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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $50M | 4% | 0 pts | +1 pts | 3¢ · 5¢ (2¢) | — | in 69d |
| $20M | 5% | — | +1 pts | 4¢ · 6¢ (2¢) | — | in 69d |
| $200M | 2% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 1¢ · 2¢ (1¢) | — | in 69d |
| $10M | 3% | 0 pts | −1 pts | 1¢ · 5¢ (4¢) | — | in 69d |
| $5M | 3% | — | −1 pts | 2¢ · 5¢ (3¢) | — | in 69d |
| $30M | 2% | — | 0 pts | 1¢ · 2¢ (2¢) | — | in 69d |
| $40M | 4% | −1 pts | +2 pts | 1¢ · 7¢ (6¢) | — | in 69d |
| $100M | 3% | 0 pts | +1 pts | 2¢ · 5¢ (2¢) | $30 | in 69d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 240d | First-Gray | $100M | BuyNo99¢ → 97¢ | $3,057 | −$62 −2.0% | 2 |
| 251d |  JiuMoZhiDaShi | $20M | BuyNo90¢ → 95¢ | $1,242 | +$66 +5.3% | 2 |
| 254d | ranranhao | $200M | BuyNo99¢ → 98¢ | $3,393 | −$26 −0.8% | 2 |
| 255d | uuiuui | $200M | BuyNo99¢ → 98¢ | $3,380 | −$32 −1.0% | 2 |
| 255d | yuuja | $200M | BuyNo99¢ → 98¢ | $3,479 | −$33 −1.0% | 2 |
| 256d |  devoteeOfBeshaba | $10M | SellNo74¢ → 97¢ | $1,722 | −$531 −31% | — |
| 256d |  hortikkk | $20M | SellNo83¢ → 95¢ | $6,456 | −$942 −15% | — |
| 257d | Adelius | $200M | SellNo99¢ → 98¢ | $1,466 | +$15 +1.0% | — |
| 258d | hortikkk | $20M | BuyNo98¢ → 95¢ | $8,815 | −$287 −3.3% | 2 |
| 258d |  cr1mean | $20M | BuyNo94¢ → 95¢ | $4,141 | +$33 +0.8% | 2 |
| 258d | gtrht5rht | $30M | BuyNo96¢ → 98¢ | $1,776 | +$45 +2.6% | 2 |
| 258d | 324g55 | $30M | BuyNo97¢ → 98¢ | $1,798 | +$23 +1.3% | 2 |
| 258d | sd3ewfe | $30M | BuyNo97¢ → 98¢ | $1,789 | +$32 +1.8% | 2 |
| 260d | devoteeOfBeshaba | $10M | BuyNo52¢ → 97¢ | $1,594 | +$1,349 +85% | 2 |
| 261d | Real-HouseboatNew account | $100M | BuyNo99¢ → 97¢ | $1,873 | −$38 −2.0% | 2 |
| 261d | fgd4rt | $100M | BuyNo99¢ → 97¢ | $1,872 | −$36 −1.9% | 2 |
| 261d | Wise-Appetizer | $100M | BuyNo98¢ → 97¢ | $1,868 | −$32 −1.7% | 2 |
| 261d | Potable-Amusement | $100M | BuyNo98¢ → 97¢ | $1,950 | −$30 −1.5% | 2 |
| 261d | e3wfefw453 | $100M | BuyNo98¢ → 97¢ | $1,948 | −$28 −1.4% | 2 |
2B9S150 shares
LornaPredicts138 shares
Parz1vaI771 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Hurupay's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Hurupay (https://x.com/HurupayApp) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 4¢ for $50M means the market gives it about 4%.