahidi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Ends in 70d | Yes | 1,083 | 4¢ → 4¢ | $47 | +$3 +8.0% |
| Will Tunisia recognize Israel by December 31?Ends in 71d | Yes | 837 | 7¢ → 6¢ | $46 | −$10 −19% |
| Will Trump pardon Keonne Rodriguez before 2027?Ends in 71d | Yes | 600 | 12¢ → 8¢ | $45 | −$27 −37% |
| Will Warsh say "Restrictive" during July Press Conference?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 45 | 53¢ → 100¢ | $45 | +$21 +89% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Ends in 71d | Yes | 265 | 16¢ → 16¢ | $41 | −$1 −3.1% |
| Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?Ends in 71d | Yes | 385 | 13¢ → 11¢ | $40 | −$9 −19% |
| Natural Disaster in 2026?Ends in 130d | Yes | 357 | 12¢ → 11¢ | $39 | −$4 −10% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?Ends in 25d | No | 94 | 45¢ → 42¢ | $39 | −$3 −7.8% |
| Will Marco Rubio attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Ends in 70d | Yes | 456 | 12¢ → 9¢ | $39 | −$14 −27% |
| Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Ends in 71d | Yes | 366 | 12¢ → 10¢ | $37 | −$8 −17% |
| Will Clavicular visit South Korea in 2026?Ends in 71d | Yes | 178 | 11¢ → 19¢ | $33 | +$13 +63% |
| Will Warsh say "Pandemic" during July Press Conference?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 32 | 16¢ → 100¢ | $32 | +$27 +525% |
| Will Trump meet with Yoon Suk Yeol in 2026?Ends in 70d | Yes | 1,163 | <1¢ → 3¢ | $30 | +$25 +534% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22?Ends in 32d | Yes | 66 | 43¢ → 45¢ | $29 | +$1 +3.5% |
| Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026?Ends in 10d | Yes | 390 | 8¢ → 8¢ | $29 | −$2 −7.0% |
| Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?Ends in 71d | Yes | 928 | 2¢ → 3¢ | $26 | +$9 +54% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Ends in 70d | Yes | 68 | 37¢ → 38¢ | $26 | +$0 +0.5% |
| Susie Wiles out as White House Chief of Staff by December 31?Ends in 71d | Yes | 71 | 35¢ → 36¢ | $25 | +$0 +2.0% |
| Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by October 31?Ends in 10d | Yes | 638 | 4¢ → 4¢ | $25 | −$3 −10% |
| AI bubble burst in 2026?Ends in 71d | Yes | 262 | 10¢ → 9¢ | $24 | −$1 −4.1% |
| Will Masoud Pezeshkian attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Ends in 70d | Yes | 201 | 14¢ → 12¢ | $24 | −$4 −15% |
| Will Donald Trump visit South Korea in 2026?Ends in 70d | Yes | 194 | 5¢ → 12¢ | $23 | +$13 +133% |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Ends in 71d | Yes | 252 | 6¢ → 9¢ | $23 | +$8 +55% |
| Will Pete Buttigieg announce a Presidential run before 2028?Ends in 436d | No | 109 | 21¢ → 21¢ | $22 | −$0 −1.9% |
| Will the Kansas 2026 Senate race be within 5%?Ends in 13d | No | 72 | 34¢ → 31¢ | $22 | −$2 −9.0% |
| Will Clavicular visit Japan in 2026?Ends in 71d | Yes | 62 | 23¢ → 34¢ | $21 | +$7 +51% |
| Will Majid Takht-Ravanchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Ends in 70d | Yes | 71 | 30¢ → 29¢ | $21 | −$1 −3.3% |
| Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?Ends in 436d | Yes | 314 | 10¢ → 7¢ | $20 | −$11 −35% |
| Will Afghanistan recognize Israel by December 31?Ends in 71d | Yes | 848 | 5¢ → 2¢ | $20 | −$18 −48% |
| Will Trump pardon Joe Exotic "The Tiger King" before 2027?Ends in 71d | Yes | 367 | 11¢ → 6¢ | $20 | −$22 −52% |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announce a Presidential run before 2027?Ends in 71d | Yes | 167 | 14¢ → 12¢ | $20 | −$3 −11% |
