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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| >$500k fine | 0% | −2 pts | 0 pts | — · 2¢ | — | ended |
| Community Service | 0% | −37 pts | 0 pts | — · 10¢ | — | ended |
| Rehab | 0% | −5 pts | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| >$100k fine | 0% | −44 pts | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Probation | 0% | −42 pts | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| House Arrest | 0% | −5 pts | 0 pts | — · 4¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 690d | AIisTheNewWalkingDead | Probation | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,221 | +$12 +1.0% | 20 |
| 690d |  carp | Community Service | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,188 | −$12 −1.0% | — |
| 690d | carp | Probation | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,221 | +$12 +1.0% | 20 |
| 690d | carp | >$100k fine | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,770 | +$18 +1.0% | 20 |
| 690d | carp | Community Service | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,188 | +$12 +1.0% | 20 |
| 690d |  MMousse | Rehab | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,190 | +$10 +0.3% | 20 |
| 690d | MMousse | >$500k fine | BuyNo>99¢ | $17,615 | +$35 +0.2% | 20 |
| 690d | MMousse | House Arrest | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,076 | +$39 +3.6% | 20 |
| 812d |  ImJustKen | Community Service | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,197 | +$104 +8.7% | 20 |
This is a market on the potential sentencing outcome for Hunter Biden related to gun-related charges.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for >$500k fine means the market gives it about 0%.