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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 632d | RobXK | Human to human bird flu transmission before February? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,229 | −$4 −0.3% | — |
| 633d | RobXK | Human to human bird flu transmission before February? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $6,463 | +$59 +0.9% | 4 |
| 639d |  KimJonEn | Human to human bird flu transmission before February? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,060 | +$22 +2.0% | 4 |
| 649d |  SPMontreal | Human to human bird flu transmission before February? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,651 | −$39 −2.4% | — |
| 655d | SPMontreal | Human to human bird flu transmission before February? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,617 | +$73 +4.5% | 4 |
| 661d | nonkenny902 fills | Human to human bird flu transmission before February? | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $6,879 | +$421 +6.1% | 4 |
| 661d |  cdpor2 | Human to human bird flu transmission before February? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $2,620 | +$138 +5.3% | 4 |
| 661d | Octopod | Human to human bird flu transmission before February? | SellNo93¢ → 100¢ | $5,785 | −$435 −7.5% | — |
| 661d | Octopod2 fills | Human to human bird flu transmission before February? | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $11,619 | +$832 +7.2% | 4 |
| 662d |  ExhaustedBoyBilly | Human to human bird flu transmission before February? | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $5,896 | +$463 +7.9% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if one or more credible health organizations (e.g. CDC, WHO, etc.) claims an H5N1 bird flu case was transmitted from one human to another human by January 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be information from such a credible health organization, however in case of ambiguity a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.