| Will Warsh say "Predecessor" during July Press Conference?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 20 | 25¢ → 100¢ | $20 | +$15 +300% |
| Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?Ends in 71d | Yes | 234 | 12¢ → 9¢ | $20 | −$8 −28% |
| Will DeepSeek have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?Ends in 71d | Yes | 361 | 11¢ → 6¢ | $20 | −$20 −50% |
| Will Kazem Gharibabadi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Ends in 70d | Yes | 86 | 27¢ → 23¢ | $19 | −$4 −17% |
| Will Rafael Grossi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Ends in 70d | Yes | 116 | 17¢ → 17¢ | $19 | −$1 −2.9% |
| Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026?Ends in 70d | Yes | 75 | 25¢ → 26¢ | $19 | +$0 +2.0% |
| Will Oklahoma enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?Ends in 71d | Yes | 686 | 3¢ → 3¢ | $19 | −$0 −0.2% |
| Zohran Mamdani out as mayor of NYC before 2027?Ends in 71d | Yes | 843 | 3¢ → 2¢ | $19 | −$7 −28% |
| Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 179d | No | 18 | 92¢ → 99¢ | $18 | +$1 +7.2% |
| Will Trump meet with iShowSpeed in 2026?Ends in 72d | Yes | 605 | 5¢ → 3¢ | $18 | −$15 −46% |
| Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027?Ends in 71d | Yes | 365 | 5¢ → 5¢ | $17 | −$2 −11% |
| Will Trump pardon Ryan Salame before 2027?Ends in 71d | Yes | 131 | 11¢ → 13¢ | $17 | +$3 +18% |
| Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?Ends in 71d | Yes | 189 | 11¢ → 9¢ | $17 | −$4 −18% |
| Will Trump meet with Changpeng Zhao in 2026?Ends in 70d | Yes | 261 | 11¢ → 7¢ | $17 | −$12 −41% |
| Will Trump meet with Pope Leo XIV in 2026?Ends in 72d | Yes | 405 | 6¢ → 4¢ | $16 | −$8 −33% |
| Will Xi Jinping purge Li Qiang in 2026?Ends in 71d | Yes | 317 | 3¢ → 5¢ | $16 | +$5 +47% |
| Will Trump pardon Martin Shkreli before 2027?Ends in 71d | Yes | 444 | 5¢ → 4¢ | $16 | −$7 −32% |
| Will the Malaysian House of Representatives be dissolved by December 31, 2026?Ends in 71d | Yes | 127 | 19¢ → 13¢ | $16 | −$8 −33% |
| Will SZA have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?Ends in 70d | Yes | 64 | 18¢ → 25¢ | $16 | +$4 +38% |
| Will Zach Bryan have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?Ends in 70d | Yes | 142 | 11¢ → 11¢ | $16 | +$1 +3.4% |
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 29?Ends in 8d | Yes | 26 | 63¢ → 59¢ | $15 | −$1 −6.0% |
| Will Warsh say "Good day" during July Press Conference?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 15 | 71¢ → 100¢ | $15 | +$4 +40% |
| Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31?Ends in 10d | Yes | 389 | 5¢ → 4¢ | $15 | −$4 −20% |
| Will Jack Harlow have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?Ends in 70d | Yes | 156 | 6¢ → 9¢ | $14 | +$5 +59% |
| Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Ends in 70d | Yes | 65 | 23¢ → 22¢ | $14 | −$1 −6.4% |
| Will A$AP Rocky have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?Ends in 70d | Yes | 78 | 9¢ → 18¢ | $14 | +$7 +99% |
| Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME Person of the Year 2026?Ends in 70d | Yes | 196 | 8¢ → 7¢ | $14 | −$2 −12% |
| Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026?Ends in 10d | Yes | 1,078 | 2¢ → 1¢ | $13 | −$12 −46% |
| Ripple Labs IPO before 2027?Ends in 71d | Yes | 497 | 6¢ → 3¢ | $13 | −$18 −58% |
