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Polymarket · PoliticsClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +1 pts | +71 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 192d | lovas234 | Hungary Election: TISZA wins a constitutional majority? | SellYes>99¢ | $2,466 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 192d |  Flipadelphia3 fills | Hungary Election: TISZA wins a constitutional majority? | BuyYes>99¢ | $7,503 | +$21 +0.3% | 10 |
| 192d | Blank-Initialize2 fills | Hungary Election: TISZA wins a constitutional majority? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,494 | +$23 +0.7% | 10 |
| 193d | Trim-Caution | Hungary Election: TISZA wins a constitutional majority? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,523 | +$25 +1.0% | 10 |
| 193d | Mediocre-Mineshaft | Hungary Election: TISZA wins a constitutional majority? | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,994 | −$30 −1.5% | — |
| 193d | TokeyChan | Hungary Election: TISZA wins a constitutional majority? | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,872 | −$34 −0.9% | — |
| 194d | TokeyChan | Hungary Election: TISZA wins a constitutional majority? | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,892 | +$13 +0.3% | 10 |
| 194d | Elementary-HeadphonesNew account | Hungary Election: TISZA wins a constitutional majority? | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,330 | −$11 −0.8% | — |
| 194d | comradeblin | Hungary Election: TISZA wins a constitutional majority? | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,119 | −$9 −0.8% | — |
| 194d | kapist61 | Hungary Election: TISZA wins a constitutional majority? | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,608 | −$12 −0.7% | — |
| 194d | Old-Fashioned-CriticNew account | Hungary Election: TISZA wins a constitutional majority? | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,430 | −$17 −0.7% | — |
| 194d | The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA2 fills | Hungary Election: TISZA wins a constitutional majority? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $13,584 | +$159 +1.2% | 10 |
| 194d | Corny-ReturnNew account | Hungary Election: TISZA wins a constitutional majority? | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,021 | −$24 −2.3% | — |
| 194d | jansci | Hungary Election: TISZA wins a constitutional majority? | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $2,833 | +$49 +1.7% | 10 |
| 194d | almost-never3 fills | Hungary Election: TISZA wins a constitutional majority? | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $28,471 | +$2,341 +8.2% | 10 |
| 194d | Tradman | Hungary Election: TISZA wins a constitutional majority? | SellYes94¢ → 100¢ | $4,700 | −$300 −6.4% | — |
| 194d | medvesajt2 fills | Hungary Election: TISZA wins a constitutional majority? | BuyYes91¢ → 100¢ | $5,380 | +$507 +9.4% | 10 |
| 194d | Crooked-Jellyfish2 fills | Hungary Election: TISZA wins a constitutional majority? | BuyYes87¢ → 100¢ | $9,120 | +$1,325 +15% | 13 |
| 194d | Arpi | Hungary Election: TISZA wins a constitutional majority? | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $2,116 | +$184 +8.7% | 10 |
| 194d | jocpolitic | Hungary Election: TISZA wins a constitutional majority? | BuyYes89¢ → 100¢ | $1,360 | +$168 +12% | 10 |
| 194d | Mediocre-Mineshaft | Hungary Election: TISZA wins a constitutional majority? | BuyYes88¢ → 100¢ | $1,860 | +$254 +14% | 10 |
| 194d |  mombil | Hungary Election: TISZA wins a constitutional majority? | BuyYes84¢ → 100¢ | $2,143 | +$408 +19% | 10 |
| 194d | Tradman3 fills | Hungary Election: TISZA wins a constitutional majority? | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $6,046 | +$698 +12% | 10 |
| 194d | Crooked-Jellyfish | Hungary Election: TISZA wins a constitutional majority? | SellYes81¢ → 100¢ | $4,513 | −$1,091 −24% | — |
| 194d |  LEONIDOVITCH19832 fills | Hungary Election: TISZA wins a constitutional majority? | BuyYes80¢ → 100¢ | $6,555 | +$1,626 +25% | 10 |
| 194d | steeplejack | Hungary Election: TISZA wins a constitutional majority? | BuyNo25¢ → 0¢ | $1,154 | −$1,154 −100% | 11 |
| 194d |  Sardinianshepherd | Hungary Election: TISZA wins a constitutional majority? | SellNo60¢ → 0¢ | $1,159 | +$1,159 +100% | — |
| 195d |  BenjarninNetanyahu | Hungary Election: TISZA wins a constitutional majority? | SellNo65¢ → 0¢ | $1,302 | +$1,302 +100% | — |
| 195d | wan123 | Hungary Election: TISZA wins a constitutional majority? | BuyYes37¢ → 100¢ | $1,613 | +$2,755 +171% | 11 |
| 195d | matetelepromptercom | Hungary Election: TISZA wins a constitutional majority? | BuyYes50¢ → 100¢ | $3,253 | +$3,228 +99% | 10 |
| 195d | Flipadelphia2 fills | Hungary Election: TISZA wins a constitutional majority? | SellNo68¢ → 0¢ | $3,276 | +$3,276 +100% | — |
| 195d | jocpolitic | Hungary Election: TISZA wins a constitutional majority? | BuyNo73¢ → 0¢ | $2,043 | −$2,043 −100% | 10 |
| 198d | splaym | Hungary Election: TISZA wins a constitutional majority? | BuyNo67¢ → 0¢ | $1,349 | −$1,349 −100% | 12 |
| 199d | tamas92k3 fills | Hungary Election: TISZA wins a constitutional majority? | BuyYes29¢ → 100¢ | $8,259 | +$20,359 +247% | 20 |
gopfan215,346 shares
nogodcomplex3,612 sharesParliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if TISZA wins at least 133 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party, not any coalition of which it may be a part. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.