| James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026?Ends in 71d | Yes | 1,027 | 2¢ → 1¢ | $13 | −$7 −34% |
| Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?Ends in 71d | Yes | 395 | 5¢ → 3¢ | $13 | −$5 −29% |
| Human moon landing in 2026?Ends in 71d | Yes | 631 | 1¢ → 2¢ | $13 | +$5 +67% |
| China x Japan military clash before 2027?Ends in 71d | Yes | 327 | 4¢ → 4¢ | $13 | −$1 −6.1% |
| Chud the Builder convicted of attempted murder?Ends in 283d | Yes | 119 | 13¢ → 11¢ | $12 | −$3 −17% |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Ends in 70d | Yes | 527 | 2¢ → 2¢ | $12 | +$1 +10% |
| Will Barack Obama announce a Presidential run before 2027?Ends in 71d | Yes | 455 | 3¢ → 3¢ | $12 | +$0 +2.6% |
| Will Doja Cat have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?Ends in 70d | Yes | 105 | 8¢ → 12¢ | $12 | +$4 +48% |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?Ends in 71d | Yes | 90 | 14¢ → 14¢ | $12 | −$0 −3.6% |
| Will Rahm Emanuel announce a Presidential run before 2027?Ends in 71d | Yes | 68 | 19¢ → 18¢ | $12 | −$1 −6.0% |
| Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?Ends in 283d | Yes | 42 | 31¢ → 28¢ | $12 | −$1 −8.9% |
| Will Qatar recognize Israel by December 31?Ends in 71d | Yes | 452 | 4¢ → 3¢ | $12 | −$6 −33% |
| Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027?Ends in 71d | Yes | 45 | 32¢ → 27¢ | $12 | −$3 −18% |
| US strike on Mexico by December 31?Ends in 71d | Yes | 326 | 4¢ → 4¢ | $12 | −$2 −14% |
| Xochitl Gomez as America Chavez?Ends in 252d | No | 25 | 42¢ → 48¢ | $12 | +$1 +13% |
| Will Trump pardon Daniel Penny before 2027?Ends in 71d | Yes | 186 | 5¢ → 6¢ | $12 | +$2 +15% |
| EU dissolves before 2027?Ends in 71d | Yes | 714 | 2¢ → 2¢ | $12 | −$0 −2.9% |
| Will Trump meet with Aleksandr Lukashenko in 2026?Ends in 70d | Yes | 157 | 15¢ → 8¢ | $12 | −$12 −50% |
| Will Bernie endorse James Talarico for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?Ends in 12d | Yes | 258 | 16¢ → 5¢ | $12 | −$30 −72% |
| Will Josh Hawley announce a presidential run before 2028?Ends in 70d | Yes | 33 | 32¢ → 35¢ | $12 | +$1 +9.5% |
| Will "Mask Off" by Future be on the radio in GTA VI at launch?Ends in 43d | Yes | 23 | 35¢ → 51¢ | $12 | +$4 +45% |
| Will Bernie endorse Alan Grayson for FL-Sen Nov 2 2026 ET?Ends in 39d | Yes | 186 | 15¢ → 6¢ | $11 | −$17 −60% |
| Will Donald Trump visit India in 2026?Ends in 70d | Yes | 187 | 6¢ → 6¢ | $11 | +$1 +6.4% |
| Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027?Ends in 71d | Yes | 89 | 11¢ → 13¢ | $11 | +$2 +18% |
| Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Ends in 71d | Yes | 104 | 12¢ → 11¢ | $11 | −$2 −12% |
| Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?Ends in 71d | Yes | 137 | 8¢ → 8¢ | $11 | +$0 +0.0% |
| Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?Ends in 71d | Yes | 44 | 24¢ → 25¢ | $11 | +$0 +4.2% |
| GOP uses 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by December 31, 2026?Ends in 71d | Yes | 128 | 9¢ → 9¢ | $11 | −$1 −8.7% |
| Will Tucker Carlson announce a presidential run before 2027?Ends in 71d | Yes | 253 | 7¢ → 4¢ | $11 | −$7 −39% |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Pakistan" before 2027?Ends in 71d | Yes | 127 | 5¢ → 9¢ | $11 | +$4 +55% |
| Will Kuwait recognize Israel by December 31?Ends in 71d | Yes | 322 | 9¢ → 3¢ | $11 | −$19 −63% |
